{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4407686880","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","title":"Efecto de la volatilidad del precio internacional del ar\u00e1ndano en el modelo de producci\u00f3n mexicano","display_name":"Efecto de la volatilidad del precio internacional del ar\u00e1ndano en el modelo de producci\u00f3n mexicano","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-02-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4407686880","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536"},"language":"es","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","pdf_url":"https://www.ciad.mx/estudiosociales/index.php/es/article/download/1536/1253","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172424","display_name":"Estudios Sociales Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","issn_l":"0188-4557","issn":["0188-4557","2395-9169"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","latindex","norway-1","scielo"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319596","host_organization_name":"Research Center for Food and Development A.C.","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319596"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Research Center for Food and Development A.C."],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Estudios Sociales. Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","raw_type":"journal-article"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W4407686880"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://www.ciad.mx/estudiosociales/index.php/es/article/download/1536/1253","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032415531","display_name":"Rafael D\u00edaz Castellanos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4780-5386","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4780-5386"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210113355","display_name":"Universidad An\u00e1huac","ror":"https://ror.org/02z9t1k38","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210113355"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Rafael D\u00edaz-Castellanos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad An\u00e1huac"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4780-5386","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad An\u00e1huac","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210113355"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5032415531"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210113355"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11898","display_name":"Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11898","display_name":"Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11805","display_name":"Agricultural economics and policies","score":0.005799999926239252,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13010","display_name":"Agriculture and Agroindustry Studies","score":0.0031999999191612005,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1100","display_name":"General Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/blueberry","display_name":"blueberry","score":0.7369999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-demand-imbalance","display_name":"supply and demand imbalance","score":0.8820000290870667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/price-forecasting","display_name":"price forecasting","score":0.8059999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.8859999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-production-growth","display_name":"agricultural production growth","score":0.5320000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-crisis","display_name":"agricultural crisis","score":0.40700000524520874}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4400939345359802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15708023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q80083","display_name":"Humanities","level":1,"score":0.3782796561717987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.3324524164199829}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","pdf_url":"https://www.ciad.mx/estudiosociales/index.php/es/article/download/1536/1253","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172424","display_name":"Estudios Sociales Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","issn_l":"0188-4557","issn":["0188-4557","2395-9169"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","latindex","norway-1","scielo"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319596","host_organization_name":"Research Center for Food and Development A.C.","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319596"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Research Center for Food and Development A.C."],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Estudios Sociales. Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:ojs.ciad.mx:article/1536","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ciad.mx/estudiosociales/index.php/es/article/view/1536","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172424","display_name":"Estudios Sociales Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","issn_l":"0188-4557","issn":["0188-4557","2395-9169"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","latindex","norway-1","scielo"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319596","host_organization_name":"Research Center for Food and Development A.C.","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319596"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Research Center for Food and Development A.C."],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"0188-4557","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:dialnet.unirioja.es:ART0001772859","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/oaiart?codigo=10208710","pdf_url":"https://dialnet.unirioja.es/descarga/articulo/10208710.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401293","display_name":"Dialnet (Universidad de la Rioja)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I168974976","host_organization_name":"Universidad de La Rioja","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I168974976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Estudios Sociales: Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional, ISSN 2395-9169, Vol. 35, N\u00ba. 65, 2025","raw_type":"text (article)"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24836/es.v35i65.1536","pdf_url":"https://www.ciad.mx/estudiosociales/index.php/es/article/download/1536/1253","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172424","display_name":"Estudios Sociales Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","issn_l":"0188-4557","issn":["0188-4557","2395-9169"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","latindex","norway-1","scielo"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319596","host_organization_name":"Research Center for Food and Development A.C.","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319596"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Research Center for Food and Development A.C."],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Estudios Sociales. Revista de Alimentaci\u00f3n Contempor\u00e1nea y Desarrollo Regional","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.9208999872207642,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","display_name":"Zero hunger"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4407686880.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4407686880.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":1,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W3194202540"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4401906560","https://openalex.org/W4383212261","https://openalex.org/W7056626219","https://openalex.org/W7002194838","https://openalex.org/W4402073694","https://openalex.org/W6910889457","https://openalex.org/W7000365183","https://openalex.org/W7037808309","https://openalex.org/W7048545595"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Objetivo:":[0],"describir":[1],"la":[2,53,56,78,95,98,144,158,168],"din\u00e1mica":[3],"de":[4,10,12,15,27,38,40,73,90,93,97,104,110,118,157,165],"las":[5,28],"variables":[6,29],"del":[7,24,30,63,121,155,162,189],"mercado":[8,31],"mundial":[9,58,160],"ar\u00e1ndano":[11],"poco":[13,102],"m\u00e1s":[14,103],"dos":[16,105],"d\u00e9cadas":[17,106],"(2000-2022).":[18],"Metodolog\u00eda:":[19],"proceso":[20],"secuencial":[21],"mixto,":[22],"contraste":[23],"an\u00e1lisis":[25],"estad\u00edstico":[26],"y":[32,55,83,112,124,146,161],"su":[33,179],"pron\u00f3stico":[34,85,156],"con":[35],"m\u00e9todos":[36],"predictivos":[37],"series":[39],"tiempo":[41],"en":[42,77,101,181],"el":[43,49,75,84,116,151,173],"software":[44],"Minitab.":[45],"Resultados:":[46],"se":[47,87,125,136],"demuestra":[48],"creciente":[50],"desequilibrio":[51],"entre":[52],"oferta":[54,159],"demanda":[57],"afectando":[59],"negativamente":[60],"al":[61,66,127,129,187],"precio:":[62],"a\u00f1o":[64,122],"2000":[65,123],"2011":[67],"tuvo":[68],"un":[69],"incremento":[70],"promedio":[71,109],"anual":[72,108],"casi":[74,91],"10.96%,":[76],"siguiente":[79],"d\u00e9cada":[80],"fue":[81],"1.92%":[82],"2023-2032":[86],"espera":[88],"sea":[89],"-2%":[92],"continuar":[94],"tendencia":[96],"producci\u00f3n":[99,180],"observada":[100],"(aumento":[107],"7.32%":[111],"9.99%":[113],"respectivamente).":[114],"Limitaciones:":[115],"per\u00edodo":[117],"estudio":[119],"parte":[120],"cierra":[126],"2022":[128],"no":[130],"existir":[131],"informaci\u00f3n":[132],"oficial":[133],"posterior,":[134],"tampoco":[135],"encontraron":[137],"papers":[138],"que":[139,153,177],"atiendan":[140],"esta":[141],"tem\u00e1tica":[142],"desde":[143],"metodolog\u00eda":[145],"gesti\u00f3n":[147],"inform\u00e1tica":[148],"propuesta.":[149],"Conclusi\u00f3n:":[150],"escenario":[152],"resulta":[154],"precio":[163],"internacional":[164],"ar\u00e1dano":[166],"antecede":[167],"crisis":[169],"por":[170],"venir":[171],"para":[172],"sector":[174],"productor":[175],"mexicano":[176],"creci\u00f3":[178],"22":[182],"a\u00f1os":[183],"23,516%":[184],"muy":[185],"superior":[186],"481%":[188],"acumulado":[190],"mundial.":[191]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-14T11:04:58.165337","created_date":"2025-02-19T00:00:00"}