{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3135628847","doi":null,"title":"Three Essays in Decision Theory","display_name":"Three Essays in Decision Theory","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3135628847","mag":"3135628847"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:deepblue.lib.umich.edu:2027.42/151594","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/151594/1/elchin_1.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400393","display_name":"Deep Blue (University of Michigan)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","host_organization_name":"University of Michigan","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Thesis"},"volume":null,"type":"dissertation","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102960258","display_name":"Elchin Suleymanov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4816-5886","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4816-5886"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Elchin Suleymanov","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4816-5886","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5102960258"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11031","display_name":"Game Theory and Applications","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/confirmation-bias","display_name":"confirmation bias","score":0.9610000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/base-rate-neglect","display_name":"base rate neglect","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conservatism-bias","display_name":"conservatism bias","score":0.9869999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/overconfidence","display_name":"overconfidence","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/revealed-preference","display_name":"revealed preference","score":0.7540000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/limited-attention","display_name":"limited attention","score":0.3799999952316284}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C28901747","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q177571","display_name":"Decision theory","level":2,"score":0.4449097812175751},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.37178146839141846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2757694125175476},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.10431396961212158}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:deepblue.lib.umich.edu:2027.42/151594","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/151594/1/elchin_1.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400393","display_name":"Deep Blue (University of Michigan)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","host_organization_name":"University of Michigan","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Thesis"},{"id":"mag:3135628847","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/handle/2027.42/151594","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":85,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W6640012","https://openalex.org/W109036567","https://openalex.org/W1125407600","https://openalex.org/W1498215995","https://openalex.org/W1552582326","https://openalex.org/W1588177898","https://openalex.org/W1594128377","https://openalex.org/W1765166360","https://openalex.org/W1883896725","https://openalex.org/W1965532028","https://openalex.org/W1968409854","https://openalex.org/W1970542860","https://openalex.org/W1973255059","https://openalex.org/W1979103550","https://openalex.org/W1980054641","https://openalex.org/W1987321043","https://openalex.org/W1987714874","https://openalex.org/W1990969594","https://openalex.org/W1992743855","https://openalex.org/W1994099982","https://openalex.org/W1995223865","https://openalex.org/W1997205548","https://openalex.org/W1997453856","https://openalex.org/W2004220372","https://openalex.org/W2005472104","https://openalex.org/W2008385173","https://openalex.org/W2014089538","https://openalex.org/W2016377072","https://openalex.org/W2027047704","https://openalex.org/W2028211630","https://openalex.org/W2030874315","https://openalex.org/W2034637506","https://openalex.org/W2035574843","https://openalex.org/W2057609912","https://openalex.org/W2057749630","https://openalex.org/W2059764265","https://openalex.org/W2066994881","https://openalex.org/W2067477904","https://openalex.org/W2073697120","https://openalex.org/W2082557450","https://openalex.org/W2088986273","https://openalex.org/W2093507294","https://openalex.org/W2093869872","https://openalex.org/W2098665098","https://openalex.org/W2099734055","https://openalex.org/W2100166765","https://openalex.org/W2105806371","https://openalex.org/W2106716471","https://openalex.org/W2107208425","https://openalex.org/W2110638361","https://openalex.org/W2112497421","https://openalex.org/W2128857864","https://openalex.org/W2133205540","https://openalex.org/W2133469585","https://openalex.org/W2135255848","https://openalex.org/W2136796187","https://openalex.org/W2141947041","https://openalex.org/W2147707995","https://openalex.org/W2154583762","https://openalex.org/W2165256733","https://openalex.org/W2172243302","https://openalex.org/W2226742356","https://openalex.org/W2239666518","https://openalex.org/W2300445611","https://openalex.org/W2341359542","https://openalex.org/W2356346312","https://openalex.org/W2413749920","https://openalex.org/W2517364861","https://openalex.org/W2609465505","https://openalex.org/W2766220509","https://openalex.org/W2797148637","https://openalex.org/W2899408519","https://openalex.org/W2912944677","https://openalex.org/W3021663471","https://openalex.org/W3121590070","https://openalex.org/W3121679445","https://openalex.org/W3122578644","https://openalex.org/W3123566570","https://openalex.org/W3123696707","https://openalex