{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4200015142","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","title":"Designing early warning systems for detecting systemic risk: A case study and discussion","display_name":"Designing early warning systems for detecting systemic risk: A case study and discussion","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-12-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4200015142","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S130638383","display_name":"Futures","issn_l":"0016-3287","issn":["0016-3287","1873-6378"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Futures","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Designing_early_warning_systems_for_detecting_systemic_risk_A_case_study_and_discussion/22754117","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057832273","display_name":"Mark Wever","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0464-583X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0464-583X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I41125697","display_name":"AgResearch","ror":"https://ror.org/0124gwh94","country_code":"NZ","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I41125697","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mark Wever","raw_affiliation_strings":["Computational Agricultural Systems, AgResearch, New Zealand"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0464-583X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Computational Agricultural Systems, AgResearch, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I41125697"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031354895","display_name":"Munir Shah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6084-7404","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6084-7404"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I41125697","display_name":"AgResearch","ror":"https://ror.org/0124gwh94","country_code":"NZ","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I41125697","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Munir Shah","raw_affiliation_strings":["Computational Agricultural Systems, AgResearch, New Zealand"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Computational Agricultural Systems, AgResearch, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I41125697"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039360885","display_name":"Niall O\u2019Leary","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9317-447X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9317-447X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210100923","display_name":"Munster Technological University","ror":"https://ror.org/013xpqh61","country_code":"IE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210100923"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Niall O\u2019Leary","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Business, Munster Technological University, Ireland"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9317-447X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Business, Munster Technological University, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210100923"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5057832273"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I41125697"],"apc_list":{"value":2600,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2600},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.7721,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":22,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.65347365,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":97,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"136","issue":null,"first_page":"102882","last_page":"102882"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13377","display_name":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","score":0.30489999055862427,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13377","display_name":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","score":0.30489999055862427,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12000","display_name":"Systems Engineering Methodologies and Applications","score":0.19210000336170197,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2207","display_name":"Control and Systems Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11807","display_name":"Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis","score":0.06650000065565109,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2205","display_name":"Civil and Structural Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/early-warning-systems","display_name":"early warning systems","score":0.9539999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/big-data-analytics","display_name":"big data analytics","score":0.753000020980835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"artificial intelligence","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pastoral-industry","display_name":"pastoral industry","score":0.8880000114440918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/new-zealand","display_name":"New Zealand","score":0.5989999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/system-fragility","display_name":"system fragility","score":0.7870000004768372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-anticipation","display_name":"risk anticipation","score":0.5170000195503235}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144587487","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1369234","display_name":"Systemic risk","level":3,"score":0.8212475776672363},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777526511","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q691543","display_name":"Pace","level":2,"score":0.7465928792953491},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29825287","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1427940","display_name":"Warning system","level":2,"score":0.6814289093017578},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.6549785137176514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.48616668581962585},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781368420","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q803874","display_name":"Biosecurity","level":2,"score":0.4528079032897949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C80191262","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5477668","display_name":"Fragility","level":2,"score":0.44426313042640686},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.41720402240753174},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.26560598611831665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.12090572714805603},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.11253190040588379},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.08925190567970276},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147789679","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11372","display_name":"Physical chemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13280743","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089","display_name":"Geodesy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778300220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q114380","display_name":"Financial crisis","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102882","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S130638383","display_name":"Futures","issn_l":"0016-3287","issn":["0016-3287","1873-6378"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Futures","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/22754117","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Designing_early_warning_systems_for_detecting_systemic_risk_A_case_study_and_discussion/22754117","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/22754117","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Designing_early_warning_systems_for_detecting_systemic_risk_A_case_study_and_discussion/22754117","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320309931","display_name":"AgResearch","ror":"https://ror.org/0124gwh94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321983","display_name":"Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment","ror":"https://ror.org/02jtq1b51"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":60,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W380522086","https://openalex.org/W600933876","https://openalex.org/W1502904180","https://openalex.org/W1561265424","https://openalex.org/W1584428002","https://openalex.org/W1596770320","https://openalex.org/W1816403485","https://openalex.org/W1965999370","https://openalex.org/W1966258067","https://openalex.org/W1970479998","https://openalex.org/W1980164438","https://openalex.org/W2004039897","https://openalex.org/W2035479739","https://openalex.org/W2051138237","https://openalex.org/W2067472586","https://openalex.org/W2103104862","https://openalex.org/W2110624421","https://openalex.org/W2114138382","https://openalex.org/W2117678092","https://openalex.org/W2125997026","https://openalex.org/W2136823593","https://openalex.org/W2143943407","https://openalex.org/W2167862155","https://openalex.org/W2246394597","https://openalex.org/W2307693123","https://openalex.org/W2483104332","https://openalex.org/W2557671501","https://openalex.org/W2736633056","https://openalex.org/W2798401582","https://openalex.org/W2802200907","https://openalex.org/W2803962760","https://openalex.org/W2889211617","https://openalex.org/W2918821272","https://openalex.org/W2923002376","https://openalex.org/W2943825918","https://openalex.org/W2947412763","https://openalex.org/W2949696461","https://openalex.org/W2950387513","https://openalex.org/W2964264785","https://openalex.org/W2972788315","https://openalex.org/W2982091988","https://openalex.org/W2995583543","https://openalex.org/W2999281019","https://openalex.org/W3010967647","https://openalex.org/W3020556969","https://openalex.org/W3026270031","https://openalex.org/W3037406857","https://openalex.org/W3041892267","https://openalex.org/W3106481053","https://openalex.org/W3113154186","https://openalex.org/W3122715208","https://openalex.org/W3122768207","https://openalex.org/W3122920589","https://openalex.org/W3123085324","https://openalex.org/W3123854238","https://openalex.org/W3129794348","https://openalex.org/W4251883142","https://openalex.org/W4253168348","https://openalex.org/W4255190461","https://openalex.org/W6676566350"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4414896743","https://openalex.org/W3211064030","https://openalex.org/W4414024151","https://openalex.org/W1488508005","https://openalex.org/W2203362249","https://openalex.org/W7213954443","https://openalex.org/W4414805087","https://openalex.org/W4416022009","https://openalex.org/W3093035092","https://openalex.org/W7199107376"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2021-12-31T00:00:00"}