{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4304893095","doi":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","title":"Demographic processes in Kazakhstan: current trends and forecasting the future development","display_name":"Demographic processes in Kazakhstan: current trends and forecasting the future development","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-10-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4304893095","doi":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","doi":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","pdf_url":"https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/download/2824/1496","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210226624","display_name":"Bulletin of Turan University","issn_l":"1562-2959","issn":["1562-2959","2959-1236"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I3130777500","host_organization_name":"Turan University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3130777500"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Bulletin of \"Turan\" University","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/download/2824/1496","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067702759","display_name":"\u0421\u043f\u0430\u043d\u043a\u0443\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u041b\u0430\u0437\u0430\u0442 \u0421\u0435\u0439\u0442\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0438\u0435\u0432\u043d\u0430","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1865-4681","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1865-4681"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I185571130","display_name":"Al-Farabi Kazakh National University","ror":"https://ror.org/03q0vrn42","country_code":"KZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185571130"]}],"countries":["KZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"L. S. Spankulova","raw_affiliation_strings":["Al-Farabi Kazakh National University"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1865-4681","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Al-Farabi Kazakh National University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I185571130"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086172457","display_name":"\u0427\u0443\u043b\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0417\u0430\u0443\u0440\u0435 \u041a\u0430\u0437\u0431\u0435\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0430","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9333-7582","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9333-7582"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405255559","display_name":"Institute of Economics","ror":"https://ror.org/0352k1g16","country_code":"KZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4401200292","https://openalex.org/I4405255559"]}],"countries":["KZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Z. K. Chulanova","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Economics of the Science Committee of the Ministry of Education and Science"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9333-7582","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Economics of the Science Committee of the Ministry of Education and Science","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405255559"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.297,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.84532754,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":"3","first_page":"60","last_page":"71"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14019","display_name":"Socioeconomic and Demographic Analysis","score":0.44209998846054077,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14019","display_name":"Socioeconomic and Demographic Analysis","score":0.44209998846054077,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13618","display_name":"Regional Socio-Economic Development Trends","score":0.3953000009059906,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.1387999951839447,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-processes","display_name":"demographic processes","score":0.9629999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-forecasting","display_name":"population forecasting","score":0.7850000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kazakhstan","display_name":"Kazakhstan","score":0.7440000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/depopulation","display_name":"depopulation","score":0.9309999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-stabilization","display_name":"population stabilization","score":0.7559999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-growth","display_name":"population growth","score":0.9259999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fertility","display_name":"fertility","score":0.8399999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mortality","display_name":"mortality","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/migration","display_name":"migration","score":0.9620000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/covid-19-pandemic-impact","display_name":"COVID-19 pandemic impact","score":0.8759999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-reproduction","display_name":"population reproduction","score":0.6290000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-structure-demography","display_name":"population structure (demography)","score":0.640999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extrapolation","display_name":"extrapolation","score":0.5559999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socio-economic-conditions","display_name":"socioeconomic conditions","score":0.6119999885559082}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986043164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demographic change","level":3,"score":0.6437981128692627},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.626203179359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77352025","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q386191","display_name":"Population