{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4409433993","doi":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","title":"ENSURING THE NECESSARY LEVEL OF INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT BASED ON THE APPLICATION OF A MULTISIGMOIDAL MODEL","display_name":"ENSURING THE NECESSARY LEVEL OF INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT BASED ON THE APPLICATION OF A MULTISIGMOIDAL MODEL","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-04-14","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4409433993","doi":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","doi":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210213252","display_name":"Actual directions of scientific researches of the XXI century theory and practice","issn_l":"2308-8877","issn":["2308-8877"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4324001544","host_organization_name":"Infra-M Academic Publishing House","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4324001544"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Infra-M Academic Publishing House"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Actual directions of scientific researches of the XXI century: theory and practice","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5022834320","display_name":"Igor Igorevich Shanin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4706-9868","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4706-9868"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210103175","display_name":"Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies","ror":"https://ror.org/00r0vv945","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210103175"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Igor Shanin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. Morozov"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. Morozov","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210103175"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5022834320"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210103175"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.06957023,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"1","first_page":"128","last_page":"143"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13547","display_name":"Economic and Industrial Development","score":0.9229000210762024,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13547","display_name":"Economic and Industrial Development","score":0.9229000210762024,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12667","display_name":"Economic and Technological Developments in Russia","score":0.023600000888109207,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3303","display_name":"Development"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13181","display_name":"Economic and Technological Systems Analysis","score":0.00930000003427267,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/innovative-development","display_name":"innovative development","score":0.9399999976158142},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forest-industry-enterprises","display_name":"forest industry enterprises","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sigmoid-function","display_name":"sigmoid function","score":0.6470000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reforestation-costs","display_name":"reforestation costs","score":0.8709999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-forecasting","display_name":"economic forecasting","score":0.7360000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-crisis","display_name":"industrial crisis","score":0.38600000739097595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-dependence","display_name":"time dependence","score":0.3529999852180481}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776542497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5266672","display_name":"Development (topology)","level":2,"score":0.42189279198646545},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3942622244358063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195094911","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14167904","display_name":"Process management","level":1,"score":0.36394044756889343},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110354214","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6314146","display_name":"Engineering management","level":1,"score":0.33226364850997925},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3265085816383362},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.2696308493614197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1483769416809082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","doi":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210213252","display_name":"Actual directions of scientific researches of the XXI century theory and practice","issn_l":"2308-8877","issn":["2308-8877"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4324001544","host_organization_name":"Infra-M Academic Publishing House","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4324001544"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Infra-M Academic Publishing House"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Actual directions of scientific researches of the XXI century: theory and practice","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","doi":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.34220/2308-8877-2025-13-1-128-143","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210213252","display_name":"Actual directions of scientific researches of the XXI century theory and practice","issn_l":"2308-8877","issn":["2308-8877"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4324001544","host_organization_name":"Infra-M Academic Publishing House","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4324001544"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Infra-M Academic Publishing House"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Actual directions of scientific researches of the XXI century: theory and practice","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.7257999777793884},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":0.7207000255584717}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2735582538","https://openalex.org/W2978676480","https://openalex.org/W2989761905","https://openalex.org/W3088737367","https://openalex.org/W4365150451","https://openalex.org/W7010398020"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2390279801","https://openalex.org/W4391913857","https://openalex.org/W2358668433","https://openalex.org/W4396701345","https://openalex.org/W2376932109","https://openalex.org/W2001405890","https://openalex.org/W4396696052"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Industrial":[0],"enterprises":[1,58],"operate":[2],"in":[3,28,33,54,70,132,157],"difficult":[4],"economic":[5,10,90],"conditions,":[6,38],"determined":[7],"by":[8,22,26,163],"various":[9],"impacts":[11],"and":[12,31,40,87,91,144,171,194,212],"external":[13],"factors,":[14],"among":[15],"which":[16,201],"the":[17,44,49,55,62,72,76,85,96,104,112,115,127,133,152,158,172,177,198,213],"greatest":[18],"influence":[19],"is":[20,82],"exerted":[21],"geopolitical":[23],"factors":[24],"caused":[25],"uncertainty":[27],"commodity":[29],"markets":[30],"processes":[32],"mutual":[34],"settlements.":[35],"In":[36],"crisis":[37],"more":[39,41],"representatives":[42],"of":[43,51,57,64,78,89,98,106,114,117,126,129,136,141,146,151,160,165,168,180,183,200],"management":[45],"pay":[46],"attention":[47],"to":[48,74,84,193,210],"application":[50],"optimal":[52],"approaches":[53],"activities":[56,116],"aimed":[59],"at":[60],"increasing":[61],"level":[63],"innovative":[65,80,130,181],"development.":[66],"An":[67],"important":[68],"role":[69],"determining":[71],"ways":[73],"find":[75],"possibility":[77],"producing":[79],"products":[81,131],"given":[83],"analysis":[86,159],"modeling":[88,109],"production":[92],"indicators":[93,125,189],"selected":[94],"on":[95,197],"basis":[97,199],"detailed":[99],"forecasting.":[100],"The":[101,121,149,187],"article":[102],"presents":[103],"results":[105,150],"applying":[107],"multisigmoid":[108,178],"optimized":[110],"for":[111,175,206],"specifics":[113],"forest":[118,137,147,184],"industry":[119,138,185],"enterprises.":[120,186],"data":[122,215],"used":[123],"were":[124,190,216],"release":[128],"total":[134],"volume":[135],"production,":[139],"costs":[140],"reforestation,":[142],"prevention":[143],"extinguishing":[145],"fires.":[148],"study":[153],"are":[154],"graphically":[155],"reflected":[156],"time":[161],"dependencies":[162],"means":[164],"a":[166],"combination":[167],"sigmoid":[169],"functions":[170],"constructed":[173],"algorithm":[174],"implementing":[176],"model":[179],"development":[182],"necessary":[188],"analyzed":[191],"up":[192,209],"including":[195],"2023,":[196],"forecasting":[202],"was":[203],"carried":[204],"out":[205],"5":[207],"years":[208],"2028":[211],"obtained":[214],"analyzed.":[217]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-09-22T06:50:58.402377","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}