{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4407367185","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","title":"Spectrally transformed CMIP6 decadal projections improve interannual rainfall forecasts","display_name":"Spectrally transformed CMIP6 decadal projections improve interannual rainfall forecasts","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-02-11","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4407367185","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S55737203","display_name":"Journal of Hydrology","issn_l":"0022-1694","issn":["0022-1694","1879-2707"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","ki-jl-1","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Hydrology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067320455","display_name":"Ze Jiang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3472-0829","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3472-0829"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I31746571","display_name":"UNSW Sydney","ror":"https://ror.org/03r8z3t63","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ze Jiang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3472-0829","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036894388","display_name":"Dipayan Choudhury","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9969-357X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9969-357X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4392021204","display_name":"NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water","ror":"https://ror.org/038pwz535","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801351115","https://openalex.org/I4392021204"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dipayan Choudhury","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, New South Wales, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, New South Wales, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4392021204"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100622412","display_name":"Ashish Sharma","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6758-0519","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6758-0519"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I31746571","display_name":"UNSW Sydney","ror":"https://ror.org/03r8z3t63","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ashish Sharma","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6758-0519","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5067320455","https://openalex.org/A5100622412"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I31746571"],"apc_list":{"value":4030,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4030},"apc_paid":{"value":4030,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4030},"fwci":1.5947,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.79860945,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"655","issue":null,"first_page":"132870","last_page":"132870"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11186","display_name":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decadal-climate-prediction","display_name":"decadal climate prediction","score":0.8330000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cmip6","display_name":"CMIP6","score":0.7409999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sea-surface-temperature-anomalies","display_name":"sea surface temperature anomalies","score":0.8650000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spectral-transformation","display_name":"spectral transformation","score":0.843999981880188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/teleconnections","display_name":"teleconnections","score":0.7540000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/australian-rainfall","display_name":"Australian rainfall","score":0.7549999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/drought-mitigation","display_name":"drought mitigation","score":0.7409999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/water-resources-management","display_name":"water resources management","score":0.8899999856948853}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.7668823003768921},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4398956298828125},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.37335872650146484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.3287084996700287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.12639477849006653}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S55737203","display_name":"Journal of Hydrology","issn_l":"0022-1694","issn":["0022-1694","1879-2707"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","ki-jl-1","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Hydrology","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132870","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S55737203","display_name":"Journal of Hydrology","issn_l":"0022-1694","issn":["0022-1694","1879-2707"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","ki-jl-1","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Hydrology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","score":0.9786999821662903,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5371681615","display_name":"A Decadal Roadmap for Water Security and Resource Management","funder_award_id":"IE240100041","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334704","funder_display_name":"Australian Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G605824615","display_name":"Assessing Water Supply Security in a Nonstationary Environment","funder_award_id":"DP200101326","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334704","funder_display_name":"Australian