{"id":"https://openalex.org/W34663286","doi":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","title":"Quantitative demand forecasting adjustment based on qualitative factors: case study at a fast food restaurant","display_name":"Quantitative demand forecasting adjustment based on qualitative factors: case study at a fast food restaurant","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-03-03","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W34663286","doi":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","mag":"34663286"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","doi":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","pdf_url":"http://www.revistasg.uff.br/index.php/sg/article/download/1188/836","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210232574","display_name":"Sistemas & Gest\u00e3o","issn_l":"1980-5160","issn":["1980-5160"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["poland-20","russia-white-list-4"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Sistemas & Gest\u00e3o","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"http://www.revistasg.uff.br/index.php/sg/article/download/1188/836","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083788713","display_name":"Mateus Meneghini","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I130442723","display_name":"Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul","ror":"https://ror.org/041yk2d64","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I130442723"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mateus Meneghini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130442723"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069862796","display_name":"Michel J. Anzanello","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4421-7004","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4421-7004"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I130442723","display_name":"Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul","ror":"https://ror.org/041yk2d64","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I130442723"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michel Anzanello","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130442723"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031789044","display_name":"Alessandro Kahmann","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7556-7904","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7556-7904"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I130442723","display_name":"Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul","ror":"https://ror.org/041yk2d64","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I130442723"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alessandro Kahmann","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130442723"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063853812","display_name":"Guilherme Luz Tortorella","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2396-4665","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2396-4665"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4104125","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina","ror":"https://ror.org/041akq887","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guilherme Tortorella","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.9526,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":18,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.76191701,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"1","first_page":"68","last_page":"80"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"demand forecasting","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantitative-forecasting-models","display_name":"quantitative forecasting models","score":0.7390000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-opinion","display_name":"expert opinion","score":0.9729999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-selection","display_name":"model selection","score":0.8289999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coefficient-of-determination","display_name":"R-squared","score":0.8029999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-percentage-error","display_name":"mean absolute percentage error","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fast-food-restaurants","display_name":"fast food restaurants","score":0.9169999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meat-demand","display_name":"meat demand","score":0.9160000085830688}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.6710162162780762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.3448173999786377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3386301100254059}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","doi":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","pdf_url":"http://www.revistasg.uff.br/index.php/sg/article/download/1188/836","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210232574","display_name":"Sistemas & Gest\u00e3o","issn_l":"1980-5160","issn":["1980-5160"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["poland-20","russia-white-list-4"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Sistemas & Gest\u00e3o","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:ojs.www.revistasg.uff.br:article/1188","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.revistasg.uff.br/sg/article/view/1188","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402641","display_name":"LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Cient\u00edficas)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4383465926","host_organization_name":"LA Referencia","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4383465926"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"instacron:UFF","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","doi":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.20985/1980-5160.2018.v13n1.1188","pdf_url":"http://www.revistasg.uff.br/index.php/sg/article/download/1188/836","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210232574","display_name":"Sistemas & Gest\u00e3o","issn_l":"1980-5160","issn":["1980-5160"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["poland-20","russia-white-list-4"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Sistemas & Gest\u00e3o","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W34663286.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W34663286.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":35,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1564441948","https://openalex.org/W1576061975","https://openalex.org/W1969013719","https://openalex.org/W1971582966","https://openalex.org/W1978247385","https://openalex.org/W1979287280","https://openalex.org/W1988552351","https://openalex.org/W1993653877","https://openalex.org/W1995363948","https://openalex.org/W2003425973","https://openalex.org/W2009973522","https://openalex.org/W2033056308","https://openalex.org/W2038849095","https://openalex.org/W2041431387","https://openalex.org/W2049165732","https://openalex.org/W2052630416","https://openalex.org/W2059838371","https://openalex.org/W2068727222","https://openalex.org/W2079473977","https://openalex.org/W2088470180","https://openalex.org/W2092966136","https://openalex.org/W2094088975","https://openalex.org/W2101654927","https://openalex.org/W2104347936","https://openalex.org/W2106438008","https://openalex.org/W2108931631","https://openalex.org/W2113549897","https://openalex.org/W2123830299","https://openalex.org/W2123895792","https://openalex.org/W2143223095","https://openalex.org/W2155553126","https://openalex.org/W2168868062","https://openalex.org/W2970431554","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4302441299"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7063891371","https://openalex.org/W6944261835","https://openalex.org/W4401217619","https://openalex.org/W7099818270","https://openalex.org/W2890112222","https://openalex.org/W2057641689","https://openalex.org/W7120545784","https://openalex.org/W2340041326","https://openalex.org/W7019948979","https://openalex.org/W2961190964"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"proposes":[2],"a":[3,81],"method":[4,18,77,93],"of":[5,89,98,110,126],"forecasting":[6],"demand":[7,88,109],"that":[8,24],"integrates":[9],"quantitative":[10,115],"models":[11],"with":[12,117],"qualitative":[13],"contextual":[14,58],"factors.":[15],"The":[16,75,91],"proposed":[17,76],"selects":[19],"the":[20,27,32,37,44,48,72,87,101,107,111,114],"mathematical":[21],"(quantitative)":[22],"model":[23,50],"best":[25],"fits":[26],"historical":[28,73],"data,":[29],"based":[30,53],"on":[31,54,57],"determination":[33],"coefficient":[34],"R\u00b2":[35],"and":[36,65],"mean":[38],"absolute":[39],"percentage":[40],"error":[41,97,125],"(MAPE).":[42],"Next,":[43],"forecasts":[45],"generated":[46],"by":[47],"selected":[49],"are":[51],"adjusted":[52,92],"expert":[55],"opinion":[56],"factors":[59],"(judgemental":[60],"adjustment),":[61],"such":[62],"as":[63],"events":[64],"renovations,":[66],"for":[67],"example,":[68],"not":[69],"included":[70],"in":[71,100],"data.":[74],"was":[78],"applied":[79],"at":[80],"fast":[82],"food":[83],"restaurant":[84],"to":[85,106,122],"forecast":[86],"meat.":[90],"yielded":[94],"an":[95,123],"average":[96,124],"10%":[99],"worst":[102],"scenario":[103],"when":[104],"compared":[105],"real":[108],"period,":[112],"whereas":[113],"model,":[116],"no":[118],"judgemental":[119],"adjustment,":[120],"led":[121],"38%.":[127]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}