{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4280583243","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","title":"Convective\u2010scale numerical weather prediction and warnings over Lake Victoria: Part II \u2014Can model output support severe weather warning decision\u2010making?","display_name":"Convective\u2010scale numerical weather prediction and warnings over Lake Victoria: Part II \u2014Can model output support severe weather warning decision\u2010making?","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-05-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4280583243","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/met.2055","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/met.2055","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S75230789","display_name":"Meteorological Applications","issn_l":"1350-4827","issn":["1350-4827","1469-8080"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-d","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Meteorological Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/met.2055","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090169202","display_name":"Marion Mittermaier","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4752-3135","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4752-3135"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Marion Mittermaier","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Exeter, UK"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4752-3135","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Exeter, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5033073535","display_name":"Stephanie Landman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7021-933X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7021-933X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2800273996","display_name":"South African Weather Service","ror":"https://ror.org/03mef6610","country_code":"ZA","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2800273996","https://openalex.org/I2800683076"]}],"countries":["ZA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stephanie Landman","raw_affiliation_strings":["South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2800273996"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042834364","display_name":"Gabriella Csima","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Gabriella Csima","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Exeter, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Exeter, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027243923","display_name":"Steven J. Goodman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1091-030X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1091-030X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Steven Goodman","raw_affiliation_strings":["Thunderbolt Analytics, Huntsville, Alabama, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1091-030X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Thunderbolt Analytics, Huntsville, Alabama, USA","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5090169202"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"],"apc_list":{"value":2400,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2400},"apc_paid":{"value":2400,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2400},"fwci":0.5376,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.5041428,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"29","issue":"3","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11234","display_name":"Precipitation Measurement and Analysis","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/severe-weather-warnings","display_name":"severe weather warnings","score":0.8600000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lake-victoria","display_name":"Lake Victoria","score":0.902999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/thunderstorm-outflow","display_name":"thunderstorm outflow","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lightning-hazard","display_name":"lightning hazard","score":0.5809999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flash-floods","display_name":"flash floods","score":0.8379999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/detection-probability","display_name":"detection probability","score":0.7350000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/met-office-unified-model","display_name":"Met Office Unified Model","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/boating-safety","display_name":"boating safety","score":0.3889999985694885}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781013037","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1433331","display_name":"Nowcasting","level":2,"score":0.6597199440002441},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.6364168524742126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C69398868","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q129052","display_name":"Lightning (connector)","level":3,"score":0.5792276859283447},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C80316258","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2857578","display_name":"Thunderstorm","level":2,"score":0.578982949256897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49261128","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132455","display_name":"Hazard","level":2,"score":0.5772261023521423},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29825287","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1427940","display_name":"Warning system","level":2,"score":0.564629316329956},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.552100658416748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107054158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25257","display_name":"Precipitation","level":2,"score":0.5059975981712341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.47322264313697815},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186594467","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1429176","display_name":"Flooding (psychology)","level":2,"score":0.4422645568847656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.4184938371181488},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120417685","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q860333","display_name":"Flash flood","level":3,"score":0.41354769468307495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.2856585383415222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.206485778093338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.08743351697921753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178790620","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11351","display_name":"Organic chemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C542102704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183257","display_name":"Psychotherapist","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74256435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q134052","display_name":"Flood