{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4416197056","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","title":"Investigating the Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change on the Ethiopian Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach","display_name":"Investigating the Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change on the Ethiopian Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-11-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4416197056","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/sd.70410","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/sd.70410","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165666656","display_name":"Sustainable Development","issn_l":"0968-0802","issn":["0968-0802","1099-1719"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-4","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Sustainable Development","raw_type":"journal-article"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W4416197056"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/sd.70410","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5108018256","display_name":"Mekuannet Worku Tefera","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2615-3550","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2615-3550"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210117424","display_name":"Debre Tabor University","ror":"https://ror.org/02bzfxf13","country_code":"ET","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"]}],"countries":["ET"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mekuannet Worku Tefera","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics, Debre Tabor University, Debra Tabor, Ethiopia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2615-3550","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, Debre Tabor University, Debra Tabor, Ethiopia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5120496744","display_name":"Yilkal Demlew Alemu","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210117424","display_name":"Debre Tabor University","ror":"https://ror.org/02bzfxf13","country_code":"ET","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"]}],"countries":["ET"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yilkal Demlew Alemu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics, Debre Tabor University, Debra Tabor, Ethiopia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, Debre Tabor University, Debra Tabor, Ethiopia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043387705","display_name":"Asmamaw Getnet Wassie","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210117424","display_name":"Debre Tabor University","ror":"https://ror.org/02bzfxf13","country_code":"ET","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"]}],"countries":["ET"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Asmamaw Getnet Wassie","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics, Debre Tabor University, Debra Tabor, Ethiopia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, Debre Tabor University, Debra Tabor, Ethiopia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5108018256"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210117424"],"apc_list":{"value":4250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4250},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.6412,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.65897769,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"34","issue":"2","first_page":"1697","last_page":"1718"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10471","display_name":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","score":0.9003999829292297,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10471","display_name":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","score":0.9003999829292297,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":0.041200000792741776,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.030799999833106995,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"climate change","score":0.9020000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-effects","display_name":"macroeconomic effects","score":0.9639999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ethiopian-economy","display_name":"Ethiopian economy","score":0.906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation","display_name":"inflation","score":0.699999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-production","display_name":"agricultural production","score":0.9710000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exports","display_name":"exports","score":0.9789999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gross-domestic-product","display_name":"gross domestic product","score":0.7210000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-shocks","display_name":"climate shocks","score":0.8240000009536743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/temperature-and-precipitation","display_name":"temperature and precipitation","score":0.5730000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/carbon-intensity","display_name":"carbon intensity","score":0.7860000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change-adaptation-policy","display_name":"climate adaptation policy","score":0.6330000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-resilient-agriculture","display_name":"climate-resilient agriculture","score":0.7770000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/early-warning-systems","display_name":"early warning systems","score":0.8209999799728394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irrigation","display_name":"irrigation","score":0.35100001096725464}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.7373999953269958},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.618399977684021},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.5846999883651733},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155702961","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5318975","display_name":"Dynamic factor","level":2,"score":0.5710999965667725},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200941418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273508","display_name":"Inflation (cosmology)","level":2,"score":0.5698999762535095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175605778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3299701","display_name":"Natural resource economics","level":1,"score":0.46140000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47737302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q167336","display_name":"Greenhouse gas","level":2,"score":0.4262999892234802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.42010000348091125},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C552854447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131201","display_name":"Sustainable development","level":2,"score":0.3792000114917755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C66204764","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q219416","display_name":"Sustainability","level":2,"score":0.3776000142097473},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781300812","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178061","display_name":"Shock (circulatory)","level":2,"score":0.36809998750686646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6422946","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q857354","display_name":"Panel data","level":2,"score":0.3538999855518341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779627474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2141807","display_name":"Structural adjustment","level":2,"score":0.3409999907016754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139807058","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q352374","display_name":"Adaptation (eye)","level":2,"score":0.32659998536109924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C128383755","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3816336","display_name":"Agricultural productivity","level":3,"score":0.32190001010894775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133029050","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q385593","display_name":"Vector autoregression","level":2,"score":0.32170000672340393},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C137176749","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4105337","display_name":"Psychological resilience","level":2,"score":0.3018999993801117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C93226319","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193137","display_name":"Differential (mechanical