{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4319989084","doi":"https://doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","title":"Forecasting COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Using Time Series Analysis","display_name":"Forecasting COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Using Time Series Analysis","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4319989084","doi":"https://doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002"},"language":"ar","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.33977/2106-000-006-002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407078265","display_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","issn_l":"2520-7431","issn":["2520-7431","2521-411X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I160932699","host_organization_name":"Al-Quds Open University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I160932699"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036589644","display_name":"\u0623\u0643\u0631\u0645 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0631\u0636\u0648\u0627\u0646","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"\u0623\u0643\u0631\u0645 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0631\u0636\u0648\u0627\u0646","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5036589644"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"11","last_page":"11"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9804999828338623,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9804999828338623,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.006399999838322401,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0024999999441206455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/covid-19","display_name":"COVID-19 pandemic","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/confirmed-case-prediction","display_name":"confirmed case prediction","score":0.9679999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.9049999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/feature-engineering","display_name":"feature engineering","score":0.6010000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regression-models","display_name":"regression models","score":0.6290000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/xgboost","display_name":"XGBoost","score":0.8529999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/random-forest","display_name":"random forest","score":0.9729999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cross-national-comparison","display_name":"cross-national comparison","score":0.453000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-forecasting","display_name":"epidemic forecasting","score":0.3919999897480011}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.8186476230621338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.7055081129074097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5972521305084229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3006700255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81068910","display_name":"2019-20 coronavirus outbreak","level":3,"score":0.563409149646759},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3007834351","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82069695","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","level":5,"score":0.5523329377174377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.38873225450515747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.33177465200424194},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3302157521247864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.3163824677467346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2617829442024231},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.1746193766593933},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.1103372871875763},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.07890716195106506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.04126271605491638},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.33977/2106-000-006-002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407078265","display_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","issn_l":"2520-7431","issn":["2520-7431","2521-411X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I160932699","host_organization_name":"Al-Quds Open University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I160932699"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:journals.qou.edu:article/4002","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.qou.edu/index.php/PJTAS/article/view/4002","pdf_url":"https://journals.qou.edu/index.php/PJTAS/article/download/4002/3121","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407078265","display_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","issn_l":"2520-7431","issn":["2520-7431","2521-411X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I160932699","host_organization_name":"Al-Quds Open University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I160932699"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2520-7431","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.33977/2106-000-006-002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.33977/2106-000-006-002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407078265","display_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","issn_l":"2520-7431","issn":["2520-7431","2521-411X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I160932699","host_organization_name":"Al-Quds Open University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I160932699"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.9391000270843506,"display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4319989084.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4319989084.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4200046996","https://openalex.org/W7058262975","https://openalex.org/W4229077933","https://openalex.org/W3143473309","https://openalex.org/W3200326067","https://openalex.org/W3009333463","https://openalex.org/W3194302679","https://openalex.org/W3194858451","https://openalex.org/W4214706207","https://openalex.org/W4389955094"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"\u062a\u0639\u062f":[0],"\u062c\u0627\u0626\u062d\u0629":[1],"\u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627":[2],"(COVID-19)":[3],"\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u064b\u0627":[4],"\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0627\u064b":[5],"\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b":[6],"\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0627\u064b":[7],"\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0631":[8],"\u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629":[9],"\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629":[10],"\u0641\u064a":[11,15,27,38,73,183],"\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639":[12],"\u0623\u0646\u062d\u0627\u0621":[13],"\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645.":[14,42],"\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629":[16],"\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c":[17],"\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0646\u0627":[18],"\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u0627\u064b":[19],"\u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624":[20],"\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631":[21],"\u0639\u062f\u062f":[22,85],"\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a":[23,33,44],"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0643\u062f\u0629":[24,34],"\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0641\u064a\u062f-":[25],"19":[26],"\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0646":[28],"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0646":[29],"\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b":[30,67],"\u0639\u0644\u0649":[31,68,170],"\u0623\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f":[32],"\u0645\u0633\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b":[35],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a":[36,70],"\u0633\u062c\u0644\u062a":[37],"62":[39],"\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629":[40],"\u062d\u0648\u0644":[41],"\u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644":[43],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629":[45],"\u0644\u062a\u0644\u0643":[46],"\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644":[47],"\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a":[48],"95":[49],"%":[50,161],"\u0645\u0646":[51,65,86,175],"\u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a":[52],"\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a":[53],"\u062d\u062a\u0649":[54],"\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e":[55],"\u062c\u0645\u0639":[56],"\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a.":[57],"\u062a\u0645":[58,71,83,109,116],"\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645":[59],"\u0633\u0628\u0639":[60],"\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a":[61,176],"\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631":[62],"\u0644\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b":[63],"\u062c\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062a":[64],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a":[66],"\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a":[69],"\u062c\u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627":[72],"\u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629":[74],"\u0645\u0627":[75],"\u0628\u064a\u0646":[76],"21":[77],"\u0641\u0628\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0631":[78],"2020":[79],"\u064829":[80],"\u062f\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0628\u0631":[81],"2020.":[82],"\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062c":[84],"\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a":[87],"\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644":[88],"\u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629":[89,97],"\u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645":[90,105,120],"\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0628":[91],"\u0647\u0646\u062f\u0633\u0629":[92],"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a":[93,106],"\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644":[94],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624":[95,114],"\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644":[96],"\u0625\u0644\u0649":[98],"\u0645\u0633\u0623\u0644\u0629":[99],"\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645":[100],"\u0622\u0644\u064a":[101],"\u062e\u0627\u0636\u0639":[102],"\u0644\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u060c":[103],"\u062b\u0645":[104],"\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631":[107],"\u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629":[108],"\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621":[110],"\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c":[111,152],"\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631":[112,153],"\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644":[113],"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628.":[115],"\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645":[117],"\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621":[118,151],"\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c":[119],"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633":[121],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:":[122],"\u062c\u0630\u0631":[123,128],"\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637":[124,129,132,135],"\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623":[125,130,133,137,158],"\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645\u064a":[126],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u060c":[127,131],"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0642\u060c":[134,138],"\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629":[136],"\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644":[139,142,163],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f":[140],"(\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639":[141],"\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637)":[143],"\u0648\u0648\u0642\u062a":[144],"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630.":[145],"\u0623\u0638\u0647\u0631\u062a":[146,173],"\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c":[147],"\u0647\u0630\u0627":[148],"\u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b":[149],"\u0623\u0646":[150],"\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a":[154],"\u062c\u064a\u062f\u0629\u060c":[155],"\u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0639\u062a":[156],"\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644":[157],"\u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629":[159],"72":[160],"\u0645\u0639":[162,186],"\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f":[164],"\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064d":[165],"R2":[166],"\u0648\u0635\u0644":[167],"\u0644\u0640":[168],"990.":[169],"\u0648\u062c\u0647":[171],"\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0635\u0648\u0635\u060c":[172],"\u0643\u0644\u0651":[174],"XGB":[177],"\u0648":[178],"Random":[179],"Forest":[180],"\u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629":[181],"\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649":[182],"\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621":[184],"\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629":[185],"\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a":[187],"\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649.":[188]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2023-02-11T00:00:00"}