{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4409727554","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","title":"Wind farm capacity factor forecasting: An Australian case study","display_name":"Wind farm capacity factor forecasting: An Australian case study","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-04-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4409727554","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210238917","display_name":"Energy Nexus","issn_l":"2772-4271","issn":["2772-4271"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-d","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Energy Nexus","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026169670","display_name":"Aiman M. Albatayneh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0829-7526","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0829-7526"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I230091363","display_name":"German Jordanian University","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgpyd84","country_code":"JO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I230091363"]}],"countries":["JO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Aiman Albatayneh","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Natural Resources Engineering and Management, German Jordanian University, P.O. Box, Amman 35247, Jordan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Natural Resources Engineering and Management, German Jordanian University, P.O. Box, Amman 35247, Jordan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I230091363"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5117275415","display_name":"Ragheb AbuAlRous","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I230091363","display_name":"German Jordanian University","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgpyd84","country_code":"JO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I230091363"]}],"countries":["JO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ragheb AbuAlRous","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Natural Resources Engineering and Management, German Jordanian University, P.O. Box, Amman 35247, Jordan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Natural Resources Engineering and Management, German Jordanian University, P.O. Box, Amman 35247, Jordan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I230091363"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042092448","display_name":"Merlinde J. Kay","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6003-2034","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6003-2034"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I31746571","display_name":"UNSW Sydney","ror":"https://ror.org/03r8z3t63","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Merlinde Kay","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Photovoltaic and Renewable Energy Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Photovoltaic and Renewable Energy Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081062510","display_name":"Ramez Abdallah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4324-8922","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4324-8922"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I17533244","display_name":"An-Najah National University","ror":"https://ror.org/0046mja08","country_code":"PS","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I17533244"]}],"countries":["PS"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ramez Abdallah","raw_affiliation_strings":["Industrial and Mechanical Engineering Department-Faculty of Engineering, An-Najah National University, PO. Box 7, Nablus, Palestine"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Industrial and Mechanical Engineering Department-Faculty of Engineering, An-Najah National University, PO. Box 7, Nablus, Palestine","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17533244"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5082795723","display_name":"Adel Juaidi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1865-9391","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1865-9391"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I17533244","display_name":"An-Najah National University","ror":"https://ror.org/0046mja08","country_code":"PS","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I17533244"]}],"countries":["PS"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Adel Juaidi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Industrial and Mechanical Engineering Department-Faculty of Engineering, An-Najah National University, PO. Box 7, Nablus, Palestine"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Industrial and Mechanical Engineering Department-Faculty of Engineering, An-Najah National University, PO. Box 7, Nablus, Palestine","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17533244"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016339520","display_name":"Am\u00f3s Garc\u00eda-Cruz","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I52354020","display_name":"University of Almer\u00eda","ror":"https://ror.org/003d3xx08","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I52354020"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Amos Garc\u00eda-Cruz","raw_affiliation_strings":["Environmental Technology Division, University of Almeria, ceiA3, Almeria 04120, Spain"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Environmental Technology Division, University of Almeria, ceiA3, Almeria 04120, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I52354020"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076148890","display_name":"Francisco Rogelio Manzano-Agugliaro","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0085-030X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0085-030X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I52354020","display_name":"University of Almer\u00eda","ror":"https://ror.org/003d3xx08","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I52354020"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Francisco Manzano-Agugliaro","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering, University of Almeria, ceiA3, Almeria 04120, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0085-030X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering, University of Almeria, ceiA3, Almeria 04120, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I52354020"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":4,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5076148890","https://openalex.org/A5082795723"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I17533244","https://openalex.org/I52354020"],"apc_list":{"value":2200,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2200},"apc_paid":{"value":2200,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2200},"fwci":1.1632,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.73260086,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":97,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"18","issue":null,"first_page":"100422","last_page":"100422"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10680","display_name":"Wind Energy Research and Development","score":0.9868000149726868,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10680","display_name":"Wind Energy Research and Development","score":0.9868000149726868,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.010300000198185444,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11941","display_name":"Power System Reliability and Maintenance","score":0.0007999999797903001,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/weibull-distribution","display_name":"Weibull