{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4409435201","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","title":"Optimizing construction duration estimation and monitoring for public building projects in Addis Ababa through an integrated deterministic and probabilistic conceptual model","display_name":"Optimizing construction duration estimation and monitoring for public building projects in Addis Ababa through an integrated deterministic and probabilistic conceptual model","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-04-14","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4409435201","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","pdf_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744?needAccess=true","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S100777832","display_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering","issn_l":"1346-7581","issn":["1346-7581","1347-2852"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744?needAccess=true","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5114793889","display_name":"Soreti Merga Liben","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210129636","display_name":"Addis Ababa Science and Technology University","ror":"https://ror.org/02psd9228","country_code":"ET","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210129636"]}],"countries":["ET"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Soreti M. Liben","raw_affiliation_strings":["Addis Ababa Science & Technology University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Addis Ababa Science & Technology University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210129636"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113050056","display_name":"Belachew Asteray Demiss","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7528-3517","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7528-3517"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165390105","display_name":"University of South Africa","ror":"https://ror.org/048cwvf49","country_code":"ZA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165390105"]}],"countries":["ZA"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Demiss A. Belachew","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of South Africa"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165390105"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021028163","display_name":"Walied A. Elsaigh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1668-3104","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1668-3104"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165390105","display_name":"University of South Africa","ror":"https://ror.org/048cwvf49","country_code":"ZA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165390105"]}],"countries":["ZA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Walied A. Elsaigh","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of South Africa"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165390105"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5113050056"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165390105"],"apc_list":{"value":950,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1165},"apc_paid":{"value":950,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1165},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.06734963,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"25","issue":"3","first_page":"2202","last_page":"2221"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11006","display_name":"BIM and Construction Integration","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12177","display_name":"Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construction-time-estimation","display_name":"construction time estimation","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-building-projects","display_name":"public building projects","score":0.9829999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/addis-ababa","display_name":"Addis Ababa","score":0.7739999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regulatory-delays","display_name":"regulatory delays","score":0.9039999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/government-shutdown","display_name":"government shutdown","score":0.8009999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/site-conditions","display_name":"site conditions","score":0.6650000214576721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-management","display_name":"risk management","score":0.6859999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monte-carlo-simulation","display_name":"Monte Carlo simulation","score":0.8220000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pert","display_name":"PERT","score":0.9449999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/schedule-reliability","display_name":"schedule reliability","score":0.515999972820282}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112758219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16038819","display_name":"Duration (music)","level":2,"score":0.7109825611114502},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.5937626957893372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.5866620540618896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.45111870765686035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114289077","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3284399","display_name":"Statistical model","level":2,"score":0.4189004898071289},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3337470293045044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.3267785608768463},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.19319823384284973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.1696453094482422},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142362112","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q735","display_name":"Art","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124952713","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8242","display_name":"Literature","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","pdf_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744?needAccess=true","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S100777832","display_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering","issn_l":"1346-7581","issn":["1346-7581","1347-2852"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:c06d8002246b47fa851ce455035a38ab","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/c06d8002246b47fa851ce455035a38ab","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering, Vol 25, Iss 3, Pp 2202-2221 (2026)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744","pdf_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13467581.2025.2486744?needAccess=true","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S100777832","display_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering","issn_l":"1346-7581","issn":["1346-7581","1347-2852"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","score":0.7646999955177307,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"},{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":0.651199996471405,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","score":0.5299999713897705,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4409435201.