{"id":"https://openalex.org/W430338134","doi":null,"title":"The Geopolitical Impact of Shale Gas: The Modelling Approach","display_name":"The Geopolitical Impact of Shale Gas: The Modelling Approach","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-07-20","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W430338134","mag":"430338134"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","pdf_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400906","display_name":"Research Repository (Delft University of Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","host_organization_name":"Delft University of Technology","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"conference paper"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035619253","display_name":"Willem L. Auping","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1898-643X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1898-643X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Willem L. Auping","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090700982","display_name":"Sijbren de Jong","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sijbren de Jong","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058784026","display_name":"Erik Pruyt","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8332-5422","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8332-5422"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Erik Pruyt","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8332-5422","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060829141","display_name":"Jan  H. Kwakkel","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9447-2954","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9447-2954"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jan H. Kwakkel","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9447-2954","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":9.9818,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96153846,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12129","display_name":"Global Energy Security and Policy","score":0.8252000212669373,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2100","display_name":"General Energy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12129","display_name":"Global Energy Security and Policy","score":0.8252000212669373,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2100","display_name":"General Energy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11059","display_name":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","score":0.13750000298023224,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11823","display_name":"Natural Resources and Economic Development","score":0.02250000089406967,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/shale-gas","display_name":"shale gas","score":0.8389999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/shale-revolution","display_name":"shale revolution","score":0.7459999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy-geopolitics","display_name":"energy geopolitics","score":0.7829999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/state-stability","display_name":"state stability","score":0.7170000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy-decoupling","display_name":"energy decoupling","score":0.9279999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy-price-scenarios","display_name":"energy price scenarios","score":0.5950000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-unrest","display_name":"social unrest","score":0.7269999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/system-dynamics-modeling","display_name":"system dynamics modeling","score":0.6110000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-development","display_name":"economic development","score":0.5289999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/unemployment","display_name":"unemployment","score":0.8190000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/purchasing-power","display_name":"purchasing power","score":0.9629999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/european-energy-security","display_name":"European energy security","score":0.5249999761581421}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24345647","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1147488","display_name":"Unconventional oil","level":3,"score":0.6418602466583252},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.5990554690361023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C59427239","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q40858","display_name":"Natural gas","level":2,"score":0.5620253086090088},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993020645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q564726","display_name":"Shale gas","level":3,"score":0.5405058264732361},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C68189081","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12748","display_name":"Fossil fuel","level":2,"score":0.514255940914154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175605778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3299701","display_name":"Natural resource economics","level":1,"score":0.45459723472595215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153127940","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q221378","display_name":"Oil shale","level":2,"score":0.44945070147514343},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779096232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q890794","display_name":"Hydraulic fracturing","level":2,"score":0.4333418011665344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136264566","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q159810","display_name":"Economy","level":1,"score":0.37425005435943604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78762247","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1273174","display_name":"Petroleum engineering","level":1,"score":0.3425290286540985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.1594473123550415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.14045515656471252},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C548081761","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180388","display_name":"Waste management","level":1,"score":0.0947611927986145}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","pdf_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400906","display_name":"Research Repository (Delft University of Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","host_organization_name":"Delft University of Technology","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"conference paper"},{"id":"pmh:tud:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401843","display_name":"Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1322597698","host_organization_name":"Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1322597698"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, The Netherlands, 20-24 July 2014; Authors version","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferencepaper"},{"id":"mag:430338134","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://repository.tudelft.nl/assets/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7/Auping_2014.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:tudelft.nl:uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","pdf_url":"http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:bb1594ad-d009-4f87-adeb-5e8cc6efebe7","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400906","display_name":"Research Repository (Delft University of Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","host_organization_name":"Delft University of Technology","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"conference paper"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.75,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W430338134.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W430338134.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":25,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W58333609","https://openalex.org/W93288254","https://openalex.org/W607674676","https://openalex.org/W1491057890","https://openalex.org/W1491903651","https://openalex.org/W1495317315","https://openalex.org/W1531737743","https://openalex.org/W1537547910","https://openalex.org/W1554912002","https://openalex.org/W2004216675","https://openalex.org/W2041278875","https://openalex.org/W2042252186","https://openalex.org/W2045860903","https://openalex.org/W2061845751","https://openalex.org/W2079238586","https://openalex.org/W2088748018","https://openalex.org/W2117690866","https://openalex.org/W2134042788","https://openalex.org/W2143090468","https://openalex.org/W2160232843","https://openalex.org/W2315235844","https://openalex.org/W2794603212","https://openalex.org/W2988934653","https://openalex.org/W3122074090","https://openalex.org/W3145345180"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7066111278","https://openalex.org/W2520197303","https://openalex.org/W3009655198","https://openalex.org/W2783348291","https://openalex.org/W2783148763","https://openalex.org/W4294015803","https://openalex.org/W6908795516","https://openalex.org/W2169144935","https://openalex.org/W2416837416","https://openalex.org/W4402452064"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,61,126],"US\u2019":[1],"shale":[2,33,71,134],"gas":[3,10,21,34,43,72,79,135,164],"revolution,":[4],"a":[5,93,141],"spectacular":[6],"increase":[7],"in":[8,23,46,160,167],"natural":[9],"extraction":[11],"from":[12],"previously":[13],"unconventional":[14],"sources,":[15],"has":[16],"led":[17],"to":[18,151,193],"considerable":[19],"lower":[20],"prices":[22,188],"North":[24],"America.":[25],"This":[26,97],"study":[27,130],"focusses":[28],"on":[29,36,76,110,123,153,185],"consequences":[30],"of":[31,39,49,70,85,106,118,128,143,170,176],"the":[32,47,50,68,104,116,144,168,171,174],"revolution":[35],"state":[37,124],"stability":[38],"traditional":[40,161],"oil":[41,77,154,162],"and":[42,73,78,114,120,163],"exporting":[44],"countries":[45,166],"vicinity":[48],"EU.":[51,172],"For":[52],"this":[53,129,148],"purpose,":[54],"we":[55],"developed":[56],"two":[57],"separate":[58],"SD":[59,95,98],"models.":[60],"first":[62],"model":[63,99],"was":[64,100,131],"used":[65,101],"for":[66,92,102],"assessing":[67,103],"impact":[69,105],"energy":[74,107,146,177,187],"decoupling":[75,178],"price":[80,87,108],"developments.":[81],"We":[82],"selected":[83],"some":[84],"these":[86],"developments":[88,136],"as":[89,140],"input":[90],"scenarios":[91,109],"second":[94],"model.":[96],"countries\u2019":[111],"economic":[112],"development,":[113],"via":[115],"development":[117],"unemployment":[119],"purchasing":[121],"power,":[122],"stability.":[125],"conclusion":[127],"that":[132],"while":[133],"may":[137,149,157,179],"be":[138],"seen":[139],"part":[142],"standard":[145],"hog-cycle,":[147],"lead":[150],"pressure":[152],"prices,":[155],"which":[156],"cause":[158],"instability":[159],"producing":[165],"neighbourhood":[169],"Further,":[173],"effects":[175],"have":[180],"an":[181],"even":[182],"larger":[183],"effect":[184],"putting":[186],"under":[189],"pressure,":[190],"thus":[191],"leading":[192],"social":[194],"unrest.":[195]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-09-22T06:50:58.402377","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}