Research Council"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320312169","display_name":"National Computational Infrastructure","ror":"https://ror.org/04yx6dh41"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320315885","display_name":"Australian Government","ror":"https://ror.org/0314h5y94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334704","display_name":"Australian Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/05mmh0f86"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":58,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W75231382","https://openalex.org/W91042601","https://openalex.org/W129305155","https://openalex.org/W174598607","https://openalex.org/W1602012907","https://openalex.org/W1609952363","https://openalex.org/W1712358865","https://openalex.org/W1862292973","https://openalex.org/W1967334197","https://openalex.org/W1967879959","https://openalex.org/W1970329847","https://openalex.org/W1985695858","https://openalex.org/W1986528915","https://openalex.org/W1987246775","https://openalex.org/W2006165291","https://openalex.org/W2006647656","https://openalex.org/W2007739463","https://openalex.org/W2021722152","https://openalex.org/W2029590433","https://openalex.org/W2053831820","https://openalex.org/W2054186378","https://openalex.org/W2063072029","https://openalex.org/W2066532049","https://openalex.org/W2068059354","https://openalex.org/W2077696551","https://openalex.org/W2135515640","https://openalex.org/W2164240353","https://openalex.org/W2193503481","https://openalex.org/W2332634346","https://openalex.org/W2538529636","https://openalex.org/W2584314571","https://openalex.org/W2592473291","https://openalex.org/W2619693065","https://openalex.org/W2757780114","https://openalex.org/W2946779411","https://openalex.org/W2966035769","https://openalex.org/W2966849278","https://openalex.org/W2978319369","https://openalex.org/W2991039037","https://openalex.org/W3007120688","https://openalex.org/W3014071393","https://openalex.org/W3038343191","https://openalex.org/W3045947152","https://openalex.org/W3080242558","https://openalex.org/W3082432889","https://openalex.org/W3084447606","https://openalex.org/W3093060978","https://openalex.org/W3095886074","https://openalex.org/W3126855092","https://openalex.org/W3177117477","https://openalex.org/W3195748478","https://openalex.org/W3200320086","https://openalex.org/W4200539351","https://openalex.org/W4296184874","https://openalex.org/W4296336297","https://openalex.org/W4298352105","https://openalex.org/W4382197325","https://openalex.org/W4399588302"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2966849278","https://openalex.org/W6927057105","https://openalex.org/W6917579969","https://openalex.org/W4408667198","https://openalex.org/W4392758443","https://openalex.org/W7135200839","https://openalex.org/W2054090194","https://openalex.org/W1967879959","https://openalex.org/W4321995509","https://openalex.org/W3043012154"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Forecasting":[0],"rainfall":[1,51,76,96,125,142,177,193],"over":[2,78,126,181],"long":[3],"lead":[4,156],"times":[5,157],"(from":[6],"interannual":[7,75,127,141],"to":[8,91,123,144,155,169],"decadal":[9,43,72],"scales)":[10],"is":[11,152],"essential":[12],"for":[13,22,74,175,198],"informing":[14],"water":[15,199,209],"resource":[16,200],"management":[17],"and":[18,189,202,214],"adaptation":[19,218],"planning,":[20,213],"especially":[21],"drought-prone":[23],"countries":[24],"such":[25],"as":[26,114],"Australia.":[27,79],"The":[28],"latest":[29],"suite":[30],"of":[31,42,59,64,83,86,95,140,158,173],"Coupled":[32],"Model":[33],"Intercomparison":[34],"Project":[35],"Phase":[36],"6":[37],"(CMIP6)":[38],"models":[39],"provides":[40],"simulations":[41,63],"prediction":[44,94],"experiments,":[45],"although":[46],"their":[47],"skill":[48],"in":[49],"simulating":[50],"remains":[52],"limited.":[53],"This":[54,162],"study":[55],"investigates":[56],"the":[57,93,138,145,167,171],"merit":[58],"using":[60,100],"spectrally":[61,107],"transformed":[62,90,108],"sea":[65],"surface":[66],"temperature":[67],"anomaly":[68],"(SSTA)":[69],"from":[70],"CMIP6":[71],"experiments":[73],"forecasting":[77,178],"SSTA":[80,109],"indices":[81,110],"representative":[82],"large-scale":[84],"modes":[85],"climate":[87,187,217],"variability":[88,188],"are":[89,111],"enhance":[92,170],"at":[97],"specific":[98],"locations":[99],"Wavelet":[101],"System":[102],"Prediction":[103],"(WASP)":[104],"method.":[105],"These":[106],"then":[112],"used":[113],"inputs":[115,174],"into":[116],"a":[117],"hierarchical":[118],"linear":[119],"combination":[120],"(HLC)":[121],"model":[122,135],"forecast":[124],"timescales.":[128],"Results":[129],"show":[130],"that":[131],"this":[132],"hybrid":[133],"HLC-WASP":[134],"significantly":[136],"improves":[137],"predictability":[139],"compared":[143],"existing":[146],"approach":[147],"where":[148],"no":[149],"spectral":[150,163],"transformation":[151,164],"used,":[153],"up":[154],"five":[159],"years":[160],"ahead.":[161],"technique":[165],"has":[166],"potential":[168],"quality":[172],"other":[176],"models,":[179],"particularly":[180],"regions":[182],"with":[183],"significant":[184,196],"teleconnections":[185],"between":[186],"regional":[190],"rainfall.":[191],"Improved":[192],"forecasts":[194],"have":[195],"implications":[197],"planning":[201],"management,":[203],"enabling":[204],"better":[205],"drought":[206],"mitigation,":[207],"efficient":[208],"allocation,":[210],"informed":[211],"infrastructure":[212],"more":[215],"effective":[216],"strategies.":[219]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2025-02-12T00:00:00"}