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4409435201.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":104,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W611222708","https://openalex.org/W1834214973","https://openalex.org/W1977136705","https://openalex.org/W1980193681","https://openalex.org/W1981407726","https://openalex.org/W1986507000","https://openalex.org/W1989423266","https://openalex.org/W1997972957","https://openalex.org/W2016946131","https://openalex.org/W2022790788","https://openalex.org/W2027264855","https://openalex.org/W2039734743","https://openalex.org/W2040748375","https://openalex.org/W2052583540","https://openalex.org/W2056351639","https://openalex.org/W2081460741","https://openalex.org/W2120408564","https://openalex.org/W2142387879","https://openalex.org/W2158153693","https://openalex.org/W2164687083","https://openalex.org/W2182140767","https://openalex.org/W2182558062","https://openalex.org/W2226681327","https://openalex.org/W2279140106","https://openalex.org/W2322165192","https://openalex.org/W2440266525","https://openalex.org/W2506198167","https://openalex.org/W2572225459","https://openalex.org/W2585798165","https://openalex.org/W2604958873","https://openalex.org/W2748523838","https://openalex.org/W2754334466","https://openalex.org/W2766493422","https://openalex.org/W2775509371","https://openalex.org/W2795672421","https://openalex.org/W2802911700","https://openalex.org/W2804035554","https://openalex.org/W2809556708","https://openalex.org/W2885421533","https://openalex.org/W2896002315","https://openalex.org/W2896679876","https://openalex.org/W2904495976","https://openalex.org/W2912567538","https://openalex.org/W2921822430","https://openalex.org/W2927494136","https://openalex.org/W2940320499","https://openalex.org/W2941396849","https://openalex.org/W2942687058","https://openalex.org/W2952228917","https://openalex.org/W2958360836","https://openalex.org/W2965594106","https://openalex.org/W2965689245","https://openalex.org/W2969981045","https://openalex.org/W2999148711","https://openalex.org/W3000231582","https://openalex.org/W3005560786","https://openalex.org/W3008084213","https://openalex.org/W3011863844","https://openalex.org/W3018620197","https://openalex.org/W3018718099","https://openalex.org/W3021380675","https://openalex.org/W3043062835","https://openalex.org/W3084162221","https://openalex.org/W3094566727","https://openalex.org/W3119005741","https://openalex.org/W3127631636","https://openalex.org/W3155853304","https://openalex.org/W3157705964","https://openalex.org/W3158297630","https://openalex.org/W3168648390","https://openalex.org/W3172133164","https://openalex.org/W3172136160","https://openalex.org/W3184658624","https://openalex.org/W3195864840","https://openalex.org/W3196242278","https://openalex.org/W3198016909","https://openalex.org/W3201100869","https://openalex.org/W3203082335","https://openalex.org/W3217217239","https://openalex.org/W4224089519","https://openalex.org/W4281671571","https://openalex.org/W4284693610","https://openalex.org/W4288757780","https://openalex.org/W4293150244","https://openalex.org/W4304172220","https://openalex.org/W4309332265","https://openalex.org/W4311405192","https://openalex.org/W4317401357","https://openalex.org/W4320005348","https://openalex.org/W4327732010","https://openalex.org/W4366588254","https://openalex.org/W4377693060","https://openalex.org/W4384039667","https://openalex.org/W4385342994","https://openalex.org/W4387013473","https://openalex.org/W4387136159","https://openalex.org/W4387741547","https://openalex.org/W4389263999","https://openalex.org/W4389956472","https://openalex.org/W4391610972","https://openalex.org/W4391970958","https://openalex.org/W4399984820","https://openalex.org/W4400074090","https://openalex.org/W4400559338"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2348837382","https://openalex.org/W746329893","https://openalex.org/W2002739602","https://openalex.org/W1968042686","https://openalex.org/W2897881820","https://openalex.org/W2345647014","https://openalex.org/W2201192772","https://openalex.org/W2161960196","https://openalex.org/W3136891595","https://openalex.org/W1964819397"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Effective":[0],"time":[1,100],"estimation":[2],"and":[3,38,55,62,82,84,93,102,124,133,148,159,178,186,192],"monitoring":[4],"are":[5,141],"crucial":[6],"for":[7,143,163,182],"the":[8,111],"success":[9],"of":[10,113],"public":[11],"building":[12],"projects,":[13],"especially":[14],"in":[15,30,184],"complex":[16],"environments":[17],"like":[18,145,155],"Addis":[19,31],"Ababa,":[20],"where":[21],"project":[22,70,94,119,175],"delivery":[23,103],"methods":[24,154],"introduce":[25],"considerable":[26],"uncertainties.":[27,105],"Existing":[28],"practices":[29],"Ababa":[32],"often":[33],"lead":[34],"to":[35,58,136,161,171],"unreliable":[36],"schedules":[37],"increased":[39],"risk.":[40],"This":[41],"study":[42],"addresses":[43],"these":[44,169],"issues":[45],"by":[46],"developing":[47],"an":[48],"integrated":[49,166],"conceptual":[50],"model":[51,65,128],"that":[52],"merges":[53],"deterministic":[54],"probabilistic":[56,153],"approaches":[57],"enhance":[59],"schedule":[60],"accuracy":[61],"reliability.":[63],"The":[64,127,165],"incorporates":[66],"factors":[67,144],"such":[68],"as":[69],"scope,":[71],"regulatory":[72,115,146],"requirements,":[73],"site":[74,125],"conditions,":[75],"contractual":[76],"terms,":[77],"historical":[78,131],"data,":[79],"resource":[80],"availability,":[81],"economic":[83],"political":[85],"influences.":[86],"Data":[87],"was":[88],"collected":[89],"from":[90],"clients,":[91],"consultants,":[92],"supervisors":[95],"on":[96],"construction":[97],"duration":[98,176],"estimation,":[99],"monitoring,":[101],"system":[104],"Key":[106],"influential":[107],"parameters":[108],"identified":[109],"include":[110],"number":[112],"buildings,":[114],"approvals,":[116],"government":[117],"shutdowns,":[118],"locations,":[120],"risk":[121],"management":[122],"strategies,":[123],"conditions.":[126,150],"proposes":[129],"using":[130,189],"data":[132],"expert":[134],"judgment":[135],"establish":[137],"baseline":[138],"durations,":[139],"which":[140],"adjusted":[142],"delays":[147],"site-specific":[149],"It":[151],"employs":[152],"Monte":[156],"Carlo":[157],"simulations":[158],"PERT":[160],"account":[162],"variability.":[164],"approach":[167],"combines":[168],"results":[170],"provide":[172],"a":[173,180],"comprehensive":[174],"estimate":[177],"includes":[179],"roadmap":[181],"implementation":[183],"R":[185],"Python,":[187],"validated":[188],"MAE,":[190],"RMSE,":[191],"R2":[193],"metrics.":[194]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}