device)","level":2,"score":0.30059999227523804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C181683161","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7301159","display_name":"Real gross domestic product","level":2,"score":0.29580000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C549605437","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1229911","display_name":"Food security","level":3,"score":0.2955000102519989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126285488","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178476","display_name":"Monetary policy","level":2,"score":0.2872999906539917},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115343472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Global warming","level":3,"score":0.2849000096321106},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C54924851","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2751054","display_name":"Sustainable agriculture","level":3,"score":0.2847999930381775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120009192","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1936153","display_name":"Total factor productivity","level":3,"score":0.28139999508857727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114990195","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1430548","display_name":"Effects of global warming","level":4,"score":0.2605000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47768531","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1127188","display_name":"Development economics","level":1,"score":0.25859999656677246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779845407","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8035640","display_name":"World Development Indicators","level":3,"score":0.2572000026702881},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C88862950","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11453","display_name":"Irrigation","level":2,"score":0.25690001249313354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89715816","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915763","display_name":"Variance decomposition of forecast errors","level":2,"score":0.25529998540878296}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/sd.70410","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/sd.70410","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165666656","display_name":"Sustainable Development","issn_l":"0968-0802","issn":["0968-0802","1099-1719"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-4","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Sustainable Development","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/sd.70410","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70410","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/sd.70410","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S165666656","display_name":"Sustainable Development","issn_l":"0968-0802","issn":["0968-0802","1099-1719"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-4","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Sustainable Development","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":1.0,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action"},{"score":0.7257999777793884,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","display_name":"Decent work and economic growth"},{"score":0.41670000553131104,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/1","display_name":"No poverty"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4416197056.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4416197056.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":75,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1547068196","https://openalex.org/W1593748280","https://openalex.org/W1991135386","https://openalex.org/W2005954167","https://openalex.org/W2012657629","https://openalex.org/W2079563517","https://openalex.org/W2090141048","https://openalex.org/W2098572304","https://openalex.org/W2103958279","https://openalex.org/W2110515654","https://openalex.org/W2117514797","https://openalex.org/W2133097426","https://openalex.org/W2133430393","https://openalex.org/W2144089772","https://openalex.org/W2154169728","https://openalex.org/W2160172778","https://openalex.org/W2475387695","https://openalex.org/W2782162652","https://openalex.org/W2807003753","https://openalex.org/W2893759774","https://openalex.org/W2938184312","https://openalex.org/W2947626232","https://openalex.org/W2955207765","https://openalex.org/W2980523211","https://openalex.org/W3033130481","https://openalex.org/W3044419603","https://openalex.org/W3092760308","https://openalex.org/W3123670279","https://openalex.org/W3158514647","https://openalex.org/W3175390593","https://openalex.org/W3197724223","https://openalex.org/W4200083622","https://openalex.org/W4205146422","https://openalex.org/W4206060361","https://openalex.org/W4206207580","https://openalex.org/W4210698889","https://openalex.org/W4226213770","https://openalex.org/W4232046918","https://openalex.org/W4283587460","https://openalex.org/W4288871209","https://openalex.org/W4298004403","https://openalex.org/W4308754365","https://openalex.org/W4308866750","https://openalex.org/W4318337937","https://openalex.org/W4319164408","https://openalex.org/W4366091664","https://openalex.org/W4376958438","https://openalex.org/W4377941601","https://openalex.org/W4386504920","https://openalex.org/W4389727478","https://openalex.org/W4391169050","https://openalex.org/W4391255400","https://openalex.org/W4392142172","https://openalex.org/W4393032989","https://openalex.org/W4394693236","https://openalex.org/W4396849306","https://openalex.org/W4396895404","https://openalex.org/W4397023793","https://openalex.org/W4398138748","https://openalex.org/W4399042856","https://openalex.org/W4399626458","https://openalex.org/W4400941093","https://openalex.org/W4402326721","https://openalex.org/W4402635236","https://openalex.org/W4402749457","https://openalex.org/W4403976450","https://openalex.org/W4405417064","https://openalex.org/W4406125221","https://openalex.org/W4406609864","https://openalex.org/W4408189255","https://openalex.org/W4408991153","https://openalex.org/W4410977983","https://openalex.org/W4411088985","https://openalex.org/W4415086733","https://openalex.org/W4415823696"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3180832194","https://openalex.org/W2608598033","https://openalex.org/W2125157531","https://openalex.org/W4411653026","https://openalex.org/W7075582973","https://openalex.org/W2923347750","https://openalex.org/W3176551465","https://openalex.org/W7216741570","https://openalex.org/W4283029099","https://openalex.org/W2893759774"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT":[0],"This":[1],"study":[2,22],"examines":[3],"the":[4,11,76,104],"macroeconomic":[5,125],"effects":[6],"of":[7,39],"climate":[8,41,63],"change":[9],"on":[10],"Ethiopian":[12],"economy":[13],"using":[14],"quarterly":[15],"data":[16],"from":[17],"1970Q1":[18],"to":[19,29,56,81,86,144],"2023Q4.":[20],"The":[21,60],"combines":[23],"a":[24,31,37,51],"Dynamic":[25],"Factor":[26],"Model":[27],"(DFM)":[28],"extract":[30],"latent":[32],"common":[33],"economic":[34,88],"factor":[35],"with":[36],"set":[38],"observed":[40],"variables":[42,66],"(methane,":[43],"greenhouse":[44],"gases,":[45],"temperature,":[46],"precipitation,":[47],"carbon":[48],"intensity)":[49],"and":[50,64,74,83,90,95,101,109,120,127,134,150],"Structural":[52],"Vector":[53],"Auto\u2010regression":[54],"(SVAR)":[55],"trace":[57],"within\u2010economy":[58],"transmission.":[59],"DFM":[61],"identifies":[62],"demographic":[65],"that":[67,137],"significantly":[68],"influence":[69],"inflation,":[70],"agricultural":[71,93],"output,":[72],"exports,":[73,102],"GDP;":[75],"SVAR":[77],"shows":[78],"how":[79],"shocks":[80,94],"inflation":[82],"agriculture":[84,115],"propagate":[85],"lowering":[87],"growth":[89],"exports.":[91],"Climate\u2010related":[92],"inflationary":[96],"pressures":[97],"can":[98,116],"reduce":[99],"GDP":[100],"underscoring":[103],"need":[105],"for":[106],"integrated":[107],"monetary":[108],"adaptation":[110],"policy;":[111],"strengthening":[112],"export\u2010oriented,":[113],"climate\u2010resilient":[114],"stabilize":[117],"export":[118],"performance":[119],"national":[121],"income":[122],"which":[123],"reduces":[124],"vulnerability;":[126],"investments":[128],"in":[129],"early":[130],"warning":[131],"systems,":[132],"irrigation":[133],"educational":[135],"programs":[136],"disseminate":[138],"adaptive":[139],"farming":[140],"knowledge":[141],"are":[142],"essential":[143],"support":[145],"sustainable":[146],"development":[147],"goals":[148],"(SDG\u201013":[149],"SDG\u20108).":[151]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-14T11:04:58.165337","created_date":"2025-11-13T00:00:00"}
