{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4402836367","doi":"https://doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","title":"Autoregression of Bilateral Trade Flow Matrices","display_name":"Autoregression of Bilateral Trade Flow Matrices","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-09-04","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4402836367","doi":"https://doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","doi":"https://doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","pdf_url":"https://ielas.org/ijbe/index.php/ijbe/article/download/30/35","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4389157861","display_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","issn_l":"2545-4137","issn":["2545-4137"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://ielas.org/ijbe/index.php/ijbe/article/download/30/35","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5012575254","display_name":"Guoyu Lin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0946-3397","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0946-3397"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16944753","display_name":"Clarkson University","ror":"https://ror.org/03rwgpn18","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guoyu Lin","raw_affiliation_strings":["David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University","Xiamen Transit Construction and Development Group Corporation"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0946-3397","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Xiamen Transit Construction and Development Group Corporation","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002016213","display_name":"Jackson Menoher","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16944753","display_name":"Clarkson University","ror":"https://ror.org/03rwgpn18","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jackson Menoher","raw_affiliation_strings":["David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100823227","display_name":"Guoxiang Lin","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16944753","display_name":"Clarkson University","ror":"https://ror.org/03rwgpn18","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guoxiang Lin","raw_affiliation_strings":["David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University","Xiamen Transit Construction and Development Group Corporation"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Xiamen Transit Construction and Development Group Corporation","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025185897","display_name":"Jehu Mette","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0947-2541","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0947-2541"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16944753","display_name":"Clarkson University","ror":"https://ror.org/03rwgpn18","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jehu Mette","raw_affiliation_strings":["David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0947-2541","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"David D. Reh School of Business, Clarkson University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16944753"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"7","issue":"2","first_page":"9","last_page":"16"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10128","display_name":"Global trade and economics","score":0.9639000296592712,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10128","display_name":"Global trade and economics","score":0.9639000296592712,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.021900000050663948,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13141","display_name":"Statistical Methods and Applications","score":0.002400000113993883,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bilateral-trade-flows","display_name":"bilateral trade flows","score":0.9169999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/matrix-regression","display_name":"matrix regression","score":0.746999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exports","display_name":"exports","score":0.5709999799728394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trading-partners","display_name":"trade partners","score":0.8420000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trade-policy","display_name":"trade policy","score":0.8420000076293945}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38349280","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1434290","display_name":"Flow (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.5692718625068665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.42003703117370605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159877910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2202883","display_name":"Autoregressive model","level":2,"score":0.4179114103317261},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3192478120326996},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2347143590450287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.1019761860370636}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","doi":"https://doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","pdf_url":"https://ielas.org/ijbe/index.php/ijbe/article/download/30/35","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4389157861","display_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","issn_l":"2545-4137","issn":["2545-4137"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:ojs2.ielas.org:article/30","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://ielas.org/ijbe/index.php/ijbe/article/view/30","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4389157861","display_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","issn_l":"2545-4137","issn":["2545-4137"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2545-4137","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:zenodo.org:7125806","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://zenodo.org/record/7125806","pdf_url":"https://zenodo.org/record/7125806","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"doi:10.5281/zenodo.7125806","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7125806","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7125806","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400562","display_name":"Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I67311998","host_organization_name":"European Organization for Nuclear Research","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I67311998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"JournalArticle"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","doi":"https://doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.58885/ijbe.v07i2.009.gl","pdf_url":"https://ielas.org/ijbe/index.php/ijbe/article/download/30/35","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4389157861","display_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","issn_l":"2545-4137","issn":["2545-4137"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Business & Economics (IJBE)","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4402836367.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4402836367.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1979104937","https://openalex.org/W2024127226","https://openalex.org/W2295485904","https://openalex.org/W2299965164","https://openalex.org/W2979475604","https://openalex.org/W4226316454"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4406059483","https://openalex.org/W4417329395","https://openalex.org/W4409161165","https://openalex.org/W7220513739","https://openalex.org/W4417053324","https://openalex.org/W3125027732","https://openalex.org/W4399430547","https://openalex.org/W1971560764","https://openalex.org/W7167846699","https://openalex.org/W3125761272"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Amongst":[0],"a":[1,46],"considered":[2],"set":[3],"of":[4,24,37,42,49,63],"trading":[5,43,50],"partners,":[6],"does":[7],"proportional":[8,40],"bilateral":[9],"trade":[10,74],"flow":[11],"in":[12],"matrix":[13,55],"form":[14],"have":[15],"autoregressive":[16,64],"predictability?":[17],"In":[18],"this":[19],"paper,":[20],"the":[21,33,54],"standard":[22],"method":[23],"ordinary":[25],"least":[26],"squares":[27],"(OLS)":[28],"regression":[29,56],"is":[30],"modified":[31],"for":[32],"input":[34],"and":[35,52],"prediction":[36],"matrices":[38],"representing":[39],"exports":[41],"partners.":[44],"Considering":[45],"small":[47],"sample":[48],"partners":[51],"using":[53],"model":[57],"proposed,":[58],"we":[59],"find":[60],"some":[61,82],"evidence":[62],"predictability.":[65],"This":[66],"predictability":[67],"can":[68],"be":[69],"employed":[70],"to":[71],"predict":[72],"future":[73],"flows":[75],"among":[76],"different":[77],"countries.":[78],"Our":[79],"findings":[80],"provide":[81],"potential":[83],"policy":[84],"implications":[85],"on":[86],"international":[87],"trade.":[88]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2024-09-26T00:00:00"}