{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4392378956","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","title":"Forecasted Dementia Prevalence in Portugal (2020-2080)","display_name":"Forecasted Dementia Prevalence in Portugal (2020-2080)","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-03-04","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4392378956","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38436576","pmcid":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/11317018"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1177/08919887241237220","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S182765863","display_name":"Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neurology","issn_l":"0891-9887","issn":["0891-9887","1552-5708"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neurology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5056678458","display_name":"Sara Alves","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4883-0479","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4883-0479"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210137384","display_name":"Centre for Health Technology and Services Research","ror":"https://ror.org/0434vme59","country_code":"PT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Sara Alves","raw_affiliation_strings":["CINTESIS@RISE, ICBAS, Porto, Portugal","Santa Casa da Miseric\u00f3rdia de Riba D\u2019Ave/CIDIFAD \u2013 Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o, Diagn\u00f3stico, Forma\u00e7\u00e3o e Acompanhamento das Dem\u00eancias, Braga, Portugal"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4883-0479","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CINTESIS@RISE, ICBAS, Porto, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Santa Casa da Miseric\u00f3rdia de Riba D\u2019Ave/CIDIFAD \u2013 Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o, Diagn\u00f3stico, Forma\u00e7\u00e3o e Acompanhamento das Dem\u00eancias, Braga, Portugal","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013393374","display_name":"Nat\u00e1lia Sofia Correia Duarte","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6001-2041","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6001-2041"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210137384","display_name":"Centre for Health Technology and Services Research","ror":"https://ror.org/0434vme59","country_code":"PT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nat\u00e1lia Duarte","raw_affiliation_strings":["CINTESIS@RISE, ICBAS, Porto, Portugal","Santa Casa da Miseric\u00f3rdia de Riba D\u2019Ave/CIDIFAD \u2013 Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o, Diagn\u00f3stico, Forma\u00e7\u00e3o e Acompanhamento das Dem\u00eancias, Braga, Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CINTESIS@RISE, ICBAS, Porto, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Santa Casa da Miseric\u00f3rdia de Riba D\u2019Ave/CIDIFAD \u2013 Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o, Diagn\u00f3stico, Forma\u00e7\u00e3o e Acompanhamento das Dem\u00eancias, Braga, Portugal","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5089511393","display_name":"B\u00e1rbara Gomes","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8149-1806","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8149-1806"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76903346","display_name":"University of Coimbra","ror":"https://ror.org/04z8k9a98","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76903346"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Barbara Gomes","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Medicine, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Medicine, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76903346"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5056678458"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"],"apc_list":{"value":3950,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3950},"apc_paid":{"value":3950,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3950},"fwci":4.5967,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":20,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95914259,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"37","issue":"5","first_page":"403","last_page":"412"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10009","display_name":"Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2738","display_name":"Psychiatry and Mental health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10009","display_name":"Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2738","display_name":"Psychiatry and Mental health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12811","display_name":"Aging, Health, and Disability","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dementia-prevalence","display_name":"dementia prevalence","score":0.9390000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-projections","display_name":"population projections","score":0.7239999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/older-adults","display_name":"older adults","score":0.8709999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dsm-iv-criteria","display_name":"DSM-IV diagnostic criteria","score":0.8519999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-growth-scenarios","display_name":"population growth scenarios","score":0.5820000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/women-s-health","display_name":"women's health","score":0.3930000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/portugal","display_name":"Portugal","score":0.527999997138977}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779483572","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83030","display_name":"Dementia","level":3,"score":0.9252653121948242},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138816342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189603","display_name":"Public health","level":2,"score":0.6656270623207092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.5875694751739502},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74909509","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10387","display_name":"Gerontology","level":1,"score":0.5347541570663452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.504207968711853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.37649843096733093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.2117660641670227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.14211151003837585},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159110408","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q121176","display_name":"Nursing","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000369","descriptor_name":"Aged, 