{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4385841205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","title":"Analysing biases in genealogies using demographic microsimulation","display_name":"Analysing biases in genealogies using demographic microsimulation","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4385841205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","pdf_url":"https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2023-034.pdf","source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"report"},"volume":null,"type":"report","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2023-034.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":null},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5114074708","display_name":"Liliana P. Calder\u00f3n-Bernal","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I161593684","display_name":"Stockholm University","ror":"https://ror.org/05f0yaq80","country_code":"SE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I161593684"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120395","display_name":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgyam08","country_code":"DE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I149899117","https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}],"countries":["DE","SE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Liliana P. Calder\u00f3n-Bernal","raw_affiliation_strings":["Konrad-Zuse-Strasse 1 \u2022 D-18057 Rostock \u2022 Germany","Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and Stockholm University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Konrad-Zuse-Strasse 1 \u2022 D-18057 Rostock \u2022 Germany","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and Stockholm University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161593684","https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070069894","display_name":"Diego Alburez\u2010Gutierrez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9823-5179","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9823-5179"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120395","display_name":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgyam08","country_code":"DE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I149899117","https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Diego Alburez-Gutierrez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086453253","display_name":"Emilio Zagheni","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7660-8368","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7660-8368"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120395","display_name":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgyam08","country_code":"DE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I149899117","https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Emilio Zagheni","raw_affiliation_strings":["Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.9624000191688538,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.9624000191688538,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14509","display_name":"demographic modeling and climate adaptation","score":0.02930000051856041,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10605","display_name":"Historical Economic and Social Studies","score":0.0010000000474974513,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/genealogy","display_name":"genealogy","score":0.7630000114440918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/synthetic-population","display_name":"synthetic population","score":0.6510000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/total-fertility-rate","display_name":"total fertility rate","score":0.8059999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/life-expectancy-at-birth","display_name":"life expectancy at birth","score":0.9369999766349792}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780015235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1934035","display_name":"Microsimulation","level":2,"score":0.8865479230880737},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.43219423294067383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.32998988032341003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.26925128698349},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.08863821625709534},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22212356","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775325","display_name":"Transport engineering","level":1,"score":0.052711308002471924}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","pdf_url":"https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2023-034.pdf","source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"report"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2023-034","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://github.com/liliana-calderon/SOCSIM_Genealogies","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:share.osf.io:d168c9f5-e9aa-435b-ad4f-42c83dce1eb4","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://osf.io/hazuv","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401127","display_name":"OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2799848540","host_organization_name":"Center for Open Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799848540"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Project"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4054/mpidr-wp-2023-034","pdf_url":"https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2023-034.pdf","source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"report"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320317967","display_name":"International Max Planck Research School for Environmental, Cellular and Molecular Microbiology","ror":null},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320325669","display_name":"Stockholms Universitet","ror":"https://ror.org/05f0yaq80"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327553","display_name":"International Max Planck Research School for Advanced Methods in Process and Systems Engineering","ror":"https://ror.org/04hazks31"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320330954","display_name":"Max-Planck-Institut f\u00fcr demografische Forschung","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgyam08"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4385841205.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4385841205.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7112942748","https://openalex.org/W4412567356","https://openalex.org/W4404710339","https://openalex.org/W6929140964","https://openalex.org/W2281180937","https://openalex.org/W4412087392","https://openalex.org/W4214883896","https://openalex.org/W2092292920","https://openalex.org/W4408673032","https://openalex.org/W349017470"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"An":[0],"incomplete":[1],"understanding":[2],"of":[3,8,19,34,56,139],"biases":[4,27],"affecting":[5],"the":[6,32,37,75],"representativeness":[7],"genealogies":[9,30],"has":[10],"hindered":[11],"their":[12],"full":[13],"exploitation.We":[14],"report":[15],"on":[16,21],"a":[17],"series":[18],"experiments":[20],"synthetic":[22,69],"populations":[23],"assessing":[24],"how":[25],"structural":[26],"in":[28],"ascendant":[29],"affect":[31],"accuracy":[33],"demographic":[35,62,147],"estimates.Using":[36],"SOCSIM":[38],"microsimulation":[39],"programme":[40],"and":[41,44,59,67,89,106],"Swedish":[42],"fertility":[43,84],"mortality":[45,122],"data":[46],"(1751-2022),":[47],"we":[48,71],"analyse":[49],"three":[50],"biases:":[51],"lineage":[52],"survival,":[53],"limited":[54],"coverage":[55],"collateral":[57],"kin,":[58],"selective":[60],"omission.Comparing":[61],"measures":[63],"from":[64,149],"'fully":[65],"recorded'":[66],"'bias-infused'":[68],"populations,":[70],"find":[72],"that":[73,137],"across":[74,124],"period,":[76],"including":[77],"only":[78],"direct":[79,111],"ancestors":[80],"can":[81],"underestimate":[82],"total":[83],"rate":[85],"(TFR)":[86],"(\u2248":[87,98,118],"-42%)":[88],"overestimate":[90],"life":[91],"expectancy":[92],"at":[93],"birth":[94],"(e":[95],"0":[96,129],")":[97],"+33%),":[99],"mainly":[100],"due":[101],"to":[102,116,132],"missing":[103],"infant,":[104],"child,":[105],"some":[107],"young":[108],"adult":[109],"deaths.Including":[110],"ancestors'":[112],"offspring":[113],"shifts":[114],"TFR":[115],"overestimation":[117,130],"+21%)":[119],"while":[120],"improving":[121],"estimation":[123],"all":[125],"ages,":[126],"with":[127],"e":[128],"reduced":[131],"\u2248":[133],"+1.8%.Our":[134],"study":[135],"shows":[136],"completeness":[138],"family":[140],"trees":[141],"is":[142],"essential":[143],"for":[144],"obtaining":[145],"accurate":[146],"estimates":[148],"genealogies.":[150]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-01T11:40:01.658920","created_date":"2023-08-16T00:00:00"}
