{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3208555987","doi":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","title":"FAILURE SIMULATION OF ELEMENTS OF THE CITY ELECTRIC NETWORK (10 KV) BY THE EXAMPLE OF THE PRAVOBEREZHNIY DISTRICT OF THE IRKUTSK CITY","display_name":"FAILURE SIMULATION OF ELEMENTS OF THE CITY ELECTRIC NETWORK (10 KV) BY THE EXAMPLE OF THE PRAVOBEREZHNIY DISTRICT OF THE IRKUTSK CITY","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3208555987","doi":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","mag":"3208555987"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","doi":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","pdf_url":"http://vestnik.asau.ru/index.php/vestnik/article/download/24/17","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210193435","display_name":"Vestnik Altajskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta","issn_l":"1996-4277","issn":["1996-4277"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Vestnik Altajskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"http://vestnik.asau.ru/index.php/vestnik/article/download/24/17","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051436105","display_name":"Ya. M. Ivanyo","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210122217","display_name":"Irkutsk National Research Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/01zzkcm34","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210136478","display_name":"Irkutsk State Agrarian University named after A.A. Ezhevsky","ror":"https://ror.org/04c7f6285","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210136478"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ya.M. Ivanyo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Cand. Tech. Sci., As-soc. Prof., Irkutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","Irkutsk National Research Technical University, Irkutsk, Russian Federation,","kutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","\u043a\u0443\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442, \u0433"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Cand. Tech. Sci., As-soc. Prof., Irkutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136478"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Irkutsk National Research Technical University, Irkutsk, Russian Federation,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"kutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136478"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u043a\u0443\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442, \u0433","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042782076","display_name":"Igor V Naumov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4767-0127","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4767-0127"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210122217","display_name":"Irkutsk National Research Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/01zzkcm34","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"I.V. Naumov","raw_affiliation_strings":["Tech. Sci. , Prof. , Irkutsk National Research Technical University , Irkutsk , Russian Federation ,","\u0418\u0440\u043a\u0443\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Tech. Sci. , Prof. , Irkutsk National Research Technical University , Irkutsk , Russian Federation ,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u0418\u0440\u043a\u0443\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035850100","display_name":"\u041f\u043e\u043b\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0441\u043a\u0430\u044f \u041c\u0430\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u041d\u0438\u043a\u043e\u043b\u0430\u0435\u0432\u043d\u0430","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9646-1818","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9646-1818"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210122217","display_name":"Irkutsk National Research Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/01zzkcm34","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210136478","display_name":"Irkutsk State Agrarian University named after A.A. Ezhevsky","ror":"https://ror.org/04c7f6285","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210136478"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M.N. Polkovskaya","raw_affiliation_strings":["Cand. Tech. Sci., As-soc. Prof., Irkutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","Irkutsk National Research Technical University, Irkutsk, Russian Federation,","kutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","\u043a\u0443\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442, \u0433"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Cand. Tech. Sci., As-soc. Prof., Irkutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136478"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Irkutsk National Research Technical University, Irkutsk, Russian Federation,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210122217"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"kutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Yezhevskiy, Irkutsk Region, Russian Federation,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136478"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u043a\u0443\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442, \u0433","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.1776,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.48252962,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":"9","first_page":"87","last_page":"98"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11941","display_name":"Power System Reliability and Maintenance","score":0.9282000064849854,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11941","display_name":"Power System Reliability and Maintenance","score":0.9282000064849854,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10780","display_name":"Reliability and Maintenance Optimization","score":0.065700002014637,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13093","display_name":"Electric Power Systems and Control","score":0.000699999975040555,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/emergency-shutdown","display_name":"emergency shutdown","score":0.6539999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/equipment-failure","display_name":"equipment failure","score":0.7170000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/failure-prediction","display_name":"failure prediction","score":0.9139999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gamma-distribution","display_name":"gamma distribution","score":0.7429999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/polynomial-trend","display_name":"polynomial trend","score":0.7310000061988831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-index","display_name":"seasonal