{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3160613664","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","title":"Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and a Representative Sample","display_name":"Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and a Representative Sample","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3160613664","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","mag":"3160613664"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3467984","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","pdf_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=3467984","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=3467984","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017840568","display_name":"Peter Andre","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8213-527X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8213-527X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I114090438","display_name":"Goethe University Frankfurt","ror":"https://ror.org/04cvxnb49","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114090438"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210163226","display_name":"Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE","ror":"https://ror.org/05wxywg93","country_code":"DE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I315704651","https://openalex.org/I4210163226"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Peter Andre","raw_affiliation_strings":["Goethe University Frankfurt, Gr\u00fcneburgplatz 1, Frankfurt am Main, 60323, Germany","Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, House of Finance, Theodor-W.-Adorno-Platz 3, Frankfurt am Main, 60323, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Goethe University Frankfurt, Gr\u00fcneburgplatz 1, Frankfurt am Main, 60323, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I114090438"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, House of Finance, Theodor-W.-Adorno-Platz 3, Frankfurt am Main, 60323, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210163226"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003951861","display_name":"Carlo Pizzinelli","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1310145890","display_name":"International Monetary Fund","ror":"https://ror.org/05m4rmw09","country_code":"US","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1310145890"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Carlo Pizzinelli","raw_affiliation_strings":["International Monetary Fund (IMF), 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20431, United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"International Monetary Fund (IMF), 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20431, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1310145890"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043293841","display_name":"Christopher Roth","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2806-7402","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2806-7402","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2316-6623"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39555362","display_name":"University of Warwick","ror":"https://ror.org/01a77tt86","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39555362"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Christopher Roth","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Warwick, Faculty of Social Studies, Department of Economics, Students, Coventry, CV4 7AL, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Warwick, Faculty of Social Studies, Department of Economics, Students, Coventry, CV4 7AL, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39555362"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063288880","display_name":"Johannes Wohlfart","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6662-8085","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6662-8085"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I124055696","display_name":"University of Copenhagen","ror":"https://ror.org/035b05819","country_code":"DK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124055696"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Johannes Wohlfart","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Copenhagen, N\u00f8rregade 10, Copenhagen, K\u00f8benhavn DK-1165, Denmark"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Copenhagen, N\u00f8rregade 10, Copenhagen, K\u00f8benhavn DK-1165, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I124055696"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":4,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5017840568"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I114090438","https://openalex.org/I4210163226"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":9,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9009000062942505,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9009000062942505,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.03959999978542328,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12137","display_name":"Economic theories and models","score":0.018699999898672104,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-expectations","display_name":"macroeconomic expectations","score":0.7360000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/belief-disagreement","display_name":"belief disagreement","score":0.46399998664855957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-shocks","display_name":"macroeconomic shocks","score":0.7829999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/propagation-channel","display_name":"propagation channel","score":0.8330000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/selective-attention","display_name":"selective attention","score":0.6029999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/household-expectations","display_name":"household expectations","score":0.4650000035762787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-expectations","display_name":"expert expectations","score":0.8330000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/memory-and-experience","display_name":"memory and experience","score":0.328000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-and-demand-shocks","display_name":"supply and demand shocks","score":0.6520000100135803}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C198531522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q485146","display_name":"Sample (material)","level":2,"score":0.5347643494606018},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.41841307282447815},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4097403585910797},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.365867018699646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.1442752480506897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43617362","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q170050","display_name":"Chromatography","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3467984","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","pdf_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=3467984","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3467984","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3467984","pdf_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=3467984","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[{"display_name":"Observational