{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4411614784","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","title":"The persistence of groundwater depletion in the United States across widely ranging futures","display_name":"The persistence of groundwater depletion in the United States across widely ranging futures","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-11-03","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4411614784","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S5407045950","display_name":"Environmental Research Water","issn_l":"3033-4942","issn":["3033-4942"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","norway-1"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research: Water","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052863470","display_name":"Jim Yoon","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8025-2587","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8025-2587"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142606810","display_name":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/05h992307","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1325736334","https://openalex.org/I1330989302","https://openalex.org/I142606810","https://openalex.org/I39565521"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jim Yoon","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pacific Northwest National Labs","Pacific Northwest National Laboratory"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8025-2587","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pacific Northwest National Labs","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142606810"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142606810"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034321536","display_name":"Stephen B. Ferencz","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2953-8440","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2953-8440"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142606810","display_name":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/05h992307","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1325736334","https://openalex.org/I1330989302","https://openalex.org/I142606810","https://openalex.org/I39565521"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stephen Ferencz","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pacific Northwest National Laboratory"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2953-8440","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142606810"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058671752","display_name":"Travis Thurber","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4370-9971","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4370-9971"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142606810","display_name":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/05h992307","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1325736334","https://openalex.org/I1330989302","https://openalex.org/I142606810","https://openalex.org/I39565521"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Travis Thurber","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pacific Northwest National Laboratory"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4370-9971","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142606810"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5052863470"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142606810"],"apc_list":{"value":2515,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2515},"apc_paid":{"value":2515,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2515},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.00213247,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10969","display_name":"Water resources management and optimization","score":0.9951000213623047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2212","display_name":"Ocean Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10969","display_name":"Water resources management and optimization","score":0.9951000213623047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2212","display_name":"Ocean Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10398","display_name":"Groundwater and Isotope Geochemistry","score":0.0010999999940395355,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1906","display_name":"Geochemistry and Petrology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.0007999999797903001,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/groundwater-depletion","display_name":"groundwater depletion","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/groundwater-sustainability","display_name":"groundwater sustainability","score":0.382999986410141},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coupled-human-and-natural-systems","display_name":"coupled human-natural systems","score":0.7900000214576721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irrigation-water-demand","display_name":"irrigation water demand","score":0.609000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-water-use","display_name":"agricultural water use","score":0.7570000290870667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/future-scenarios","display_name":"future scenarios","score":0.5540000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/continental-united-states","display_name":"continental United States","score":0.6190000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/arid-regions","display_name":"arid regions","score":0.5580000281333923}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106306483","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183984","display_name":"Futures contract","level":2,"score":0.8525271415710449},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781009140","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7170389","display_name":"Persistence (discontinuity)","level":2,"score":0.817650318145752},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115051666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6522493","display_name":"Ranging","level":2,"score":0.6104618310928345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76177295","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161598","display_name":"Groundwater","level":2,"score":0.4968617260456085},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.433495432138443},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.30990493297576904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.29577767848968506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.201188862323761},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.11263400316238403},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187320778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1349130","display_name":"Geotechnical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13280743","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089","display_name":"Geodesy","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S5407045950","display_name":"Environmental Research Water","issn_l":"3033-4942","issn":["3033-4942"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","norway-1"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research: Water","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-6787098/v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6787098/v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6787098/v1","pdf_url":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6787098/latest.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525896","display_name":"Research Square","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Research Square","raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/3033-4942/aebd14/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S5407045950","display_name":"Environmental Research Water","issn_l":"3033-4942","issn":["3033-4942"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","norway-1"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research: Water","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/6","display_name":"Clean water and sanitation","score":0.9090999960899353},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":0.5351999998092651}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G125460123","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DE-AC05\u201376RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1317939444","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"59534","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332359","funder_display_name":"Office of Science"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G138090931","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DEAC0576RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338354","funder_display_name":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1899721271","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"AC05-76RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306250","funder_display_name":"Battelle"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2506945562","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"76RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2510423872","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"AC05-76RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2539713172","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"59534","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2988778103","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DE-AC05?","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G391136020","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DE- AC05-76RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306250","funder_display_name":"Battelle"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5321382714","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"76RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338354","funder_display_name":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5726405315","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DE-AC05","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306250","funder_display_name":"Battelle"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G821644656","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DE\u2010AC05\u201076 RL01830","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332359","funder_display_name":"Office of Science"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy","ror":"https://ror.org/01bj3aw27"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306250","display_name":"Battelle","ror":"https://ror.org/01h5tnr73"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332359","display_name":"Office of Science","ror":"https://ror.org/00mmn6b08"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337509","display_name":"Biological and Environmental Research","ror":"https://ror.org/0114b2m14"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338354","display_name":"Pacific Northwest National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/05h992307"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4411614784.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4411614784.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7168491217","https://openalex.org/W2392336639","https://openalex.org/W2937103134","https://openalex.org/W2913334857","https://openalex.org/W2537900687","https://openalex.org/W4395010776","https://openalex.org/W2952365969","https://openalex.org/W4236482755","https://openalex.org/W3007664183","https://openalex.org/W2079275534"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Groundwater":[1],"resources":[2],"are":[3,64],"essential":[4],"for":[5,61,103,112],"crop":[6,26],"production,":[7],"enabling":[8],"irrigation":[9],"in":[10,143],"many":[11,130],"arid":[12],"regions":[13,135],"of":[14,35,58,74,77,88,106,126,131,136,146],"the":[15,39,75,113,132,137,144],"world.":[16],"With":[17],"a":[18,97,124],"growing":[19],"dependence":[20],"on":[21,45],"groundwater":[22,36,48,62,68,78,107,121],"to":[23,66,82],"serve":[24],"increasing":[25],"demands,":[27],"concerns":[28],"have":[29,50],"been":[30,51],"raised":[31],"regarding":[32],"alarming":[33],"rates":[34],"depletion":[37,49,108,122,141],"at":[38],"global":[40],"scale.":[41],"Modeling":[42],"efforts":[43],"focused":[44],"projecting":[46],"future":[47,89],"limited":[52,86],"by":[53],"key":[54,133],"factors:":[55],"exogenous":[56],"assumptions":[57],"human":[59],"demand":[60],"that":[63],"unresponsive":[65],"changing":[67],"availability":[69],"and":[70,85],"cost,":[71],"simplistic":[72],"treatment":[73],"physics":[76],"depletion,":[79],"narrow":[80],"application":[81],"localized":[83],"contexts,":[84],"exploration":[87],"uncertainties.":[90],"To":[91],"address":[92],"these":[93],"gaps,":[94],"we":[95],"introduce":[96],"new":[98],"coupled":[99],"human-natural":[100],"modeling":[101],"approach":[102],"process-rich,":[104],"broad-exploration":[105],"futures,":[109,128],"initially":[110],"deployed":[111],"continental":[114],"United":[115],"States.":[116],"Our":[117],"results":[118],"indicate":[119],"persistent":[120],"across":[123],"range":[125],"hydrologic-economic":[127],"with":[129],"agricultural":[134],"U.S.":[138],"encountering":[139],"substantial":[140],"even":[142],"absence":[145],"adverse":[147],"hydrologic":[148],"or":[149],"economic":[150],"change.":[151]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-05T12:25:35.769452","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