growth","level":3,"score":0.5242488980293274},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4896726906299591},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518429986","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q964401","display_name":"Fertility","level":3,"score":0.46356141567230225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61189158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4157636","display_name":"Demographic analysis","level":4,"score":0.4460045397281647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89623803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12184","display_name":"Pandemic","level":5,"score":0.4240642189979553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.4163004159927368},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169733012","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1613416","display_name":"Population size","level":3,"score":0.4112376570701599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.3658701181411743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47768531","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1127188","display_name":"Development economics","level":1,"score":0.3648989200592041},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26271046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q187097","display_name":"Economic geography","level":1,"score":0.3258236050605774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3235107660293579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.2863851487636566},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.2641456723213196},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.10269546508789062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","doi":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","pdf_url":"https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/download/2824/1496","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210226624","display_name":"Bulletin of Turan University","issn_l":"1562-2959","issn":["1562-2959","2959-1236"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I3130777500","host_organization_name":"Turan University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3130777500"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Bulletin of \"Turan\" University","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","doi":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-60-71","pdf_url":"https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/download/2824/1496","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210226624","display_name":"Bulletin of Turan University","issn_l":"1562-2959","issn":["1562-2959","2959-1236"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I3130777500","host_organization_name":"Turan University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3130777500"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Bulletin of \"Turan\" University","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4304893095.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4304893095.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":16,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1967108003","https://openalex.org/W1969498530","https://openalex.org/W2066317317","https://openalex.org/W2072604764","https://openalex.org/W2092846763","https://openalex.org/W2162965004","https://openalex.org/W2979588294","https://openalex.org/W3084816956","https://openalex.org/W3090818224","https://openalex.org/W3125318139","https://openalex.org/W3131444005","https://openalex.org/W3142123871","https://openalex.org/W3200179275","https://openalex.org/W4205287067","https://openalex.org/W4205425423","https://openalex.org/W4230836016"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4389649013","https://openalex.org/W6906496335","https://openalex.org/W4283794718","https://openalex.org/W4389920465","https://openalex.org/W4417047248","https://openalex.org/W4224080781","https://openalex.org/W2989946736","https://openalex.org/W4312309259","https://openalex.org/W7155721385","https://openalex.org/W7203732558"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,13,47,66,114,151,185],"economic":[1],"development":[2,63,75,122,142,171],"of":[3,10,15,25,44,55,72,79,98,104,116,123,129,148,153,172,174,179,187],"any":[4],"country":[5],"depends":[6],"on":[7,36,120],"the":[8,16,23,37,41,45,52,73,77,95,99,102,112,117,121,130,139,145,167,170,175,180,183,190],"nature":[9],"demographic":[11,27,56,74,96,124,141,156],"processes.":[12],"size":[14],"population":[17,109,149,181],"and":[18,40,60,89,108,126,158,177,189],"its":[19],"composition":[20],"directly":[21],"affect":[22],"scale":[24],"production,":[26],"processes":[28,57,125,164],"\u2013":[29,33],"fertility,":[30],"mortality,":[31],"migration":[32],"largely":[34],"depend":[35],"socio-economic":[38,91,163],"situation":[39],"living":[42],"standard":[43],"population.":[46],"research":[48],"aims":[49],"to":[50,106],"assess":[51],"current":[53],"state":[54],"in":[58,86,111,155,182],"Kazakhstan":[59],"forecast":[61],"their":[62,87,159],"until":[64],"2050.":[65],"article":[67],"gives":[68],"a":[69],"brief":[70],"description":[71],"over":[76],"years":[78],"independence,":[80],"identifying":[81],"3":[82],"main":[83],"stages":[84],"different":[85],"dynamics":[88],"background":[90],"conditions,":[92],"starting":[93],"with":[94,101,162],"crisis":[97],"1990s":[100],"threat":[103],"depopulation":[105],"stabilization":[107],"growth":[110],"2000s.":[113],"impact":[115],"COVID-19":[118],"pandemic":[119],"related":[127],"indicators":[128],"social":[131],"sphere":[132],"is":[133,136],"analyzed.":[134],"It":[135],"determined":[137],"that":[138],"observed":[140],"radically":[143],"changes":[144],"existing":[146],"model":[147],"reproduction.":[150],"analysis":[152],"trends":[154],"processes,":[157],"cause-and-effect":[160],"relationships":[161],"serve":[165],"as":[166],"basis":[168],"for":[169,195],"forecasts":[173],"number":[176],"structure":[178],"future.":[184],"methods":[186],"extrapolation":[188],"age":[191],"shift":[192],"were":[193],"used":[194],"forecasting.":[196]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2022-10-13T00:00:00"}