{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4313680907","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","title":"Model selection with decision support model for US natural gas consumption forecasting","display_name":"Model selection with decision support model for US natural gas consumption forecasting","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-01-07","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4313680907","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S13144211","display_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","issn_l":"0957-4174","issn":["0957-4174","1873-6793"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","ccf-c","cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","fnege-3","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019054767","display_name":"Xiaohui Gao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3542-5888","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3542-5888"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200845125","display_name":"Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02y0rxk19","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Xiaohui Gao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,the Research Institute for Risk Governance and Emergency Decision-Making, School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3542-5888","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,the Research Institute for Risk Governance and Emergency Decision-Making, School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052585993","display_name":"Zaiwu Gong","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2273-2726","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2273-2726"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200845125","display_name":"Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02y0rxk19","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zaiwu Gong","raw_affiliation_strings":["Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,the Research Institute for Risk Governance and Emergency Decision-Making, School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,the Research Institute for Risk Governance and Emergency Decision-Making, School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100605259","display_name":"LI Qing-sheng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0690-4241","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0690-4241"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I15823474","display_name":"Linyi University","ror":"https://ror.org/01knv0402","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I15823474"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qingsheng Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Business, Linyi University, Linyi 27600, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Business, Linyi University, Linyi 27600, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I15823474"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101856308","display_name":"Wei Liang Guo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3535-3634","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3535-3634"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3970613","display_name":"University of North Carolina at Pembroke","ror":"https://ror.org/05pckj715","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3970613"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guo Wei","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of North Carolina at Pembroke, NC 28372, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of North Carolina at Pembroke, NC 28372, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3970613"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5019054767"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"],"apc_list":{"value":3220,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3220},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.1949,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":15,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.87128578,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"217","issue":null,"first_page":"119505","last_page":"119505"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.5874000191688538,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.5874000191688538,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.19619999825954437,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.19030000269412994,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/natural-gas-demand-forecasting","display_name":"natural gas demand forecasting","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-selection","display_name":"model selection","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-support-model","display_name":"decision support model","score":0.9120000004768372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/choquet-integral","display_name":"Choquet integral","score":0.9710000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/holt-winters-exponential-smoothing","display_name":"Holt-Winters exponential smoothing","score":0.9010000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/grey-wolf-optimizer","display_name":"grey wolf optimizer","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-arima-model","display_name":"seasonal ARIMA","score":0.6499999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-short-term-memory-neural-network","display_name":"long short-term memory neural network","score":0.9480000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hybrid-forecasting-model","display_name":"hybrid forecasting model","score":0.7080000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-interaction","display_name":"model interaction","score":0.5189999938011169}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7709577083587646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C63479239","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7353546","display_name":"Robustness (evolution)","level":3,"score":0.6742463707923889},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112799922","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5104911","display_name":"Choquet integral","level":3,"score":0.513132631778717},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.4944279193878174},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C93959086","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6888345","display_name":"Model selection","level":2,"score":0.4804501235485077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.4503180682659149},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.4327985942363739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.4272153973579407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.42663395404815674},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C30772137","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5164762","display_name":"Consumption (sociology)","level":2,"score":0.41097649931907654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.34794506430625916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3471548855304718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104317684","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7187","display_name":"Gene","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119505","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S13144211","display_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","issn_l":"0957-4174","issn":["0957-4174","1873-6793"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","ccf-c","cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","fnege-3","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.5351999998092651}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G672149870","display_name":"\u975e\u53ef\u52a0\u4ea4\u4e92\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0b\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u504f\u597d\u5171\u8bc6\u5efa\u6a21\u7406\u8bba\u7814\u7a76","funder_award_id":"71971121","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G802465051","display_name":"\u7fa4\u4f53\u5171\u8bc6\u5feb\u901f\u6536\u655b\uff1a\u5efa\u6a21\u3001\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53ca\u4eff\u771f\u5206\u6790\u7814\u7a76","funder_award_id":"71571104","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":53,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W235483199","https://openalex.org/W1577818368","https://openalex.org/W1868175309","https://openalex.org/W1973706763","https://openalex.org/W1992665910","https://openalex.org/W2020407132","https://openalex.org/W2021635209","https://openalex.org/W2023419040","https://openalex.org/W2033810643","https://openalex.org/W2041946752","https://openalex.org/W2061438946","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2091555740","https://openalex.org/W2092514020","https://openalex.org/W2116070369","https://openalex.org/W2136939460","https://openalex.org/W2167036165","https://openalex.org/W2168838591","https://openalex.org/W2174096823","https://openalex.org/W2194194703","https://openalex.org/W2325236022","https://openalex.org/W2372981232","https://openalex.org/W2487967714","https://openalex.org/W2549773986","https://openalex.org/W2606233713","https://openalex.org/W2752706974","https://openalex.org/W2795242388","https://openalex.org/W2884486887","https://openalex.org/W2889386826","https://openalex.org/W2894470954","https://openalex.org/W2899195838","https://openalex.org/W2900243438","https://openalex.org/W2906239552","https://openalex.org/W2913430639","https://openalex.org/W2915373746","https://openalex.org/W2921748836","https://openalex.org/W2940789762","https://openalex.org/W2943571340","https://openalex.org/W2943899862","https://openalex.org/W2952133925","https://openalex.org/W2972795848","https://openalex.org/W2995016989","https://openalex.org/W2997318637","https://openalex.org/W3008235510","https://openalex.org/W3015379812","https://openalex.org/W3112686832","https://openalex.org/W3170886625","https://openalex.org/W3173373210","https://openalex.org/W3193473132","https://openalex.org/W3193499139","https://openalex.org/W3200263607","https://openalex.org/W3201433884","https://openalex.org/W3204851142"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3017210658","https://openalex.org/W3210464866","https://openalex.org/W4323537337","https://openalex.org/W4407735428","https://openalex.org/W3214338043","https://openalex.org/W4321598284","https://openalex.org/W2998181043","https://openalex.org/W2983873244","https://openalex.org/W7140078678","https://openalex.org/W4399864615"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2023-01-08T00:00:00"}