{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4313580903","doi":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","title":"Forecasting of Socio-Economic Development of Regions in Kazakhstan: Principles, Features and Disadvantages","display_name":"Forecasting of Socio-Economic Development of Regions in Kazakhstan: Principles, Features and Disadvantages","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-12-31","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4313580903","doi":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","doi":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","pdf_url":"https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/download/882/377","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210211626","display_name":"The economy strategy and practice","issn_l":"1997-9967","issn":["1997-9967","2663-550X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics: the strategy and practice","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/download/882/377","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002982384","display_name":"L. A. Balgarina","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3793-1485","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3793-1485"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405252679","display_name":"Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan","ror":"https://ror.org/03ef3sy26","country_code":"KZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252679"]}],"countries":["KZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"L. A. Balgarina","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3793-1485","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405252679"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081425629","display_name":"Serik Jumabayev","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1803-5458","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1803-5458"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405252679","display_name":"Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan","ror":"https://ror.org/03ef3sy26","country_code":"KZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252679"]}],"countries":["KZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"S. A. Jumabayev","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1803-5458","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405252679"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013723728","display_name":"Yu. K. Shokamanov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5411-0035","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5411-0035"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4392021252","display_name":"Almaty Humanitarian-Economic University","ror":"https://ror.org/04dv0yy25","country_code":"KZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4392021252"]}],"countries":["KZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Y. K. Shokamanov","raw_affiliation_strings":["Almaty Humanitarian and Economic University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Almaty Humanitarian and Economic University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4392021252"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":30000,"currency":"KZT","value_usd":null},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4118,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.6799631,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":"4","first_page":"76","last_page":"91"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13384","display_name":"Regional Economic Development and Innovation","score":0.4113999903202057,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13384","display_name":"Regional Economic Development and Innovation","score":0.4113999903202057,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14066","display_name":"Economic Development and Regional Competitiveness","score":0.19679999351501465,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.13009999692440033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socio-economic-forecasting","display_name":"socio-economic forecasting","score":0.9359999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regional-development","display_name":"regional development","score":0.7239999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecasting-process","display_name":"forecasting process","score":0.6489999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-quality","display_name":"forecast quality","score":0.7710000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecasting-methods","display_name":"forecasting methods","score":0.7260000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regional-planning","display_name":"regional planning","score":0.671999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kazakhstan-regions","display_name":"Kazakhstan regions","score":0.43799999356269836}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.6311865448951721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116834253","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2039217","display_name":"Identification (biology)","level":2,"score":0.6052114963531494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.550041913986206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776505523","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4785468","display_name":"Plan (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.501276969909668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776774022","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5266783","display_name":"Development plan","level":2,"score":0.4893157184123993},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4744473695755005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.4465583562850952},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48243021","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932522","display_name":"Strategic planning","level":2,"score":0.42917120456695557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C63882131","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17122954","display_name":"Strengths and