80 and over","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003704","descriptor_name":"Dementia","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011174","descriptor_name":"Portugal","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015995","descriptor_name":"Prevalence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1177/08919887241237220","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S182765863","display_name":"Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neurology","issn_l":"0891-9887","issn":["0891-9887","1552-5708"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neurology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:11317018","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/11317018","pdf_url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11317018/pdf/10.1177_08919887241237220.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"J Geriatr Psychiatry Neurol","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmid:38436576","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38436576","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of geriatric psychiatry and neurology","raw_type":"Journal Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1177/08919887241237220","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1177/08919887241237220","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S182765863","display_name":"Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neurology","issn_l":"0891-9887","issn":["0891-9887","1552-5708"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neurology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.9537000060081482,"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1980026733","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"RISE\u2014LA/P/0053/2020","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334779","funder_display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2256790133","display_name":"Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o em Tecnologias e Servi\u00e7os de Sa\u00fade","funder_award_id":"UIDB/04255/2020","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334779","funder_display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3370921390","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"UIDP/04255/2020 and UIDB/04255/2020","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334779","funder_display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7196666083","display_name":"Rede de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o em Sa\u00fade: do Laborat\u00f3rio \u00e0 Sa\u00fade Comunit\u00e1ria","funder_award_id":"LA/P/0053/2020","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334779","funder_display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334779","display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia","ror":"https://ror.org/00snfqn58"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4392378956.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4392378956.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":25,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1919272385","https://openalex.org/W1946151138","https://openalex.org/W2023611349","https://openalex.org/W2023672734","https://openalex.org/W2088135134","https://openalex.org/W2113463442","https://openalex.org/W2118706985","https://openalex.org/W2270987730","https://openalex.org/W2584951391","https://openalex.org/W2767386867","https://openalex.org/W2792756063","https://openalex.org/W2802157723","https://openalex.org/W2899906437","https://openalex.org/W2902211786","https://openalex.org/W2946486402","https://openalex.org/W2984398211","https://openalex.org/W3022868799","https://openalex.org/W3029788852","https://openalex.org/W3047637501","https://openalex.org/W3177240945","https://openalex.org/W3184429840","https://openalex.org/W3186983725","https://openalex.org/W4200388960","https://openalex.org/W4206055706","https://openalex.org/W4220814050"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4366997229","https://openalex.org/W3177240945","https://openalex.org/W2767386867","https://openalex.org/W4205786977","https://openalex.org/W7056448975","https://openalex.org/W3210448646","https://openalex.org/W1861160729","https://openalex.org/W2015976499","https://openalex.org/W4417269617","https://openalex.org/W2115444161"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Dementia":[0,63],"is":[1,12],"a":[2,96,145],"global":[3,147],"public":[4,154],"health":[5,155],"challenge,":[6],"and":[7,69,72,92,113,158],"its":[8],"impact":[9],"on":[10,60],"Portugal":[11,21,56,142],"yet":[13],"unclear.":[14],"This":[15],"study":[16,51],"forecasts":[17],"dementia":[18,33,102,133,139],"prevalence":[19,46,103],"in":[20,40,101,129,141],"until":[22],"2080.":[23],"Using":[24],"the":[25,41,49,61,70],"Gon\u00e7alves-Pereira":[26,50],"et":[27],"al":[28],"(2021)":[29],"method,":[30],"we":[31],"estimated":[32],"cases":[34],"among":[35],"older":[36],"adults":[37],"(\u226565":[38],"years)":[39],"community.":[42],"Applying":[43],"age-sex":[44],"specific":[45],"rates":[47],"of":[48,75,131],"to":[52,81,106,124],"population":[53,83],"projections":[54,84],"for":[55,109,144],"between":[57],"2020-2080,":[58],"based":[59],"10/66":[62,110],"Research":[64],"Group":[65],"criteria":[66,79],"(10/66":[67],"DRG)":[68],"Diagnostic":[71],"Statistical":[73],"Manual":[74],"Mental":[76],"Disorders":[77],"IV":[78],"(DSM-IV),":[80],"Portugal's":[82],"(2020-2080)":[85],"under":[86],"various":[87],"growth":[88,140],"scenarios":[89],"(low,":[90],"medium,":[91],"high).":[93],"We":[94],"anticipate":[95],"more":[97],"than":[98],"2-fold":[99],"increase":[100],"from":[104],"2020":[105],"2080,":[107,117],"both":[108],"DRG":[111],"[2.1%-5.0%]":[112],"DSM-IV":[114],"[.8%-2.0%].":[115],"By":[116],"those":[118],"aged":[119],"\u226580":[120],"years":[121],"are":[122],"projected":[123],"constitute":[125],"75.0%":[126],"(vs":[127],"59.0%":[128],"2020)":[130],"all":[132],"cases,":[134],"particularly":[135],"affecting":[136],"women.":[137],"Addressing":[138],"calls":[143],"comprehensive":[146],"response,":[148],"while":[149],"country-level":[150],"estimates":[151],"facilitate":[152],"informed":[153],"planning,":[156],"policy-making,":[157],"resource":[159],"allocation.":[160]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2024-03-05T00:00:00"}
