{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3144437237","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","title":"Ensemble Model of Precipitation Change Over Indonesia Caused by El Nino Modoki","display_name":"Ensemble Model of Precipitation Change Over Indonesia Caused by El Nino Modoki","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-02-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3144437237","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","mag":"3144437237"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","pdf_url":"https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/JMRT/article/download/70062/38735","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210184415","display_name":"Journal of Marine Research and Technology","issn_l":"2621-0088","issn":["2621-0088","2621-0096"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310314998","host_organization_name":"Udayana University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310314998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Udayana University"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Marine Research and Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/JMRT/article/download/70062/38735","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5077772932","display_name":"Ida Bagus Mandhara Brasika","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2804-7700","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2804-7700"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I126826664","display_name":"Udayana University","ror":"https://ror.org/035qsg823","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126826664"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ida Bagus Mandhara Brasika","raw_affiliation_strings":["Program Studi Ilmu Kelautan, Fakultas Kelautan dan Perikanan, Universitas Udayana, Bali, Indonesia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Program Studi Ilmu Kelautan, Fakultas Kelautan dan Perikanan, Universitas Udayana, Bali, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I126826664"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5077772932"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I126826664"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"4","issue":"1","first_page":"72","last_page":"72"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11186","display_name":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/el-nino-modoki","display_name":"El Ni\u00f1o Modoki","score":0.9229999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/precipitation-change","display_name":"precipitation change","score":0.7009999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-learning","display_name":"ensemble learning","score":0.7559999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-skill-assessment","display_name":"model skill assessment","score":0.3370000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/precipitation-composites","display_name":"precipitation composites","score":0.6230000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-variability","display_name":"climate variability","score":0.3959999978542328}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107054158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25257","display_name":"Precipitation","level":2,"score":0.7592790722846985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.5914897918701172},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120961793","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190052","display_name":"Rain gauge","level":3,"score":0.49534597992897034},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779207338","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9240","display_name":"Indonesian","level":2,"score":0.4543610215187073},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4485640525817871},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50335755","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q483247","display_name":"Phenomenon","level":2,"score":0.42714935541152954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.3326791524887085},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.22000333666801453},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.1659763753414154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.15992695093154907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","pdf_url":"https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/JMRT/article/download/70062/38735","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210184415","display_name":"Journal of Marine Research and Technology","issn_l":"2621-0088","issn":["2621-0088","2621-0096"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310314998","host_organization_name":"Udayana University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310314998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Udayana University"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Marine Research and Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24843/jmrt.2021.v04.i01.p10","pdf_url":"https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/JMRT/article/download/70062/38735","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210184415","display_name":"Journal of Marine Research and Technology","issn_l":"2621-0088","issn":["2621-0088","2621-0096"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310314998","host_organization_name":"Udayana University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310314998"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Udayana University"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Marine Research and Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.821399986743927,"display_name":"Climate action"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3144437237.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3144437237.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":18,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W75536271","https://openalex.org/W1534975058","https://openalex.org/W1665721417","https://openalex.org/W1756763873","https://openalex.org/W2000021905","https://openalex.org/W2001733155","https://openalex.org/W2022383664","https://openalex.org/W2035664679","https://openalex.org/W2044543651","https://openalex.org/W2051241410","https://openalex.org/W2066506144","https://openalex.org/W2090029279","https://openalex.org/W2107489669","https://openalex.org/W2159447010","https://openalex.org/W2174367230","https://openalex.org/W2198126477","https://openalex.org/W2404952031","https://openalex.org/W3010932768"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2772555573","https://openalex.org/W2977354589","https://openalex.org/W6886138904","https://openalex.org/W2604914918","https://openalex.org/W7100889639","https://openalex.org/W2997897868","https://openalex.org/W1982753436","https://openalex.org/W1977228124","https://openalex.org/W1971665389","https://openalex.org/W4408433228"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,183],"aim":[1],"of":[2,10,37,41,63,72,122,150,162,180],"this":[3,23,123],"research":[4],"is":[5,76,111,129,157],"to":[6,33,93,99,131,190],"understand":[7],"the":[8,35,61,67,70,86,101,105,145,148,160],"impact":[9],"El":[11,108,135,153,173],"Nino":[12,109,136,154,174],"Modoki":[13,110,137,155,175],"into":[14],"Indonesian":[15,181],"precipitation":[16,140,151,171,177,192],"and":[17,53,98],"how":[18,134],"ensemble":[19,102,167],"models":[20,73],"can":[21],"simulate":[22,191],"changing.":[24],"Ensemble":[25,58],"model":[26,38,45,96,103,168],"has":[27,46,138,188],"been":[28],"recognized":[29],"as":[30],"a":[31,112],"method":[32,92],"improve":[34,60],"quality":[36,62,97],"and/or":[39,81],"prediction":[40],"climate":[42],"phenomenon.":[43,114],"Every":[44],"their":[47],"own":[48],"algorithm":[49],"which":[50],"causes":[51],"strength":[52],"weakness":[54],"in":[55,178,193],"many":[56,120],"aspects.":[57],"will":[59],"simulation":[64],"while":[65,185],"reducing":[66],"weakness.":[68],"However,":[69],"combination":[71],"for":[74,78],"ensembles":[75],"differ":[77],"each":[79,95],"event":[80],"location.":[82],"Here":[83],"we":[84],"utilize":[85],"Squared":[87],"Error":[88],"Skill":[89],"Score":[90],"(SESS)":[91],"examine":[94],"compare":[100],"with":[104,159,169],"single":[106],"model.":[107],"unique":[113],"It":[115],"remains":[116],"debatable":[117],"amongst":[118],"scientists,":[119],"features":[121],"phenomenon":[124],"are":[125],"unfold.":[126],"So,":[127],"it":[128],"important":[130],"find":[132],"out":[133],"changed":[139],"over":[141],"Indonesia.":[142],"To":[143],"verify":[144],"changing":[146],"precipitation,":[147],"composite":[149,161],"on":[152],"Year":[156],"divided":[158],"all":[163],"years.":[164],"Last,":[165],"validating":[166],"Satellite-gauge":[170],"dataset.":[172],"decreases":[176],"most":[179],"regions.":[182],"ensemble,":[184],"statistically":[186],"promising,":[187],"failed":[189],"some":[194],"region.":[195]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2021-04-13T00:00:00"}
