{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4289800567","doi":null,"title":"Research and operational efforts to face the challenge of providing forecasts with uncertainties in France in 2015","display_name":"Research and operational efforts to face the challenge of providing forecasts with uncertainties in France in 2015","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-06-22","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4289800567"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-02601949v1","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-02601949","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IUGG General Assembly 2015, Jun 2015, Prague, Czech Republic","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044186403","display_name":"Carina Furusho\u2010Percot","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5756-3515","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5756-3515"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Furusho-Percot, Carina","raw_affiliation_strings":["UR HBAN - Hydrosyst\u00e8mes et Bioproc\u00e9d\u00e9s (1 rue Pierre-Gilles de Gennes 92761 Antony Cedex - France)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UR HBAN - Hydrosyst\u00e8mes et Bioproc\u00e9d\u00e9s (1 rue Pierre-Gilles de Gennes 92761 Antony Cedex - France)","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070534672","display_name":"Fran\u00e7ois Bourgin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2820-7260","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2820-7260"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bourgin, Fran\u00e7ois","raw_affiliation_strings":["UR HBAN - Hydrosyst\u00e8mes et Bioproc\u00e9d\u00e9s (1 rue Pierre-Gilles de Gennes 92761 Antony Cedex - France)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"UR HBAN - Hydrosyst\u00e8mes et Bioproc\u00e9d\u00e9s (1 rue Pierre-Gilles de Gennes 92761 Antony Cedex - France)","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072313945","display_name":"Lionel Berthet","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Berthet, Lionel","raw_affiliation_strings":["DREAL CENTRE SHPEC ORLEANS FRA (France)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"DREAL CENTRE SHPEC ORLEANS FRA (France)","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Marty, Renaud","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Marty, Renaud","raw_affiliation_strings":["DREAL CENTRE SHPEC ORLEANS FRA (France)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"DREAL CENTRE SHPEC ORLEANS FRA (France)","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087179080","display_name":"Olivier Piotte","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6904-8625","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6904-8625"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Piotte, Olivier","raw_affiliation_strings":["DGPR SRNH SCHAPI MHO TOULOUSE FRA (France)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"DGPR SRNH SCHAPI MHO TOULOUSE FRA (France)","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.6772000193595886,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":0.6772000193595886,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.30790001153945923,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.006200000178068876,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flood-forecasting","display_name":"flood forecasting","score":0.9860000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty-quantification","display_name":"uncertainty quantification","score":0.7829999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hydrological-models","display_name":"hydrological models","score":0.7919999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flood-warning-systems","display_name":"flood warning systems","score":0.43799999356269836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-visualization","display_name":"forecast visualization","score":0.4390000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-opinion","display_name":"expert opinion","score":0.5249999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty-bounds","display_name":"uncertainty bounds","score":0.7170000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operational-forecasting","display_name":"operational forecasting","score":0.4560000002384186}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779304628","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3503480","display_name":"Face (sociological concept)","level":2,"score":0.697368860244751},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.47810977697372437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178802073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8421","display_name":"Aeronautics","level":1,"score":0.36117926239967346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.16403290629386902},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.06958618760108948},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-02601949v1","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-02601949","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IUGG General Assembly 2015, Jun 2015, Prague, Czech Republic","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2539192743","https://openalex.org/W2991075460","https://openalex.org/W4298841341","https://openalex.org/W201225513","https://openalex.org/W7095377933","https://openalex.org/W7038400825","https://openalex.org/W2370944865","https://openalex.org/W2019743546","https://openalex.org/W3125011336","https://openalex.org/W27383809"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Currently,":[0],"the":[1,14,39,43,64,74,79,93,108,148,154,157,178,193,201,215,234,244],"French":[2,245],"flood":[3,19,97,143,246],"forecast":[4,144,247],"network":[5],"provides":[6],"hourly":[7],"observed":[8],"stage":[9],"and":[10,48,92,129,139,161,164,183,198,212],"discharge":[11],"data":[12],"through":[13],"website":[15,67],"www.vigicrues.gouv.fr.":[16],"If":[17],"a":[18,29,35,121,126,221,227],"is":[20,68],"likely":[21],"to":[22,78,87,113,124,132,146,159,186],"happen,":[23],"these":[24,172],"observations":[25],"are":[26,56,85],"completed":[27],"with":[28,73,89,107],"vigilance":[30],"warning":[31],"which":[32],"consists":[33],"in":[34,136],"short":[36],"text":[37],"about":[38],"forecasted":[40],"trend":[41],"for":[42,70,96,226],"next":[44],"24":[45],"h":[46],"ours":[47],"some":[49],"quantitative":[50],"forecasts":[51,55,75,102,163],"if":[52],"available.":[53],"However,":[54],"not":[57],"graphically":[58],"displayed":[59],"today.":[60],"An":[61],"improvement":[62],"of":[63,156,200],"general":[65],"public":[66],"planned":[69],"late":[71],"2015,":[72],"plotted":[76],"further":[77],"corresponding":[80],"observations.":[81],"The":[82],"local":[83],"services":[84],"used":[86],"deal":[88],"deterministic":[90],"models":[91,138],"national":[94],"center":[95],"forecasting":[98],"(SCHAPI)":[99],"decided":[100],"that":[101],"should":[103],"only":[104],"be":[105],"provided":[106],"associated":[109],"uncertainties.":[110,165],"In":[111],"order":[112],"achieve":[114],"this":[115,239],"goal,":[116],"two":[117],"actions":[118],"were":[119,169,218],"conducted:":[120],"research":[122,210],"project":[123],"develop":[125],"scientifically":[127],"sound":[128],"operational":[130,223],"method":[131],"quantify":[133],"predictive":[134],"uncertainty":[135,202],"hydrological":[137],"brainstorm":[140],"sessions":[141],"gathering":[142],"experts":[145],"define":[147],"implementation":[149],"strategy":[150],"as":[151,153,231,233],"well":[152,232],"specifications":[155],"tools":[158],"visualize":[160],"communicate":[162],"Several":[166],"relevant":[167],"questions":[168],"raised":[170],"during":[171,238],"discussions:":[173],"How":[174,189],"can":[175,190],"we":[176,191],"find":[177,192],"compromise":[179],"between":[180,195],"automatic":[181],"calculation":[182],"human":[184],"expertise":[185],"estimate":[187],"uncertainties?":[188],"balance":[194],"sharpness,":[196],"reliability":[197],"utility":[199],"bounds?":[203],"This":[204],"communication":[205],"show":[206],"cases":[207],"how":[208],"recent":[209],"results":[211],"inputs":[213],"from":[214],"experts\u2019":[216],"group":[217],"translated":[219],"into":[220],"post-processing":[222],"tool":[224],"designed":[225],"multi-hydrological/hydraulic":[228],"model":[229],"platform":[230],"main":[235],"lessons":[236],"learned":[237],"paradigm":[240],"shifting":[241],"process":[242],"within":[243],"network.":[248]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2022-08-04T00:00:00"}