distribution","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/weibull-modulus","display_name":"Weibull modulus","score":0.8640000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-speed-distribution","display_name":"wind speed distribution","score":0.8859999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/short-term-forecasting","display_name":"short-term forecasting","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-interval-analysis","display_name":"time interval analysis","score":0.6039999723434448}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781039887","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1391724","display_name":"Factor (programming language)","level":2,"score":0.5367475748062134},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.5109567046165466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3745730519294739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3490942120552063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.2860204577445984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.2640928626060486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210238917","display_name":"Energy Nexus","issn_l":"2772-4271","issn":["2772-4271"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-d","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Energy Nexus","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:fbeb0be6c44346ea9438c60f4d271afe","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/fbeb0be6c44346ea9438c60f4d271afe","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Energy Nexus, Vol 18, Iss , Pp 100422- (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100422","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210238917","display_name":"Energy Nexus","issn_l":"2772-4271","issn":["2772-4271"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-d","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Energy Nexus","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.9090999960899353,"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.685699999332428,"display_name":"Climate action"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.7300000190734863,"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320331435","display_name":"Universidad de Almer\u00eda","ror":"https://ror.org/003d3xx08"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":38,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1976741468","https://openalex.org/W1996867411","https://openalex.org/W2030410030","https://openalex.org/W2054659065","https://openalex.org/W2057989489","https://openalex.org/W2889206816","https://openalex.org/W2916665654","https://openalex.org/W2920970206","https://openalex.org/W2935766809","https://openalex.org/W2974274799","https://openalex.org/W2982193212","https://openalex.org/W2990872140","https://openalex.org/W3000382483","https://openalex.org/W3120123064","https://openalex.org/W3120344343","https://openalex.org/W3138096715","https://openalex.org/W3153827666","https://openalex.org/W3193815561","https://openalex.org/W3193882231","https://openalex.org/W3204580583","https://openalex.org/W4200609088","https://openalex.org/W4229457151","https://openalex.org/W4281792476","https://openalex.org/W4306408490","https://openalex.org/W4307690338","https://openalex.org/W4310011890","https://openalex.org/W4313479673","https://openalex.org/W4319753156","https://openalex.org/W4327545557","https://openalex.org/W4362733918","https://openalex.org/W4377136712","https://openalex.org/W4385009618","https://openalex.org/W4385383128","https://openalex.org/W4385613002","https://openalex.org/W4386171536","https://openalex.org/W4386805143","https://openalex.org/W4390870557","https://openalex.org/W4392005857"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2003033456","https://openalex.org/W2386246912","https://openalex.org/W4250911175","https://openalex.org/W2355270116","https://openalex.org/W3007404728","https://openalex.org/W2374021052","https://openalex.org/W2110536732"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"\u2022":[0,12,23,36],"Wind,":[1],"2nd":[2],"largest":[3],"renewable":[4,53],"source,":[5],"utilizes":[6],"Weibull":[7,16,84,125,174,250,264],"distribution":[8,65,85],"for":[9,31,66,188,270,327,336],"speed":[10,92,324],"frequency.":[11],"New":[13],"approach":[14,165],"links":[15],"params":[17],"to":[18,94,118,158,179,215,237,262],"wind":[19,25,71,75,91,133,150,189,202,228,240,247,323,337],"farm":[20,26,151,203,223],"capacity":[21,33,42,129,152,181,185,243,268,307,333],"factors.":[22],"Tasmania":[24],"study":[27],"yields":[28],"practical":[29,164],"method":[30],"forecasting":[32],"factor":[34,130,153,186,244,269,334],"values.":[35],"Intervals":[37],"reveal":[38],"Weibull's":[39],"association":[40],"with":[41,301],"factor,":[43,97,308],"enabling":[44],"short-term":[45],"predictions.":[46],"Wind":[47],"energy":[48,54],"ranks":[49],"second":[50],"among":[51],"all":[52],"sources":[55],"in":[56],"generating":[57],"power.":[58],"The":[59,89,249],"F(v)":[60],"is":[61,145,194,299],"a":[62,120,160,201,302],"common":[63],"probability":[64],"determining":[67],"the":[68,77,83,95,99,103,107,124,128,132,173,180,184,205,222,239,267,275,306,311,315,332],"frequency":[69],"of":[70,82,106,131,138,208,293,305,310],"speeds.":[72],"When":[73],"evaluating":[74],"data,":[76],"scale":[78,96,177,253,296],"and":[79,127,163,176,226,245,252,266,283,295],"shape":[80,100,175,251,294],"characteristics":[81],"should":[86],"be":[87],"considered.":[88],"average":[90,246],"corresponds":[93],"whilst":[98],"parameter":[101,297],"represents":[102],"standard":[104],"deviation":[105],"data.":[108],"Several":[109],"attempts":[110],"have":[111],"been":[112],"made,":[113],"using":[114,191],"models":[115],"or":[116],"formula,":[117],"establish":[119],"direct":[121],"link":[122],"between":[123],"parameters":[126,178,193,254,265],"farm.":[134],"Nevertheless,":[135],"closer":[136],"inspection":[137],"these":[139,192],"methods":[140],"reveals":[141],"their":[142],"error":[143],"rate":[144],"much":[146],"higher":[147],"than":[148],"real":[149],"estimates.":[154],"This":[155,196],"work":[156],"aims":[157],"provide":[159],"more":[161,168],"workable":[162],"that":[166,290],"provides":[167],"realistic":[169],"numbers":[170],"by":[171],"connecting":[172],"factor.":[182],"Predicting":[183],"values":[187,298],"farms":[190,338],"possible.":[195],"research":[197],"examined":[198],"data":[199,276,325],"from":[200,211],"on":[204],"northwest":[206],"coast":[207],"Tasmania,":[209],"Australia,":[210],"July":[212],"1,":[213],"2007,":[214],"August":[216],"31,":[217],"2008.":[218],"Throughout":[219],"this":[220],"time,":[221],"produced":[224],"power":[225],"recorded":[227],"speeds":[229],"every":[230,291],"ten":[231],"minutes.":[232],"These":[233,286],"observations":[234],"were":[235,255,260],"used":[236],"compute":[238],"farm's":[241],"actual":[242],"speed.":[248],"then":[256],"determined.":[257],"Additional":[258],"computations":[259,316],"performed":[261],"determine":[263],"various":[271],"periods":[272,329],"after":[273],"dividing":[274],"into":[277],"half-yearly,":[278],"quarterly,":[279],"monthly,":[280],"10-day,":[281],"5-day,":[282],"daily":[284],"intervals.":[285,342],"interval":[287],"results":[288],"show":[289],"combination":[292],"associated":[300],"certain":[303],"value":[304,335],"irrespective":[309],"period":[312],"over":[313,339],"which":[314],"are":[317],"performed\u2014monthly,":[318],"yearly,":[319],"weekly,":[320],"etc.":[321],"Consequently,":[322],"available":[326],"brief":[328],"may":[330],"predict":[331],"longer":[340],"time":[341]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}