{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4312136172","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","title":"Predicting teacher retention behavior: Ex ante prediction and ex post realization of a voluntary retirement incentive offer","display_name":"Predicting teacher retention behavior: Ex ante prediction and ex post realization of a voluntary retirement incentive offer","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-12-07","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4312136172","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4888523","display_name":"Economics of Education Review","issn_l":"0272-7757","issn":["0272-7757","1873-7382"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics of Education Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015609104","display_name":"David Knapp","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9469-0692","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9469-0692"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1174212","display_name":"University of Southern California","ror":"https://ror.org/03taz7m60","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1174212"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1309849503","display_name":"RAND Corporation","ror":"https://ror.org/00f2z7n96","country_code":"US","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"David Knapp","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Southern California & RAND Corporation, 1090 Vermont Ave NW, Suite 1250, Washington, DC 20005, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9469-0692","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Southern California & RAND Corporation, 1090 Vermont Ave NW, Suite 1250, Washington, DC 20005, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1174212","https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5041016062","display_name":"James R. Hosek","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-0752","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-0752"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1309849503","display_name":"RAND Corporation","ror":"https://ror.org/00f2z7n96","country_code":"US","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"James Hosek","raw_affiliation_strings":["RAND Corporation, 1776 Main St., Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-0752","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"RAND Corporation, 1776 Main St., Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062413254","display_name":"Michael G. Mattock","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-0259","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-0259"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1309849503","display_name":"RAND Corporation","ror":"https://ror.org/00f2z7n96","country_code":"US","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael G. Mattock","raw_affiliation_strings":["RAND Corporation, 1776 Main St., Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-0259","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"RAND Corporation, 1776 Main St., Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009718522","display_name":"Beth J. Asch","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1309849503","display_name":"RAND Corporation","ror":"https://ror.org/00f2z7n96","country_code":"US","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Beth J. Asch","raw_affiliation_strings":["RAND Corporation, 1776 Main St., Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"RAND Corporation, 1776 Main St., Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1309849503"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5015609104"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1174212","https://openalex.org/I1309849503"],"apc_list":{"value":2340,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2340},"apc_paid":{"value":2340,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2340},"fwci":0.3404,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.63736021,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"93","issue":null,"first_page":"102325","last_page":"102325"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11631","display_name":"Retirement, Disability, and Employment","score":0.8866999745368958,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11631","display_name":"Retirement, Disability, and Employment","score":0.8866999745368958,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13305","display_name":"Teacher Professional Development and Motivation","score":0.06759999692440033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3304","display_name":"Education"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10517","display_name":"Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis","score":0.023000000044703484,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/teacher-retention","display_name":"teacher retention","score":0.9919999837875366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/teacher-retirement","display_name":"teacher retirement","score":0.7360000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pension-benefits","display_name":"retirement benefits","score":0.7509999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/structure-prediction","display_name":"structure prediction","score":0.3540000021457672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/willingness-to-accept","display_name":"willingness to accept","score":0.6710000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-school-teachers","display_name":"public school teachers","score":0.5289999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/chicago-public-schools","display_name":"Chicago Public Schools","score":0.7429999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/policy-design","display_name":"policy design","score":0.550000011920929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/teacher-attrition","display_name":"teacher attrition","score":0.4309999942779541}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29122968","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1414816","display_name":"Incentive","level":2,"score":0.8837694525718689},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122251271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q940039","display_name":"Ex-ante","level":2,"score":0.6978054046630859},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26077564","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1910318","display_name":"Turnover","level":2,"score":0.6544361114501953},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781089630","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21856745","display_name":"Realization (probability)","level":2,"score":0.5595885515213013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.5231791138648987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.4852325916290283},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780378061","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25351891","display_name":"Service (business)","level":2,"score":0.45401281118392944},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145236788","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q28161","display_name":"Labour economics","level":1,"score":0.3492888808250427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.33157846331596375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.26440364122390747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.07424774765968323},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136264566","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q159810","display_name":"Economy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4888523","display_name":"Economics of Education Review","issn_l":"0272-7757","issn":["0272-7757","1873-7382"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics of Education Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:ecoedu:v:93:y:2023:i:c:s027277572200098x","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S027277572200098X","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2022.102325","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4888523","display_name":"Economics of Education Review","issn_l":"0272-7757","issn":["0272-7757","1873-7382"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics of Education Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/4","display_name":"Quality education","score":0.5385000109672546}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":19,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W123430343","https://openalex.org/W1963038080","https://openalex.org/W2038822819","https://openalex.org/W2071228100","https://openalex.org/W2129386857","https://openalex.org/W2136497419","https://openalex.org/W2146283515","https://openalex.org/W2152975636","https://openalex.org/W2165611738","https://openalex.org/W2288721793","https://openalex.org/W2560582171","https://openalex.org/W2767765186","https://openalex.org/W2770146126","https://openalex.org/W2910171728","https://openalex.org/W2982682263","https://openalex.org/W2996930558","https://openalex.org/W3123293195","https://openalex.org/W3123430249","https://openalex.org/W3174091824"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3024049452","https://openalex.org/W2996930558","https://openalex.org/W4321215920","https://openalex.org/W3000576390","https://openalex.org/W2980872815","https://openalex.org/W2542146993","https://openalex.org/W2804812943","https://openalex.org/W2910171728","https://openalex.org/W2943096190","https://openalex.org/W2739743053"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Teacher":[0],"retention":[1],"and":[2,74,109,125],"retirement":[3,9,15,35,45],"decisions":[4],"are":[5],"increasingly":[6],"affected":[7],"by":[8,41,123],"benefits":[10],"as":[11],"the":[12,72,77,89,94,107,114,119],"date":[13],"of":[14,20,36,79,97,121,127],"eligibility":[16],"approaches.":[17],"As":[18],"part":[19],"an":[21],"effort":[22],"to":[23,32,58,66,70,88,105,118,141],"rein":[24],"in":[25],"operating":[26],"costs,":[27],"Chicago":[28],"Public":[29],"Schools":[30],"sought":[31],"induce":[33],"earlier":[34],"senior,":[37],"hence":[38],"costlier,":[39],"teachers":[40,54,80],"offering":[42],"a":[43,63],"voluntary":[44],"incentive":[46],"that":[47,93],"would":[48,100],"be":[49,101],"implemented":[50],"only":[51],"if":[52],"enough":[53],"indicated":[55],"their":[56],"willingness":[57,69],"accept":[59],"it.":[60],"We":[61,91,134],"used":[62],"structural":[64,139],"model":[65],"predict":[67],"teacher":[68],"take":[71],"incentive,":[73,108],"later,":[75],"when":[76],"number":[78,96],"signing":[81],"up":[82],"was":[83],"realized,":[84],"we":[85],"compared":[86],"predictions":[87,115],"outcomes.":[90],"found":[92],"predicted":[95],"willing":[98],"takers":[99,122],"less":[102],"than":[103],"required":[104],"implement":[106],"this":[110],"proved":[111],"true.":[112],"Further,":[113],"were":[116,132],"similar":[117],"patterns":[120],"age":[124],"year":[126],"service,":[128],"though":[129],"some":[130],"differences":[131],"apparent.":[133],"discuss":[135],"implications":[136],"for":[137],"using":[138],"modeling":[140],"inform":[142],"policy":[143],"design.":[144]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2023-01-04T00:00:00"}