myth","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/met.2055","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/met.2055","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S75230789","display_name":"Meteorological Applications","issn_l":"1350-4827","issn":["1350-4827","1469-8080"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-d","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Meteorological Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:96903d357009423b9a0c7851e1c607ba","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/96903d357009423b9a0c7851e1c607ba","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Meteorological Applications, Vol 29, Iss 3, Pp n/a-n/a (2022)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/met.2055","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2055","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1002/met.2055","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S75230789","display_name":"Meteorological Applications","issn_l":"1350-4827","issn":["1350-4827","1469-8080"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-d","jufo-1","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Meteorological Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.5351999998092651,"display_name":"Climate action"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1102711762","display_name":"THIS PROPOSAL OFFERS TO SUPPORT THE NASA EARTH SCIENCE RESEARCH DIVISION AND THE AEG WITH PROGRAM AND PROJECT PLANNING; SCIENTIFIC  TECHNICAL  AND ENGINEERING ANALYSIS; PANEL AND PAPER REVIEWS; INTERAGENCY (NASA  NOAA  NSF)  UNIVERSITY  AND INTERNATIONAL (E.G.  WMO  EUMETSAT  JMA  KMA  CMA  INPE) MISSION AND RESEARCH PROJECT COORDINATION  AND DATA ARCHIVE/DATA PORTAL ACCESS THE NASA GLOBAL HYDROLOGY RESOURCE CENTER DISTRIBUTED ACTIVE ARCHIVE CENTER  GHRC DAAC) AND USE FOR RECENT (2017 GOES-R FIELD CAMPAIGN) AND PLANNED 2018-2019 EXPERIMENTS (RELAMPAGO/NSF  LAKE VICTORIA HIGHWAY/WMO  SEVERE AND HIGH IMPACT WEATHER STUDIES/NASA). EACH OF THESE PROJECTS USES SPACEBASED OBSERVATIONS - FROM GEOSTATIONARY AND LOW EARTH ORBIT  THE ISS-LIS  INSTRUMENTED AIRPLANES  RESEARCH AND OPERATIONAL SATELLITES  AND GROUND-BASED OBSERVING NETWORKS COMPLEMENTED WITH ANCILLARY DATA WHERE ALL ARE KEY COMPONENTS OF THE RESEARCH ANALYSIS.","funder_award_id":"80NSSC18K1655","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","funder_display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2951889612","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"P105101","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320331","funder_display_name":"Met Office"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/027ka1x80"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320314707","display_name":"Government of the United Kingdom","ror":"https://ror.org/05wnh3t63"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320331","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322037","display_name":"Nuclear Safety and Security Commission","ror":"https://ror.org/05qk3ge34"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320330760","display_name":"Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office","ror":"https://ror.org/037wke960"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4280583243.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4280583243.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":17,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1483126228","https://openalex.org/W1986017051","https://openalex.org/W1987324508","https://openalex.org/W2073298425","https://openalex.org/W2078690500","https://openalex.org/W2137566659","https://openalex.org/W2143837721","https://openalex.org/W2171063661","https://openalex.org/W2560821854","https://openalex.org/W2582743722","https://openalex.org/W2759230545","https://openalex.org/W2886865259","https://openalex.org/W2949059421","https://openalex.org/W3006006805","https://openalex.org/W3127544235","https://openalex.org/W4280591660","https://openalex.org/W6893930260"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4280591660","https://openalex.org/W2733121356","https://openalex.org/W1482521505","https://openalex.org/W3193751229","https://openalex.org/W6981264272","https://openalex.org/W2788250075","https://openalex.org/W4413245747","https://openalex.org/W7222893017","https://openalex.org/W4288712251","https://openalex.org/W3161121215"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"The":[1,86,115,175],"greater":[2],"Lake":[3],"Victoria":[4],"region":[5],"was":[6,131],"the":[7,10,17,78,118,122,163,170,180,202,229],"focus":[8],"of":[9,19,77,117,124,147,152,169,183,187,194,201,228],"\u2018HIGHWeather":[11],"impact":[12],"lAke":[13],"sYstem\u2019":[14],"project,":[15],"with":[16,82,189,196],"aim":[18],"developing":[20],"an":[21],"early":[22],"warning":[23,205],"capability":[24],"for":[25,113,213],"hazardous":[26],"weather.":[27],"Strong":[28],"thunderstorm":[29],"outflows":[30],"can":[31],"cause":[32],"boats":[33],"to":[34,38,45,97,134,208,236],"capsize":[35],"and":[36,47,61,69,95,126,144,157,192],"lead":[37],"drowning.":[39],"Lightning":[40],"is":[41,55,222,232],"also":[42,132],"a":[43,56,99,158,225,233,240],"hazard":[44],"fishermen,":[46],"over":[48],"land":[49],"flash":[50],"flooding":[51],"from":[52,142,162],"heavy":[53],"rainfall":[54],"significant":[57],"hazard.":[58],"Between":[59],"March":[60],"October":[62],"2019,":[63],"16":[64],"regional":[65],"warnings":[66,80,88,108,119,138,218],"were":[67,89,219],"issued,":[68,111],"14":[70],"days":[71,139,188,195,206],"had":[72],"reported":[73,84,190],"impacts.":[74,85],"Only":[75],"one":[76],"issued":[79,87,181,197],"aligned":[81],"any":[83,237],"verified":[90],"using":[91],"three":[92],"different":[93],"methodologies":[94],"found":[96,133],"have":[98],"very":[100],"low":[101],"frequency":[102],"bias,":[103],"confirming":[104],"that":[105,212,224],"too":[106],"few":[107],"are":[109,140],"being":[110],"especially":[112],"precipitation.":[114],"skill":[116],"based":[120],"on":[121],"probability":[123],"detection":[125],"symmetric":[127],"extremal":[128],"dependency":[129],"index":[130],"be":[135,209],"low.":[136],"Potential":[137],"derived":[141],"individual":[143],"multivariate":[145],"combinations":[146],"numerical":[148],"weather":[149],"prediction":[150],"forecasts":[151],"mean":[153],"wind":[154],"speed,":[155],"precipitation":[156],"new":[159],"lightning":[160,230],"diagnostic":[161,231],"4.4":[164],"km":[165],"Tropical":[166],"Africa":[167],"configuration":[168],"Met":[171],"Office":[172],"Unified":[173],"Model.":[174],"methodology":[176],"identified":[177,203],"5\u20137":[178],"times":[179],"number":[182],"warnings,":[184],"including":[185],"50%":[186],"impacts":[191],"25%":[193],"warnings.":[198],"Overall,":[199],"70%\u201380%":[200],"potential":[204],"appear":[207],"justified,":[210],"suggesting":[211],"this":[214],"period":[215],"not":[216],"enough":[217],"issued.":[220],"It":[221],"shown":[223],"daily":[226],"aggregate":[227],"skilful":[234],"addition":[235],"guidance":[238],"supporting":[239],"decision\u2010making":[241],"process.":[242]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2022-05-22T00:00:00"}
