{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4170321","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","title":"Effects of Seasonal Climate Variability and the Use of Climate Forecasts on Wheat Supply in the United States, Australia, and Canada","display_name":"Effects of Seasonal Climate Variability and the Use of Climate Forecasts on Wheat Supply in the United States, Australia, and Canada","publication_year":2001,"publication_date":"2001-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4170321","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","mag":"4170321"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210170279","display_name":"ASA special publication","issn_l":"0066-0566","issn":["0066-0566","2165-9710"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ASA Special Publications","raw_type":"other"},"volume":{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4255753187","display_name":"Impacts of El Ni\u00f1o and Climate Variability on Agriculture"},"type":"book-chapter","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Harvey S. J. Hill","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91045830","display_name":"Texas A&M University","ror":"https://ror.org/01f5ytq51","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Harvey S. J. Hill","raw_affiliation_strings":["Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113481230","display_name":"David Butler","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210164589","display_name":"Department of Primary Industries","ror":"https://ror.org/05s5aag36","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801244131","https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David Butler","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086783280","display_name":"Stephen W Fuller","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91045830","display_name":"Texas A&M University","ror":"https://ror.org/01f5ytq51","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stephen W. Fuller","raw_affiliation_strings":["Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060800572","display_name":"Graeme Hammer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1180-7374","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1180-7374"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210164589","display_name":"Department of Primary Industries","ror":"https://ror.org/05s5aag36","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801244131","https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Graeme Hammer","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018700325","display_name":"Dean P. Holzworth","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-5427-2048","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0009-5427-2048"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210164589","display_name":"Department of Primary Industries","ror":"https://ror.org/05s5aag36","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801244131","https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dean Holzworth","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102907096","display_name":"H. Alan Love","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7925-0817","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7925-0817"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91045830","display_name":"Texas A&M University","ror":"https://ror.org/01f5ytq51","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"H. Alan Love","raw_affiliation_strings":["Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076803633","display_name":"Holger Meinke","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2657-3264","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2657-3264"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210164589","display_name":"Department of Primary Industries","ror":"https://ror.org/05s5aag36","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801244131","https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Holger Meinke","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210164589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073821646","display_name":"James W. Mjelde","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9581-8539","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9581-8539"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91045830","display_name":"Texas A&M University","ror":"https://ror.org/01f5ytq51","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"James W. Mjelde","raw_affiliation_strings":["Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Jaehong Park","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91045830","display_name":"Texas A&M University","ror":"https://ror.org/01f5ytq51","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jaehong Park","raw_affiliation_strings":["Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91045830"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5037805998","display_name":"W. D. Rosenthal","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wesley Rosenthal","raw_affiliation_strings":["Blackland Research Center Texas Agricultural Experiment Station, Temple, Texas"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Blackland Research Center Texas Agricultural Experiment Station, Temple, Texas","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.9324,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91724138,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"101","last_page":"123"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11886","display_name":"Agricultural risk and resilience","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10471","display_name":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wheat-supply","display_name":"wheat supply","score":0.9890000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-climate-variability","display_name":"seasonal climate variability","score":0.7960000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-prediction","display_name":"climate