weaknesses","level":2,"score":0.42547959089279175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163068380","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409313","display_name":"Economic forecasting","level":2,"score":0.4242710471153259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.36230090260505676},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195094911","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14167904","display_name":"Process management","level":1,"score":0.3538244962692261},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.3346196115016937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.2685074210166931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.20366129279136658},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.19729429483413696},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1775781512260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.17691391706466675},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.11285620927810669},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C59822182","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q441","display_name":"Botany","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147176958","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q77590","display_name":"Civil engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","doi":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","pdf_url":"https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/download/882/377","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210211626","display_name":"The economy strategy and practice","issn_l":"1997-9967","issn":["1997-9967","2663-550X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics: the strategy and practice","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:6c9b2f3bbebe4dd1a1ab60bf6a1fd991","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/6c9b2f3bbebe4dd1a1ab60bf6a1fd991","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"\u042d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430: \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430, Vol 17, Iss 4, Pp 76-91 (2022)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","doi":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-76-91","pdf_url":"https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/download/882/377","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210211626","display_name":"The economy strategy and practice","issn_l":"1997-9967","issn":["1997-9967","2663-550X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics: the strategy and practice","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4313580903.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4313580903.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":12,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2471055374","https://openalex.org/W2546597597","https://openalex.org/W2549429369","https://openalex.org/W2753010844","https://openalex.org/W2762018414","https://openalex.org/W2771298202","https://openalex.org/W2772253413","https://openalex.org/W2800685506","https://openalex.org/W2811507150","https://openalex.org/W2957280404","https://openalex.org/W3143318485","https://openalex.org/W3188754588"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4409206548","https://openalex.org/W4206243348","https://openalex.org/W2462467681","https://openalex.org/W2739031820","https://openalex.org/W2168806151","https://openalex.org/W2780201363","https://openalex.org/W2564675278","https://openalex.org/W2899377456","https://openalex.org/W6926492646","https://openalex.org/W7128206487"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,47,77,91,106,199,228],"forecast":[1,60,123,161,182,194],"is":[2,20,52],"an":[3],"important":[4],"strategic":[5],"document":[6],"for":[7,14,120],"planning":[8],"and":[9,12,33,69,89,127,162,168,189,212,221,237],"defining":[10],"goals":[11],"priorities":[13],"the":[15,24,29,50,55,65,94,101,112,115,118,125,128,134,138,144,147,149,157,160,163,165,177,184,193,202,205,210,215,218,233,238],"region\u2019s":[16],"development.":[17,245],"Socio-economic":[18],"forecasting":[19,95,135,152,174,235],"relevant":[21],"all":[22],"over":[23],"world.":[25],"For":[26],"this":[27],"reason,":[28],"issues":[30],"of":[31,36,49,57,61,67,82,93,109,111,117,124,130,140,146,151,170,179,201,207,214,217,240],"formation":[32],"practical":[34],"application":[35],"forecasts,":[37,220],"including":[38],"regional":[39,185,234],"ones,":[40],"are":[41,226],"reflected":[42],"in":[43,64,100,137,153,192],"many":[44],"research":[45,83],"papers.":[46],"purpose":[48,145],"study":[51,113,203,229],"to":[53,70,173,223,231],"consider":[54],"process":[56,96,178,236],"developing":[58],"a":[59,80,122,181],"socio-economic":[62],"development":[63,195],"regions":[66],"Kazakhstan":[68],"identify":[71],"factors":[72],"that":[73],"worsen":[74],"its":[75,244],"quality.":[76],"authors":[78],"used":[79],"combination":[81],"methods:":[84],"description,":[85],"observation,":[86],"content":[87],"analysis":[88,129],"system-analytical.":[90],"description":[92],"was":[97,155,187,204],"carried":[98],"out":[99],"Bizagi":[102],"Model":[103],"software":[104],"package.":[105],"main":[107],"sources":[108],"information":[110],"were":[114,175,197],"observation":[116],"procedure":[119,196],"making":[121,180],"region":[126],"legal":[131],"acts":[132],"regulating":[133],"processes":[136],"Republic":[139],"Kazakhstan.":[141],"To":[142],"achieve":[143],"study,":[148],"role":[150],"management":[154],"determined,":[156],"differences":[158],"between":[159],"plan,":[164],"primary":[166],"methods":[167],"types":[169],"forecasting,":[171],"approaches":[172],"listed,":[176],"at":[183],"level":[186],"described":[188],"analyzed,":[190],"\u201cweaknesses\u201d":[191],"identified.":[198],"result":[200],"identification":[206],"limitations":[208],"affecting":[209],"quality":[211],"efficiency":[213],"use":[216],"developed":[219],"ways":[222],"reduce":[224],"them":[225],"proposed.":[227],"contributes":[230],"understanding":[232],"causes":[239],"problems":[241],"arising":[242],"during":[243]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-27T15:51:10.671819","created_date":"2023-01-06T00:00:00"}