{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4408317397","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","title":"Putting the English Flooding of 2019\u20132021 in the Context of Antecedent Conditions","display_name":"Putting the English Flooding of 2019\u20132021 in the Context of Antecedent Conditions","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-03-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4408317397","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/jfr3.70016","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S164751132","display_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management","issn_l":"1753-318X","issn":["1753-318X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055187224","display_name":"Adam Griffin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-4561","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-4561"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092773","display_name":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","ror":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","country_code":"GB","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Adam Griffin","raw_affiliation_strings":["UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-4561","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058467269","display_name":"Gianni Vesuviano","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2157-8875","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2157-8875"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092773","display_name":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","ror":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","country_code":"GB","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Gianni Vesuviano","raw_affiliation_strings":["UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2157-8875","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028535169","display_name":"Donna Wilson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8188-2284","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8188-2284"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I184903800","display_name":"Environment Agency","ror":"https://ror.org/01zewfb16","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1326803253","https://openalex.org/I184903800","https://openalex.org/I2802373619"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Donna Wilson","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Flood Hydrology Team, Environment Agency  Bristol UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Flood Hydrology Team, Environment Agency  Bristol UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I184903800"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043495668","display_name":"Catherine E. M. Sefton","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8157-0368","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8157-0368"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092773","display_name":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","ror":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","country_code":"GB","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Catherine Sefton","raw_affiliation_strings":["UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029817850","display_name":"Stephen Turner","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8358-8775","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8358-8775"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092773","display_name":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","ror":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","country_code":"GB","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stephen Turner","raw_affiliation_strings":["UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8358-8775","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111175023","display_name":"Rachael Armitage","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-5338-4756","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0007-5338-4756"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092773","display_name":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","ror":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","country_code":"GB","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rachael Armitage","raw_affiliation_strings":["UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Gayatri Suman","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092773","display_name":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","ror":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","country_code":"GB","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Gayatri Suman","raw_affiliation_strings":["UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology  Wallingford UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5055187224"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092773"],"apc_list":{"value":3280,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3280},"apc_paid":{"value":3280,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3280},"fwci":0.8465,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.67506231,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"18","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.9970999956130981,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.9970999956130981,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.002400000113993883,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11119","display_name":"Urban Stormwater Management Solutions","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extreme-floods","display_name":"extreme floods","score":0.8389999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/antecedent-conditions","display_name":"antecedent conditions","score":0.925000011920929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/groundwater-level","display_name":"groundwater level","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/soil-moisture","display_name":"soil moisture","score":0.9940000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rainfall","display_name":"rainfall","score":0.5109999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/event-clustering","display_name":"event clustering","score":0.7179999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/urbanization","display_name":"urbanization","score":0.8399999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flood-risk","display_name":"flood risk","score":0.375}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781256819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16828835","display_name":"Antecedent (behavioral psychology)","level":2,"score":0.8916565775871277},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186594467","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1429176","display_name":"Flooding (psychology)","level":2,"score":0.6967542171478271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.6435198783874512},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.2636314034461975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.2482580542564392},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.15302670001983643},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.09820103645324707},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C542102704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183257","display_name":"Psychotherapist","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/jfr3.70016","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S164751132","display_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management","issn_l":"1753-318X","issn":["1753-318X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:nora.nerc.ac.uk:539058","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-4561","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400758","display_name":"NERC Open Research Archive (Natural Environment Research Council)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I141816643","host_organization_name":"Natural Environment Research Council","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I141816643"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Publication - Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:168fa2bc4f7b4c34b6d48ec7d484752f","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/168fa2bc4f7b4c34b6d48ec7d484752f","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management, Vol 18, Iss 1, Pp n/a-n/a (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/jfr3.70016","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70016","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S164751132","display_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management","issn_l":"1753-318X","issn":["1753-318X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Flood Risk Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Clean water and sanitation","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/6","score":0.6618000268936157},{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.5351999998092651},{"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11","score":0.5142999887466431}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":24,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1737716680","https://openalex.org/W2018764772","https://openalex.org/W2056199992","https://openalex.org/W2224635830","https://openalex.org/W2517028829","https://openalex.org/W2732516007","https://openalex.org/W2768463973","https://openalex.org/W2802553787","https://openalex.org/W2918639542","https://openalex.org/W2938984333","https://openalex.org/W2946287558","https://openalex.org/W2968435218","https://openalex.org/W2980963836","https://openalex.org/W3126068952","https://openalex.org/W3135273737","https://openalex.org/W3157904091","https://openalex.org/W3158261023","https://openalex.org/W3159326073","https://openalex.org/W3173084246","https://openalex.org/W4226429081","https://openalex.org/W4308317211","https://openalex.org/W4312130727","https://openalex.org/W4399541592","https://openalex.org/W4399863826"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2478582891","https://openalex.org/W2107728149","https://openalex.org/W2360806008","https://openalex.org/W2203872009","https://openalex.org/W3157556506","https://openalex.org/W2157900495","https://openalex.org/W2018105956","https://openalex.org/W2501695166","https://openalex.org/W2110194378","https://openalex.org/W1969410700"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT":[0],"England":[1,121,164],"experienced":[2,165],"a":[3,24,152,166,176,190],"sequence":[4],"of":[5,21,26,49,77,86,120,144,179],"extreme":[6,95,114],"flood":[7],"events":[8,38,145],"between":[9],"June":[10],"2019":[11],"and":[12,19,30,54,63,101,126,155,162],"April":[13],"2021.":[14],"To":[15],"understand":[16,70],"the":[17,22,71,75,78,82,87,107,113,131,147,169],"severity":[18],"likelihood":[20],"events,":[23],"set":[25],"over":[27,146],"300":[28],"flow":[29,56],"river":[31,102],"level":[32,53],"stations":[33,159],"was":[34,137,173,185],"investigated":[35,174],"for":[36],"key":[37],"(identified":[39],"by":[40],"Environment":[41],"Agency":[42],"Area":[43],"Teams),":[44],"focusing":[45],"on":[46,90],"frequency":[47],"analysis":[48],"peak":[50,52],"flow,":[51],"cumulative":[55],"volume.":[57],"In":[58],"addition,":[59],"groundwater,":[60],"soil":[61,127],"moisture":[62,128],"seasonal":[64],"total":[65],"rainfall":[66,79,97],"were":[67,93,104],"analysed":[68],"to":[69,112,139,188],"antecedent":[72,115],"conditions":[73,116],"affecting":[74],"impacts":[76],"experienced.":[80],"While":[81],"period":[83,149],"contained":[84],"some":[85],"wettest":[88],"months":[89],"record,":[91],"there":[92],"few":[94],"short\u2010duration":[96],"events.":[98,132],"Record\u2010breaking":[99],"flows":[100],"levels":[103,125],"seen":[105,187],"across":[106],"country,":[108],"in":[109,160],"part":[110],"due":[111],"where":[117],"many":[118],"parts":[119],"had":[122],"record":[123],"groundwater":[124],"content":[129],"preceding":[130],"A":[133],"kernel":[134],"density":[135],"approach":[136],"used":[138],"identify":[140],"statistically":[141],"significant":[142,191],"clusters":[143],"study":[148,170],"(compared":[150],"with":[151],"Poisson":[153],"process)":[154],"found":[156],"that":[157],"most":[158],"northern":[161],"western":[163],"cluster":[167],"during":[168],"period.":[171],"Urbanisation":[172],"as":[175],"possible":[177],"driver":[178],"these":[180],"trends,":[181],"but":[182],"urban":[183],"increase":[184],"not":[186],"be":[189],"driver.":[192]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}