Study","id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3023023833","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"CRC-TR 224","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320879","funder_display_name":"Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3872646602","display_name":"EXC 2126: ECONtribute: M\u00e4rkte & Public Policy","funder_award_id":"390838866","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320879","funder_display_name":"Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5060839972","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"TR 224","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320879","funder_display_name":"Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6152239096","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"#DNRF134","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320943","funder_display_name":"Danmarks Grundforskningsfond"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320310697","display_name":"Joachim Herz Stiftung","ror":"https://ror.org/01j8qgg43"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320279","display_name":"University of Warwick","ror":"https://ror.org/01a77tt86"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320671","display_name":"National Research Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/05s0g1g46"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320879","display_name":"Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft","ror":"https://ror.org/018mejw64"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320943","display_name":"Danmarks Grundforskningsfond","ror":"https://ror.org/00znyv691"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3160613664.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3160613664.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":133,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W427155280","https://openalex.org/W601318662","https://openalex.org/W1469046834","https://openalex.org/W1481005446","https://openalex.org/W1493376445","https://openalex.org/W1744775027","https://openalex.org/W1862688855","https://openalex.org/W1972190631","https://openalex.org/W2003830355","https://openalex.org/W2005949885","https://openalex.org/W2011224622","https://openalex.org/W2015106170","https://openalex.org/W2017346403","https://openalex.org/W2026917430","https://openalex.org/W2029268082","https://openalex.org/W2043084434","https://openalex.org/W2052647713","https://openalex.org/W2052662085","https://openalex.org/W2059199803","https://openalex.org/W2059215693","https://openalex.org/W2073296555","https://openalex.org/W2092223491","https://openalex.org/W2093418366","https://openalex.org/W2101665611","https://openalex.org/W2104610120","https://openalex.org/W2121849922","https://openalex.org/W2133073622","https://openalex.org/W2134689202","https://openalex.org/W2134689741","https://openalex.org/W2138630966","https://openalex.org/W2139398061","https://openalex.org/W2140286179","https://openalex.org/W2142597169","https://openalex.org/W2156667558","https://openalex.org/W2160064424","https://openalex.org/W2161382598","https://openalex.org/W2163269552","https://openalex.org/W2164777277","https://openalex.org/W2171720247","https://openalex.org/W2239666518","https://openalex.org/W2272326785","https://openalex.org/W2294838456","https://openalex.org/W2301568312","https://openalex.org/W2346258676","https://openalex.org/W2479696163","https://openalex.org/W2544489044","https://openalex.org/W2566240768","https://openalex.org/W2593999556","https://openalex.org/W2613356101","https://openalex.org/W2613648890","https://openalex.org/W2622015926","https://openalex.org/W2689211731","https://openalex.org/W2753024918","https://openalex.org/W2763519491","https://openalex.org/W2770141924","https://openalex.org/W2770524592","https://openalex.org/W2791903849","https://openalex.org/W2804816507","https://openalex.org/W2888912427","https://openalex.org/W2908210126","https://openalex.org/W2910493385","https://openalex.org/W2938726659","https://openalex.org/W2946800845","https://openalex.org/W2966079437","https://openalex.org/W2972959239","https://openalex.org/W2980406162","https://openalex.org/W2995520350","https://openalex.org/W3020881814","https://openalex.org/W3020990796","https://openalex.org/W3022414228","https://openalex.org/W3023537665","https://openalex.org/W3033664871","https://openalex.org/W3049771904","https://openalex.org/W3114817075","https://openalex.org/W3121405795","https://openalex.org/W3121519685","https://openalex.org/W3121786260","https://openalex.org/W3122005913","https://openalex.org/W3122065104","https://openalex.org/W3122194086","https://openalex.org/W3122366391","https://openalex.org/W3122411479","https://openalex.org/W3122604912","https://openalex.org/W3122686194","https://openalex.org/W3122706710","https://openalex.org/W3122727633","https://openalex.org/W3122782810","https://openalex.org/W3122970934","https://openalex.org/W3123284319","https://openalex.org/W3123522440","https://openalex.org/W3123599188","https://openalex.org/W3123830219","https://openalex.org/W3124083532","https://openalex.org/W3124198157","https://openalex.org/W3124405618","https://openalex.org/W3124444187","https://openalex.org/W3124559891","https://openalex.org/W3124997218","https://openalex.org/W3125378055","https://openalex.org/W3125450854","https://openalex.org/W3125455061","https://openalex.org/W3125497144","https://openalex.org/W3125588113","https://openalex.org/W3125983586","https://openalex.org/W3126121421","https://openalex.org/W3139660598","https://openalex.org/W3144900023","https://openalex.org/W3162227507","https://openalex.org/W3196710638","https://openalex.org/W3198339777","https://openalex.org/W4211176770","https://openalex.org/W4229617291","https://openalex.org/W4230661109","https://openalex.org/W4231045681","https://openalex.org/W4234722734","https://openalex.org/W4243928658","https://openalex.org/W4251292562","https://openalex.org/W4285081434","https://openalex.org/W4288890862","https://openalex.org/W4288917016","https://openalex.org/W4296129585","https://openalex.org/W4300127392","https://openalex.org/W4300304757","https://openalex.org/W4300618647","https://openalex.org/W4301356765","https://openalex.org/W4301439294","https://openalex.org/W4323248210","https://openalex.org/W4392190169","https://openalex.org/W6658661748","https://openalex.org/W6665974975","https://openalex.org/W6780039587","https://openalex.org/W6793932410","https://openalex.org/W6825425210"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7160740312","https://openalex.org/W4410884862","https://openalex.org/W7110560328","https://openalex.org/W4390956331","https://openalex.org/W4285149907","https://openalex.org/W4388264464","https://openalex.org/W4293070951","https://openalex.org/W7161624307","https://openalex.org/W7151799545","https://openalex.org/W7214610437"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2021-05-24T00:00:00"}