{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4391841007","doi":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","title":"The Forecasting of Transportation of People by Rail in Poland for 2024 in Terms of Economic Security in the Republic of Poland","display_name":"The Forecasting of Transportation of People by Rail in Poland for 2024 in Terms of Economic Security in the Republic of Poland","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-02-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4391841007","doi":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","doi":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","pdf_url":"https://journals.lka.lt/journal/jssi/article/2164/file/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2765060133","display_name":"Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues","issn_l":"2029-7017","issn":["2029-7017","2029-7025"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["norway-1","poland-100"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://journals.lka.lt/journal/jssi/article/2164/file/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021131450","display_name":"Bartosz Kozicki","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-952X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-952X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2800249161","display_name":"Military University of Technology in Warsaw","ror":"https://ror.org/05fct5h31","country_code":"PL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2800249161"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bartosz Kozicki","raw_affiliation_strings":["Military University of Technology, Poland"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-952X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Military University of Technology, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2800249161"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053258611","display_name":"Pawe\u0142 Krystian Lubiewski","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5149-7908","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5149-7908"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210145463","display_name":"WSB University","ror":"https://ror.org/046tym167","country_code":"PL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210145463"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Pawe\u0142 Lubiewski","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy WSB, Poland"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5149-7908","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy WSB, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210145463"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5093723237","display_name":"Bartosz B\u0142aszczak","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0457-4434","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0457-4434"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bartosz B\u0142aszczak","raw_affiliation_strings":["Higher Vocational Education School, Poland"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0457-4434","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Higher Vocational Education School, Poland","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5093678925","display_name":"David Z\u00e0mek","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9020-0830","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9020-0830"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210109866","display_name":"Pan-European University","ror":"https://ror.org/016emmf09","country_code":"CZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210109866"]}],"countries":["CZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David Z\u00e1mek","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pan-European University, Prague, Czech Republic"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9020-0830","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pan-European University, Prague, Czech Republic","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210109866"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.2219,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.47726146,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"1","first_page":"427","last_page":"436"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9442999958992004,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9442999958992004,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12725","display_name":"Railways and European Transport Policy","score":0.02850000001490116,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12984","display_name":"Transport and Logistics Innovations","score":0.004000000189989805,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2209","display_name":"Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/passenger-rail","display_name":"passenger rail","score":0.9350000023841858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-security","display_name":"economic security","score":0.9459999799728394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-decomposition","display_name":"time series decomposition","score":0.7390000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trend-and-seasonality","display_name":"trend and seasonality","score":0.7279999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/covid-19-impact-on-transport","display_name":"COVID-19 impact on transport","score":0.8159999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/holt-winters-exponential-smoothing","display_name":"Holt-Winters exponential smoothing","score":0.8830000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/poland","display_name":"Poland","score":0.38999998569488525}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.5420755743980408},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C148383697","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1781695","display_name":"Regional science","level":1,"score":0.380993515253067},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136264566","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q159810","display_name":"Economy","level":1,"score":0.34753820300102234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2211717665195465},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.21546807885169983}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","doi":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","pdf_url":"https://journals.lka.lt/journal/jssi/article/2164/file/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2765060133","display_name":"Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues","issn_l":"2029-7017","issn":["2029-7017","2029-7025"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["norway-1","poland-100"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","doi":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43","pdf_url":"https://journals.lka.lt/journal/jssi/article/2164/file/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2765060133","display_name":"Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues","issn_l":"2029-7017","issn":["2029-7017","2029-7025"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["norway-1","poland-100"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","score":0.651199996471405,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4391841007.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4391841007.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":10,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W3130226611","https://openalex.org/W3136673802","https://openalex.org/W4200082367","https://openalex.org/W4224306356","https://openalex.org/W4281642568","https://openalex.org/W4309048422","https://openalex.org/W4360611592","https://openalex.org/W4360611615","https://openalex.org/W4390898339","https://openalex.org/W4391319163"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3136673802","https://openalex.org/W4416987942","https://openalex.org/W4220710086","https://openalex.org/W856654006","https://openalex.org/W4389740661","https://openalex.org/W2965776964","https://openalex.org/W6987377510","https://openalex.org/W7111897635","https://openalex.org/W4376623626","https://openalex.org/W4312292511"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,15,34,73,83,98],"multidimensional":[1],"comparative":[2],"analyzes":[3],"of":[4,6,52],"transportation":[5],"people":[7],"by":[8,94],"rail":[9,95],"were":[10],"used":[11,79],"in":[12,22,42,64,96],"the":[13,26,50,58,65,81],"article.":[14],"time":[16,36],"series":[17,37],"was":[18,38,78],"analyzed":[19],"and":[20,31],"evaluated":[21],"order":[23,43],"to":[24,44,49,70],"detect":[25],"following":[27],"phenomena:":[28],"trend,":[29],"seasonality":[30],"random":[32,54],"factor.":[33],"initial":[35],"divided":[39],"into":[40],"parts":[41],"remove":[45],"data":[46],"that,":[47],"due":[48],"impact":[51],"a":[53],"phenomenon":[55],"such":[56],"as":[57],"COVID-19":[59],"pandemic,":[60],"lost":[61],"trends":[62],"visible":[63],"past":[66],"(from":[67],"January":[68],"2012":[69],"December":[71],"2019).":[72],"Winters\u2019":[74],"exponential":[75],"smoothing":[76],"method":[77],"for":[80,86],"forecasting.":[82],"obtained":[84],"forecast":[85,101],"2024":[87],"is":[88,103],"390":[89],"380":[90],"000":[91],"passengers":[92],"transported":[93],"Poland.":[97],"mean":[99],"absolute":[100],"error":[102],"2,18.":[104]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2024-02-16T00:00:00"}