{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4200450843","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","title":"ARIMA Intervention Model for Measuring the Impact of the Lobster Seeds Fishing and Export Ban Policy on the Indonesian Lobster Export","display_name":"ARIMA Intervention Model for Measuring the Impact of the Lobster Seeds Fishing and Export Ban Policy on the Indonesian Lobster Export","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-11-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4200450843","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210187594","display_name":"Journal of Physics Conference Series","issn_l":"1742-6588","issn":["1742-6588","1742-6596"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026868911","display_name":"Ria Dhotul Ilmiah","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405255550","display_name":"Politeknik Statistika STIS","ror":"https://ror.org/034k8m376","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405255550"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ria Dhotul Ilmiah","raw_affiliation_strings":["Politeknik Statistika STIS, East Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Politeknik Statistika STIS, East Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405255550"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055874749","display_name":"Siskarossa Ika Oktora","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2395-5646","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2395-5646"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405255550","display_name":"Politeknik Statistika STIS","ror":"https://ror.org/034k8m376","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405255550"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Siskarossa Ika Oktora","raw_affiliation_strings":["Politeknik Statistika STIS, East Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Politeknik Statistika STIS, East Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405255550"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5055874749"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405255550"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.459,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.79616132,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"2123","issue":"1","first_page":"012011","last_page":"012011"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.8481000065803528,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.8481000065803528,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12205","display_name":"Time Series Analysis and Forecasting","score":0.03350000083446503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14405","display_name":"Fisheries and Aquaculture Studies","score":0.0210999995470047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1100","display_name":"General Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/policy-impact-assessment","display_name":"policy impact assessment","score":0.6100000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intervention-analysis","display_name":"intervention analysis","score":0.7990000247955322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/arima-model","display_name":"ARIMA model","score":0.6259999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fisheries-policy","display_name":"fisheries policy","score":0.5830000042915344}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C514101110","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14373","display_name":"Fishing","level":2,"score":0.7915821075439453},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780665704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q959298","display_name":"Intervention (counseling)","level":2,"score":0.6303445100784302},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779207338","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9240","display_name":"Indonesian","level":2,"score":0.6205630302429199},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C505870484","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180538","display_name":"Fishery","level":1,"score":0.5342544317245483},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.45799878239631653},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.44518420100212097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.43712154030799866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175605778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3299701","display_name":"Natural resource economics","level":1,"score":0.32199400663375854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2866309881210327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.19869688153266907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.10186910629272461},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.09879803657531738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0799558162689209},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118552586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7867","display_name":"Psychiatry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210187594","display_name":"Journal of Physics Conference Series","issn_l":"1742-6588","issn":["1742-6588","1742-6596"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/2123/1/012011/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210187594","display_name":"Journal of Physics Conference Series","issn_l":"1742-6588","issn":["1742-6588","1742-6596"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4200450843.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4200450843.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":10,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1994315542","https://openalex.org/W2064100615","https://openalex.org/W2127834656","https://openalex.org/W2517960381","https://openalex.org/W2524066905","https://openalex.org/W2576463728","https://openalex.org/W2885628243","https://openalex.org/W2899748868","https://openalex.org/W3088688177","https://openalex.org/W3135297496"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4392863177","https://openalex.org/W1538424327","https://openalex.org/W2121450476","https://openalex.org/W2477521160","https://openalex.org/W4230586267","https://openalex.org/W4254677892","https://openalex.org/W4250400952","https://openalex.org/W4400513501","https://openalex.org/W3091768611","https://openalex.org/W4387351918"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"An":[1],"intervention":[2,35,83],"model":[3,80],"is":[4,57],"an":[5,15,82],"analytical":[6],"method":[7],"for":[8,87],"evaluating":[9],"or":[10,44,52],"measuring":[11,88],"the":[12,42,47,65,89,96,101,107,116,135,181,189],"impact":[13,90],"of":[14,34,46,84,91,98,103,110,120,127,140,184],"external":[16],"event":[17],"called":[18],"intervention,":[19,63],"such":[20],"as":[21],"a":[22,50,61,69,77,192],"natural":[23],"disaster,":[24],"holidays,":[25],"sales":[26],"promotions,":[27],"and":[28,100,134,149,164,188],"other":[29],"policy":[30,152],"changes.":[31],"Two":[32],"types":[33],"variables":[36],"will":[37],"be":[38],"used":[39,58],"to":[40,59,75,95,160,167],"represent":[41,60],"presence":[43],"absence":[45],"event,":[48],"i.e.,":[49],"pulse":[51,55],"step.":[53],"The":[54,173],"function":[56,67,86],"temporary":[62],"whereas":[64],"step":[66,85],"shows":[68],"long-term":[70],"intervention.":[71],"This":[72],"study":[73],"aims":[74],"develop":[76],"time":[78],"series":[79],"with":[81],"two":[92],"policies":[93,114,178],"related":[94,125,145],"prohibition":[97],"fishing":[99,130,148],"export":[102,108,150,182],"lobster":[104,128,146,162,185],"seeds":[105,129,147],"on":[106],"value":[109,166,183],"Indonesian":[111],"lobster.":[112],"These":[113,156],"are":[115,158,170],"Ministerial":[117,136],"Regulation":[118,137],"No.1":[119],"2015":[121,124],"since":[122,142],"January":[123,143],"banning":[126],"(called":[131,153],"first":[132],"intervention)":[133],"No.":[138],"56":[139],"2016":[141],"2017":[144],"ban":[151],"second":[154],"intervention).":[155],"regulations":[157],"designed":[159],"ensure":[161],"sustainability":[163],"add":[165],"lobsters":[168],"that":[169,176],"currently":[171],"overfished.":[172],"results":[174],"show":[175],"both":[177],"significantly":[179],"affect":[180],"in":[186],"Indonesia,":[187],"interventions":[190],"have":[191],"permanent":[193],"impact.":[194]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2021-12-31T00:00:00"}