{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4391624070","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","title":"MONOPOLI: A Customizable Model for Forecasting COVID-19 Around the World Using Alternative Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Policy Scenarios, Human Movement Data, and Regional Demographics","display_name":"MONOPOLI: A Customizable Model for Forecasting COVID-19 Around the World Using Alternative Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Policy Scenarios, Human Movement Data, and Regional Demographics","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4391624070","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306463937","display_name":"Springer eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Handbook of Visual, Experimental and Computational Mathematics","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"volume":{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4385414035","display_name":"Handbook of Visual, Experimental and Computational Mathematics"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5000045606","display_name":"Christopher H. Arehart","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9575-8329","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9575-8329"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I188538660","display_name":"University of Colorado Boulder","ror":"https://ror.org/02ttsq026","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Christopher H. Arehart","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5024483432","display_name":"Jay H. Arehart","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9434-1783","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9434-1783"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I188538660","display_name":"University of Colorado Boulder","ror":"https://ror.org/02ttsq026","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jay H. Arehart","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051291975","display_name":"Michael Z. David","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1926-7800","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1926-7800"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I79576946","display_name":"University of Pennsylvania","ror":"https://ror.org/00b30xv10","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79576946"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael Z. David","raw_affiliation_strings":["Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I79576946"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028451104","display_name":"Bernadino D\u2019Amico","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I251738","display_name":"Edinburgh Napier University","ror":"https://ror.org/03zjvnn91","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I251738"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bernadino D\u2019Amico","raw_affiliation_strings":["Resource Efficient Built Environment Lab (REBEL), Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Resource Efficient Built Environment Lab (REBEL), Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I251738"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051653571","display_name":"Emanuele Sozzi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7937-267X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7937-267X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I114027177","display_name":"University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill","ror":"https://ror.org/0130frc33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114027177"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Emanuele Sozzi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Water institute at UNC School of Global Public Health Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Water institute at UNC School of Global Public Health Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I114027177"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5056970932","display_name":"Vanja Duki\u0107","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0348-0834","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0348-0834"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I188538660","display_name":"University of Colorado Boulder","ror":"https://ror.org/02ttsq026","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Vanja Dukic","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Applied Mathematics, Department of Economics (courtesy), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Applied Mathematics, Department of Economics (courtesy), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5088708400","display_name":"Francesco Pomponi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3132-2523","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3132-2523"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I241749","display_name":"University of Cambridge","ror":"https://ror.org/013meh722","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I241749"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Francesco Pomponi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, Cambridge, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, Cambridge, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I241749"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5000045606"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I188538660"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.76603001,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"1447"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13032","display_name":"COVID-19 Prevention and Impact","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/covid-19","display_name":"COVID-19 pandemic","score":0.9610000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sars-cov-2","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2","score":0.8539999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/effective-reproduction-number","display_name":"effective reproduction number","score":0.9190000295639038},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/non-pharmaceutical-interventions","display_name":"non-pharmaceutical interventions","score":0.953000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-forecasting","display_name":"epidemic forecasting","score":0.5619999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-mobility","display_name":"human mobility","score":0.7680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seir-model","display_name":"SEIR model","score":0.9610000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/random-forest","display_name":"random forest","score":0.6460000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hindcasting","display_name":"hindcasting","score":0.6859999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/policy-scenarios","display_name":"policy scenarios","score":0.6060000061988831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regional-demographics","display_name":"regional demographics","score":0.8569999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socioeconomic-factors","display_name":"socioeconomic factors","score":0.7250000238418579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monopoli","display_name":"Monopoli","score":0.8379999995231628}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780084366","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demographics","level":2,"score":0.8099610805511475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.627289891242981},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780226923","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929848","display_name":"Movement (music)","level":2,"score":0.5086632370948792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780665704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q959298","display_name":"Intervention (counseling)","level":2,"score":0.4709528386592865},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4606921672821045},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3511044383049011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.2056739330291748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.15978235006332397},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.13383233547210693},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.09871771931648254},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118552586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7867","display_name":"Psychiatry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107038049","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q35986","display_name":"Aesthetics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306463937","display_name":"Springer eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Handbook of Visual, Experimental and Computational Mathematics","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-2","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-2","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93954-0_2-2","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306463937","display_name":"Springer eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Handbook of Visual, Experimental and Computational Mathematics","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-032-16368-4_2","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-16368-4_2","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-16368-4_2","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306463937","display_name":"Springer eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Handbook of Visual, Experimental and Computational Mathematics","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmh:oai:repository@napier.ac.uk:3143061","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/Output/3143061","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402591","display_name":"Edinburgh Napier Research Repository (Edinburgh Napier University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I251738","host_organization_name":"Edinburgh Napier University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I251738"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Book Chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.8048999905586243,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.800000011920929,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":68,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2097446414","https://openalex.org/W2102187991","https://openalex.org/W2103977882","https://openalex.org/W2171608398","https://openalex.org/W2557117995","https://openalex.org/W2961367025","https://openalex.org/W3005301080","https://openalex.org/W3005847234","https://openalex.org/W3006834170","https://openalex.org/W3007047180","https://openalex.org/W3008629533","https://openalex.org/W3009299193","https://openalex.org/W3009336466","https://openalex.org/W3009337832","https://openalex.org/W3009468976","https://openalex.org/W3009876049","https://openalex.org/W3010131837","https://openalex.org/W3010377921","https://openalex.org/W3011242477","https://openalex.org/W3011262980","https://openalex.org/W3011451036","https://openalex.org/W3011771926","https://openalex.org/W3011802905","https://openalex.org/W3012764439","https://openalex.org/W3012804303","https://openalex.org/W3013080757","https://openalex.org/W3013215798","https://openalex.org/W3013547516","https://openalex.org/W3013594674","https://openalex.org/W3013649595","https://openalex.org/W3013747613","https://openalex.org/W3013758358","https://openalex.org/W3014829909","https://openalex.org/W3015792206","https://openalex.org/W3016038616","https://openalex.org/W3016355278","https://openalex.org/W3016460100","https://openalex.org/W3016806151","https://openalex.org/W3017383068","https://openalex.org/W3018499830","https://openalex.org/W3018782651","https://openalex.org/W3019991502","https://openalex.org/W3022569381","https://openalex.org/W3022885394","https://openalex.org/W3023441241","https://openalex.org/W3025654679","https://openalex.org/W3027755309","https://openalex.org/W3031202235","https://openalex.org/W3034823740","https://openalex.org/W3034909447","https://openalex.org/W3038272653","https://openalex.org/W3039661432","https://openalex.org/W3041632850","https://openalex.org/W3090021091","https://openalex.org/W3090404094","https://openalex.org/W3093610264","https://openalex.org/W3106386073","https://openalex.org/W3112084805","https://openalex.org/W3119630042","https://openalex.org/W3120749037","https://openalex.org/W3135257712","https://openalex.org/W3136839354","https://openalex.org/W3174989026","https://openalex.org/W3184164255","https://openalex.org/W4206233629","https://openalex.org/W4220655108","https://openalex.org/W4310570507","https://openalex.org/W4398607109"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3161530563","https://openalex.org/W3112273823","https://openalex.org/W3043010644","https://openalex.org/W4225960472","https://openalex.org/W3205323535","https://openalex.org/W3107507137","https://openalex.org/W3132308999","https://openalex.org/W4220950248","https://openalex.org/W7143479970","https://openalex.org/W4294067926"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2024-02-08T00:00:00"}
