{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4308945980","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","title":"The asymmetry, uncertainty, and the long term","display_name":"The asymmetry, uncertainty, and the long term","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-11-14","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4308945980","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/phpr.12927","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/phpr.12927","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S204374153","display_name":"Philosophy and Phenomenological Research","issn_l":"0031-8205","issn":["0031-8205","1933-1592"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Philosophy and Phenomenological Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/phpr.12927","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5033077033","display_name":"J.T. Thomas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0298-4392","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0298-4392"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Teruji Thomas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Global Priorities Institute, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford, Trajan House, Mill Street, Oxford, OX2 0DJ United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0298-4392","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Global Priorities Institute, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford, Trajan House, Mill Street, Oxford, OX2 0DJ United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5033077033"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"],"apc_list":{"value":2550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2550},"apc_paid":{"value":2550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2550},"fwci":19.4438,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":18,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99074146,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"107","issue":"2","first_page":"470","last_page":"500"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10297","display_name":"Philosophical Ethics and Theory","score":0.9243000149726868,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1211","display_name":"Philosophy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10297","display_name":"Philosophical Ethics and Theory","score":0.9243000149726868,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1211","display_name":"Philosophy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12819","display_name":"Environmental Philosophy and Ethics","score":0.05090000107884407,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10718","display_name":"Political Philosophy and Ethics","score":0.006800000090152025,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-ethics","display_name":"population ethics","score":0.9639999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty","display_name":"uncertainty","score":0.7680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/welfarism","display_name":"welfarism","score":0.8019999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/non-identity-problem","display_name":"non-identity problem","score":0.8149999976158142},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extinction-risk","display_name":"extinction risk","score":0.9520000219345093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/harm","display_name":"harm","score":0.36899998784065247}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44725695","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q288156","display_name":"Normative","level":2,"score":0.7950536012649536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777363581","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q15098235","display_name":"Harm","level":2,"score":0.7575222253799438},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.5909797549247742},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.5468948483467102},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118084267","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26110","display_name":"Positive economics","level":1,"score":0.5028652548789978},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778355321","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17079427","display_name":"Identity (music)","level":2,"score":0.4541255533695221},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38976095","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q752641","display_name":"Asymmetry","level":2,"score":0.4294912815093994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3634571433067322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.22633662819862366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.19794195890426636},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.16852378845214844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107038049","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q35986","display_name":"Aesthetics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/phpr.12927","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/phpr.12927","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S204374153","display_name":"Philosophy and Phenomenological Research","issn_l":"0031-8205","issn":["0031-8205","1933-1592"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Philosophy and Phenomenological Research","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/phpr.12927","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12927","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/phpr.12927","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S204374153","display_name":"Philosophy and Phenomenological Research","issn_l":"0031-8205","issn":["0031-8205","1933-1592"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Philosophy and Phenomenological Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4308945980.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4308945980.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W46017982","https://openalex.org/W87060356","https://openalex.org/W108915757","https://openalex.org/W577478859","https://openalex.org/W1716622255","https://openalex.org/W1963760181","https://openalex.org/W1964583946","https://openalex.org/W1977682391","https://openalex.org/W1978619296","https://openalex.org/W1979930662","https://openalex.org/W2004430838","https://openalex.org/W2062201521","https://openalex.org/W2106382791","https://openalex.org/W2110431326","https://openalex.org/W2315572736","https://openalex.org/W2326964644","https://openalex.org/W2476435772","https://openalex.org/W2492323432","https://openalex.org/W2494656022","https://openalex.org/W2555591173","https://openalex.org/W2587464160","https://openalex.org/W2602236610","https://openalex.org/W2892013475","https://openalex.org/W2974219050","https://openalex.org/W3048588924","https://openalex.org/W3084185501","https://openalex.org/W3095350094","https://openalex.org/W3126971838","https://openalex.org/W3199665715","https://openalex.org/W4200187944","https://openalex.org/W4200202521","https://openalex.org/W4205967086","https://openalex.org/W4206412768","https://openalex.org/W4213439731","https://openalex.org/W4224309480","https://openalex.org/W4234048930","https://openalex.org/W4235298171","https://openalex.org/W4235997983","https://openalex.org/W4236690168","https://openalex.org/W4243419638","https://openalex.org/W4251082868"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2484403021","https://openalex.org/W7041472741","https://openalex.org/W2343371331","https://openalex.org/W1876349940","https://openalex.org/W7160853947","https://openalex.org/W7106177082","https://openalex.org/W2020584947","https://openalex.org/W1539783298","https://openalex.org/W3176810422","https://openalex.org/W4388731314"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"The":[1,28],"asymmetry":[2],"is":[3,20,30],"the":[4,84,98,104,135,142,148],"view":[5,37],"in":[6,38,45,51],"population":[7],"ethics":[8],"that,":[9],"while":[10],"we":[11],"ought":[12],"to":[13,23,32,78,139],"avoid":[14],"creating":[15,120],"additional":[16,25,121],"bad":[17],"lives,":[18],"there":[19],"no":[21],"requirement":[22],"create":[24],"good":[26,122],"ones.":[27],"question":[29],"how":[31,83],"embed":[33],"this":[34],"intuitively":[35],"compelling":[36],"a":[39,52],"more":[40],"complete":[41],"normative":[42],"theory,":[43],"and":[44,63,147],"particular":[46],"one":[47],"that":[48,119],"treats":[49],"uncertainty":[50],"plausible":[53],"way.":[54],"While":[55],"arguing":[56],"against":[57],"existing":[58],"approaches,":[59],"I":[60,89,110,132],"present":[61],"new":[62,117],"general":[64],"principles":[65,92],"for":[66],"thinking":[67],"about":[68,103,141],"welfarist":[69],"choice":[70],"under":[71],"uncertainty.":[72],"Together,":[73],"these":[74,91],"reduce":[75],"arbitrary":[76],"choices":[77],"uncertainty\u2010free":[79],"ones,":[80],"regardless":[81],"of":[82,97,144],"latter":[85],"should":[86],"be":[87],"made.":[88],"illustrate":[90],"by":[93],"developing":[94],"two":[95],"theories":[96,137],"asymmetry,":[99],"reflecting":[100],"different":[101],"views":[102],"non\u2010identity":[105],"problem.":[106],"In":[107],"doing":[108,129],"so,":[109],"clarify":[111],"some":[112],"other":[113],"major":[114],"choice\u2010points,":[115],"presenting":[116],"arguments":[118],"lives":[123],"can":[124],"justify":[125],"(but":[126],"not":[127],"require)":[128],"harm.":[130],"Finally,":[131],"consider":[133],"what":[134],"developed":[136],"have":[138],"say":[140],"importance":[143],"extinction":[145],"risk":[146],"long\u2010run":[149],"future.":[150]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2022-11-19T00:00:00"}