{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4213435181","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","title":"Online prediction of ultra-short-term photovoltaic power using chaotic characteristic analysis, improved PSO and KELM","display_name":"Online prediction of ultra-short-term photovoltaic power using chaotic characteristic analysis, improved PSO and KELM","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-02-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4213435181","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2497375143","display_name":"Energy","issn_l":"0360-5442","issn":["0360-5442","1873-6785"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Energy","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222004777","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059013031","display_name":"Xiang Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6598-3090","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6598-3090"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I163340411","display_name":"Hohai University","ror":"https://ror.org/01wd4xt90","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xiang Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6598-3090","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039084472","display_name":"Kun Ding","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6077-1064","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6077-1064"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I163340411","display_name":"Hohai University","ror":"https://ror.org/01wd4xt90","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Kun Ding","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100434260","display_name":"Jingwei Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0525-1437","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0525-1437"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I163340411","display_name":"Hohai University","ror":"https://ror.org/01wd4xt90","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jingwei Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051207933","display_name":"Wei Han","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8489-5414","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8489-5414"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405282011","display_name":"State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/056wxrm96","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I17442442","https://openalex.org/I4405282011"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wei Han","raw_affiliation_strings":["State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Huai'an Power Supply Branch, Huaian, Jiangsu, 223001, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Huai'an Power Supply Branch, Huaian, Jiangsu, 223001, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405282011"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100698551","display_name":"Yongjie Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8939-3311","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8939-3311","https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3125-8760"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I163340411","display_name":"Hohai University","ror":"https://ror.org/01wd4xt90","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yongjie Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101493045","display_name":"Zenan Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3252-1359","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3252-1359"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I163340411","display_name":"Hohai University","ror":"https://ror.org/01wd4xt90","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zenan Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Shuai Weng","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shuai Weng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Changzhou Key Laboratory of Photovoltaic System Integration and Production Equipment Technology, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Changzhou Key Laboratory of Photovoltaic System Integration and Production Equipment Technology, Changzhou, Jiangsu, 213022, China","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5039084472"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I163340411"],"apc_list":{"value":3710,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3710},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.6797,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":69,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9154615,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":98,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"248","issue":null,"first_page":"123574","last_page":"123574"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9872999787330627,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9872999787330627,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.007699999958276749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10468","display_name":"Photovoltaic System Optimization Techniques","score":0.0017999999690800905,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-power-forecasting","display_name":"photovoltaic power forecasting","score":0.8299999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ultra-short-term-prediction","display_name":"ultra-short-term prediction","score":0.8569999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/online-prediction","display_name":"online prediction","score":0.8610000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/chaotic-characteristics","display_name":"chaotic characteristics","score":0.7250000238418579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/singular-spectrum-analysis","display_name":"singular spectrum analysis","score":0.8619999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variational-mode-decomposition","display_name":"variational mode decomposition","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/phase-space-reconstruction","display_name":"phase space reconstruction","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kernel-extreme-learning-machine","display_name":"kernel extreme learning machine","score":0.8920000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/improved-particle-swarm-optimization","display_name":"improved particle swarm optimization","score":0.9589999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parameter-optimization","display_name":"parameter optimization","score":0.6700000166893005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-decomposition","display_name":"time series decomposition","score":0.4269999861717224}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777052490","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5072826","display_name":"Chaotic","level":2,"score":0.7090451121330261},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.6604387164115906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C85617194","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2072794","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","level":2,"score":0.5758479833602905},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5064405202865601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79337645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q779824","display_name":"Outlier","level":2,"score":0.5045572519302368},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4778710901737213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136272165","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4048889","display_name":"Singular spectrum analysis","level":3,"score":0.4258115887641907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.4052627682685852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22789450","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420904","display_name":"Singular value decomposition","level":2,"score":0.3921576738357544},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47446073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5165890","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","level":3,"score":0.36537641286849976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3042411208152771},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.24924305081367493},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775924081","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55608371","display_name":"Control (management)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123574","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2497375143","display_name":"Energy","issn_l":"0360-5442","issn":["0360-5442","1873-6785"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Energy","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:energy:v:248:y:2022:i:c:s0360544222004777","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222004777","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:energy:v:248:y:2022:i:c:s0360544222004777","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222004777","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","score":0.9090999960899353,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7"},{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":0.4943999946117401,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":47,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1977654506","https://openalex.org/W1982904001","https://openalex.org/W1984391316","https://openalex.org/W1985505861","https://openalex.org/W2000982976","https://openalex.org/W2026131661","https://openalex.org/W2050882092","https://openalex.org/W2055221518","https://openalex.org/W2087670913","https://openalex.org/W2134603844","https://openalex.org/W2169245194","https://openalex.org/W2205897359","https://openalex.org/W2329476579","https://openalex.org/W2347494083","https://openalex.org/W2411596360","https://openalex.org/W2469734051","https://openalex.org/W2547254476","https://openalex.org/W2752250962","https://openalex.org/W2767559196","https://openalex.org/W2769156605","https://openalex.org/W2773629498","https://openalex.org/W2784090553","https://openalex.org/W2790672142","https://openalex.org/W2808150083","https://openalex.org/W2891576425","https://openalex.org/W2899529671","https://openalex.org/W2899887821","https://openalex.org/W2901095323","https://openalex.org/W2917942954","https://openalex.org/W2924531220","https://openalex.org/W2924950036","https://openalex.org/W2984733277","https://openalex.org/W2990430732","https://openalex.org/W2996934208","https://openalex.org/W2997684871","https://openalex.org/W3014512718","https://openalex.org/W3033048642","https://openalex.org/W3033283586","https://openalex.org/W3093047675","https://openalex.org/W3108854659","https://openalex.org/W3112460962","https://openalex.org/W3121049432","https://openalex.org/W3162586076","https://openalex.org/W3177413738","https://openalex.org/W4234835070","https://openalex.org/W4236808000","https://openalex.org/W4239980621"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2547254476","https://openalex.org/W7135199023","https://openalex.org/W4407602180","https://openalex.org/W4414322625","https://openalex.org/W4385725053","https://openalex.org/W4322731849","https://openalex.org/W3121049432","https://openalex.org/W4408413704","https://openalex.org/W3014512718","https://openalex.org/W4403127371"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":17},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":16},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":17},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":7}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2022-02-25T00:00:00"}