index","score":0.6890000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/correlation-regression-model","display_name":"correlation-regression model","score":0.6549999713897705}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.575425386428833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C125112378","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176640","display_name":"Randomness","level":2,"score":0.5433883666992188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C5297727","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q786970","display_name":"Autocorrelation","level":2,"score":0.5415675044059753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C90119067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43260","display_name":"Polynomial","level":2,"score":0.45012354850769043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.44960880279541016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.4269290566444397},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48921125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10861030","display_name":"Linear regression","level":2,"score":0.4173929989337921},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3788023889064789},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3503469228744507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.08679667115211487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","doi":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","pdf_url":"http://vestnik.asau.ru/index.php/vestnik/article/download/24/17","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210193435","display_name":"Vestnik Altajskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta","issn_l":"1996-4277","issn":["1996-4277"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Vestnik Altajskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","doi":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.53083/1996-4277-2021-203-09-87-98","pdf_url":"http://vestnik.asau.ru/index.php/vestnik/article/download/24/17","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210193435","display_name":"Vestnik Altajskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta","issn_l":"1996-4277","issn":["1996-4277"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Vestnik Altajskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.7207000255584717,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"},{"score":0.5142999887466431,"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3208555987.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3208555987.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W564048488","https://openalex.org/W2031156806","https://openalex.org/W2938854914","https://openalex.org/W2950801707","https://openalex.org/W2993844696","https://openalex.org/W2998856444"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3111895032","https://openalex.org/W3111429957","https://openalex.org/W4389343589","https://openalex.org/W7157355591","https://openalex.org/W3092435401","https://openalex.org/W4288537997","https://openalex.org/W4398214010","https://openalex.org/W4285212145","https://openalex.org/W7133089706","https://openalex.org/W4387779606"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,105],"paper":[1],"presents":[2],"mathematical":[3],"models":[4,150,196,218,308],"for":[5,98,139,209,242,254,309],"probabil-istic":[6],"evaluation":[7,106],"and":[8,54,78,119,143,179,181,186,203,211,216,220,264,292,297,315],"forecasting":[9],"of":[10,19,23,38,60,72,75,81,103,107,110,191,197,199,229,232,238,312,322],"emergency":[11,173,323],"shutdowns":[12,174],"in":[13,172,177,260,275,280,289,298],"electric":[14,129,258],"networks":[15,259],"by":[16,65,271],"the":[17,20,24,32,35,39,50,55,82,100,108,132,146,153,165,169,189,192,204,227,230,233,236,239,247,252,266,310,320],"example":[18],"Pravoberezhniy":[21],"District":[22],"Irkutsk":[25],"City":[26],"from":[27],"2008":[28],"through":[29],"2017.":[30],"At":[31,131,145],"first":[33],"stage,":[34,148],"autocorrelation":[36],"function":[37],"parameter":[40,83],"series":[41],"is":[42,86,96,157,269],"determined":[43],"to":[44,49,89,125,159,164,251],"estimate":[45],"its":[46],"randomness.":[47],"According":[48,163,250],"calculated":[51],"statistical":[52],"parameters":[53],"consent":[56],"criteria,":[57],"a":[58,66,92,182,272,332],"number":[59,102],"equipmentfailures":[61],"may":[62,122,328],"be":[63,123,329],"described":[64],"three-parameter":[67],"gamma":[68],"distribution.":[69],"A":[70],"method":[71,156],"two-level":[73],"identification":[74],"extreme":[76],"(maximum":[77],"minimum)":[79],"values":[80,321],"under":[84],"study":[85],"proposed;":[87],"accord-ing":[88],"this":[90,318],"method,":[91],"significant":[93],"polynomial":[94,118,278],"trend":[95],"ob-tained":[97],"predicting":[99,255],"largest":[101],"failures.":[104],"presence":[109],"trends":[111,121,136,222],"based":[112],"on":[113,128,257,325],"monthly":[114],"data":[115],"showed":[116],"that":[117],"power":[120,301],"used":[124,158],"predict":[126],"failures":[127,198,256],"networks.":[130],"same":[133],"time,":[134,288],"sig-nificant":[135],"were":[137,244],"identifiedonly":[138],"January,":[140,313],"February,":[141,261],"May":[142,276,291],"December.":[144],"next":[147],"trend-seasonal":[149,273],"are":[151,213,223,304],"constructed;":[152],"least":[154],"squares":[155],"calculate":[160],"their":[161],"components.":[162],"obtained":[166,234],"seasonality":[167],"indices,":[168],"greatest":[170],"increase":[171],"takes":[175],"place":[176],"April":[178],"July,":[180],"decrease":[183],"-in":[184],"February":[185],"March.":[187],"On":[188],"basis":[190],"correlation-regression":[193],"model,":[194,274],"factor":[195],"electrical":[200],"network":[201],"elements":[202],"accumulated":[205],"average":[206],"daily":[207],"tem-peratures":[208],"months":[210,311,327],"time":[212],"constructed.":[214],"Linear":[215],"nonlinear":[217,294],"with":[219,246],"without":[221],"obtained.":[224],"To":[225],"evaluate":[226],"accuracy":[228],"forecasts":[231],"models,":[235],"results":[237],"retrospective":[240],"forecast":[241,307],"2017":[243],"compared":[245],"actual":[248],"values.":[249],"resultsobtained":[253],"June,":[262],"July":[263],"September,":[265],"best":[267],"result":[268],"shown":[270],"-a":[277,282,300],"trend,":[279],"November":[281],"factorial":[283],"one":[284],"taking":[285],"into":[286],"account":[287],"March,":[290],"October-a":[293],"regression":[295],"equation,":[296],"December":[299],"trend.":[302],"There":[303],"no":[305],"qualitative":[306],"April,":[314],"August.":[316],"In":[317],"regard,":[319],"shut-downs":[324],"these":[326],"estimated":[330],"using":[331],"proba-bilistic":[333],"model.":[334]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2021-11-08T00:00:00"}