.org/W3124172857","https://openalex.org/W3124906040","https://openalex.org/W3125117051","https://openalex.org/W3125785758","https://openalex.org/W3125898803","https://openalex.org/W3126076506"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7034544394","https://openalex.org/W7110593056","https://openalex.org/W1992743855","https://openalex.org/W20838450","https://openalex.org/W3125876081","https://openalex.org/W7130433507","https://openalex.org/W4310906782","https://openalex.org/W3130523333","https://openalex.org/W7133229723","https://openalex.org/W1547668461"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"dissertation":[1],"contributes":[2],"to":[3,118,147,162,175,264,431,458,463],"a":[4,28,58,71,137,265,410,415,423],"few":[5],"topics":[6],"in":[7,45,108,246,303,394,438],"decision":[8,53,66,78,113,134,159,185,251,260,436,451,478,494,514],"theory":[9],"including":[10],"non-Bayesian":[11],"updating,":[12,37],"reference":[13,255],"dependent":[14],"choice,":[15],"and":[16,25,70,89,168,193,205,228,257,342,370,471,497],"limited":[17],"attention.":[18],"In":[19,48,230,270,398,447],"the":[20,52,65,77,96,103,112,119,126,129,133,148,158,165,169,184,195,201,216,231,241,250,259,304,306,326,355,363,366,399,450,455,464,468,472,477,493,510,513,517,522],"first":[21,84,155],"chapter,":[22,233],"I":[23,182,213,234,273,323,349,381],"propose":[24,206],"axiomatically":[26],"characterize":[27,209],"novel":[29,275],"belief":[30],"updating":[31,50,93,211],"rule,":[32,51],"called":[33],"robust":[34],"maximum":[35],"likelihood":[36,127],"which":[38,61,124,208,402,428],"can":[39,331,386,490],"accommodate":[40],"most":[41],"commonly":[42,280],"observed":[43,130,391,502],"biases":[44],"probabilistic":[46],"reasoning.":[47],"this":[49,141,210,271,319,439],"maker":[54,79,114,135,261,452,479,515],"is":[55,62,106,144,375,403],"endowed":[56],"with":[57,405],"benchmark":[59,87,98,104,150],"prior,":[60],"interpreted":[63],"as":[64,145,152,177,180,200],"maker's":[67,160,186,252,495],"\"best":[68],"guess,\"":[69],"set":[72,142],"of":[73,102,121,128,197,203,267,278,339,345,368,412,422,426,475,509],"plausible":[74,122],"priors.":[75],"When":[76],"receives":[80],"new":[81,97,138,166,198,440],"information,":[82,167],"she":[83],"revises":[85],"her":[86,116,173,498],"prior":[88,105,139,151],"then":[90],"performs":[91],"Bayesian":[92],"based":[94],"on":[95],"prior.":[99],"The":[100,154],"revision":[101],"done":[107],"two":[109,247,335],"stages.":[110],"First,":[111,322],"restricts":[115],"attention":[117,263,283,384],"subset":[120,266],"priors":[123],"maximize":[125],"information.":[131],"Next,":[132,348],"chooses":[136],"within":[140,414,454],"that":[143,215,238,325,351],"\"close\"":[146],"original":[149],"possible.":[153,181],"stage":[156,171],"reflects":[157,172],"willingness":[161,174],"learn":[163],"from":[164,240,390,501],"second":[170,232],"be":[176,332,387],"dynamically":[178],"consistent":[179],"take":[183],"preferences":[187],"over":[188],"acts":[189],"(e.g.,":[190],"bets)":[191],"before":[192,519],"after":[194],"arrival":[196],"information":[199],"primitive":[202],"analysis":[204],"axioms":[207],"rule.":[212],"show":[214,324,350],"model":[217,245,330,411,511],"provides":[218],"explanations":[219],"for":[220],"confirmation":[221],"bias,":[222],"base":[223],"rate":[224],"neglect,":[225],"conservatism":[226],"bias":[227],"overconfidence.":[229],"investigate":[235,435],"choice":[236,244,392],"behavior":[237,393],"differs":[239],"standard":[242],"rational":[243],"ways:":[248],"(i)":[249],"choices":[253],"are":[254,429],"dependent,":[256],"(ii)":[258],"pays":[262],"available":[268,460,484],"alternatives.":[269,347],"framework,":[272],"provide":[274],"axiomatic":[276,316],"characterizations":[277],"three":[279],"used":[281],"random":[282],"models:":[284],"fixed":[285,290,327,359,371,377],"independent":[286,328,378],"consideration,":[287,289],"logit":[288,352,369],"correlated":[291,360,372],"consideration.":[292,379],"While":[293],"these":[294,309,396],"models,":[295],"or":[296],"their":[297],"variations,":[298],"have":[299],"been":[300],"previously":[301],"examined":[302],"literature,":[305],"relationship":[307,320],"between":[308],"models":[310,374],"was":[311],"not":[312,481],"precisely":[313],"known.":[314],"My":[315],"characterization":[317],"makes":[318],"clear.":[321],"consideration":[329,353,361,373],"characterized":[333],"by":[334,442,467],"key":[336],"properties:":[337],"irrelevance":[338],"dominated":[340],"alternatives":[341],"ratio":[343],"independence":[344],"dominant":[346],"relaxes":[354,362],"former":[356],"property":[357],"while":[358],"latter.":[364],"Hence,":[365],"intersection":[367],"exactly":[376],"Finally,":[380],"illustrate":[382,487],"how":[383,488],"parameters":[385],"(partially)":[388],"recovered":[389],"all":[395,483,521],"models.":[397],"third":[400],"chapter":[401],"coauthored":[404],"Yusufcan":[406],"Masatlioglu,":[407],"we":[408],"study":[409],"search":[413,518],"product":[416,419,456,499],"network.":[417],"A":[418],"network":[420,457,469,500],"consists":[421],"vast":[424],"number":[425],"goods":[427],"linked":[430],"one":[432,489],"another.":[433],"We":[434,486,504],"making":[437],"environment":[441],"using":[443],"revealed":[444],"preference":[445,496],"techniques.":[446],"our":[448],"model,":[449],"searches":[453],"uncover":[459],"goods.":[461,485],"Due":[462],"constraint":[465],"imposed":[466],"structure":[470],"starting":[473],"point":[474],"search,":[476],"might":[480],"discover":[482],"deduce":[491],"both":[492],"behavior.":[503],"also":[505],"consider":[506],"an":[507],"extension":[508],"where":[512],"terminates":[516],"exhausting":[520],"options":[523],"(limited":[524],"search).":[525]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-09-26T08:19:03.415552","created_date":"2021-03-15T00:00:00"}