prediction","score":0.8550000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/el-nino-southern-oscillation","display_name":"ENSO","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wheat-farmers","display_name":"wheat farmers","score":0.5720000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crop-yield-modeling","display_name":"crop yield simulation","score":0.6439999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/planted-acreage","display_name":"planted acreage","score":0.7540000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-curve","display_name":"supply curve","score":0.9120000004768372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spring-wheat","display_name":"spring wheat","score":0.8230000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/winter-wheat","display_name":"winter wheat","score":0.9760000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-markets","display_name":"agricultural markets","score":0.753000020980835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/united-states","display_name":"United States","score":0.6679999828338623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/australia","display_name":"Australia","score":0.8379999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/canada","display_name":"Canada","score":1.0}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.6439006328582764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.5662134289741516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.47982311248779297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4347411096096039},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48824518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q396340","display_name":"Agricultural economics","level":1,"score":0.3245527148246765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.20669037103652954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.10996171832084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.088632732629776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.05532047152519226}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2134/asaspecpub63.ch7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210170279","display_name":"ASA special publication","issn_l":"0066-0566","issn":["0066-0566","2165-9710"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ASA Special Publications","raw_type":"other"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Zero hunger","score":0.991100013256073,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2"},{"display_name":"Climate action","score":0.685699999332428,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":24,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W63176319","https://openalex.org/W376853982","https://openalex.org/W1576210070","https://openalex.org/W1984825902","https://openalex.org/W1985616833","https://openalex.org/W1993196883","https://openalex.org/W2000190254","https://openalex.org/W2009213541","https://openalex.org/W2014769943","https://openalex.org/W2020641059","https://openalex.org/W2020960159","https://openalex.org/W2033511925","https://openalex.org/W2057995699","https://openalex.org/W2059991980","https://openalex.org/W2064534495","https://openalex.org/W2067422067","https://openalex.org/W2075857503","https://openalex.org/W2138235430","https://openalex.org/W2150080969","https://openalex.org/W2152430928","https://openalex.org/W2175686927","https://openalex.org/W2504959750","https://openalex.org/W2931158770","https://openalex.org/W4239014291"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2081088579","https://openalex.org/W376853982","https://openalex.org/W4387511676","https://openalex.org/W4293063141","https://openalex.org/W3092276555","https://openalex.org/W2166816197","https://openalex.org/W2808964638","https://openalex.org/W2884403399","https://openalex.org/W3033674502","https://openalex.org/W2028671789"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Better":[0],"understanding":[1],"and":[2,36,52,73,75,85,100,117,125,179],"forecasting":[3],"of":[4,26,68,94,104,133,139,145,156,184,187],"climate":[5,34,42,69,81,188],"variability":[6,35],"may":[7,20,44],"impact":[8],"global":[9],"agricultural":[10],"markets.":[11],"Wheat":[12],"(Triticum":[13],"aestivum":[14],"L.),":[15],"a":[16,65,182],"major":[17],"food":[18],"grain,":[19],"be":[21],"significantly":[22],"affected.":[23],"The":[24],"objective":[25],"this":[27],"study":[28],"is":[29,171],"to":[30,40,58,91,173],"determine":[31,174],"how":[32],"seasonal":[33,41],"wheat":[37,46,97,107,110,150],"producers'":[38],"responses":[39],"forecasts":[43,105,158],"affect":[45],"supplies":[47],"in":[48,163],"the":[49,102,146,154,157,175,185],"USA,":[50],"Canada,":[51],"Australia.":[53],"Crop":[54],"models":[55],"are":[56,89,113,136],"used":[57,90],"simulate":[59],"yields":[60],"at":[61],"31":[62],"sites":[63],"under":[64],"wide":[66],"range":[67],"conditions,":[70],"management":[71],"strategies,":[72],"with":[74,99],"without":[76,101],"El":[77],"Ni\u00f1o-Southern":[78],"Oscillation":[79],"(ENSO)-based":[80],"forecast":[82],"information.":[83],"Yields":[84],"planted":[86],"hectarage":[87],"estimates":[88,93,132],"obtain":[92],"each":[95],"country's":[96],"supply":[98,111,149,165],"use":[103,155,186],"by":[106],"producers.":[108],"Four":[109],"curves":[112],"developed:":[114],"U.S.":[115],"spring":[116,123,127],"winter":[118],"wheat,":[119,124],"Australia":[120],"Standard":[121],"White":[122],"Canadian":[126],"wheat.":[128],"Results":[129,152],"show":[130,153],"long-run":[131],"average":[134,141],"production":[135,142],"within":[137],"10%":[138],"historical":[140],"for":[143,166],"three":[144],"four":[147],"national":[148],"curves.":[151],"will":[159],"generate":[160],"an":[161],"increase":[162],"expected":[164],"all":[167],"countries.":[168],"Further":[169],"work":[170],"necessary":[172],"impacts":[176],"on":[177],"producers":[178],"consumers":[180],"as":[181],"result":[183],"forecasts.":[189]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
