{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3125827728","doi":null,"title":"Model uncertainty and the deterrent effect of capital punishment","display_name":"Model uncertainty and the deterrent effect of capital punishment","publication_year":2007,"publication_date":"2007-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3125827728","mag":"3125827728"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarship.law.columbia.edu:faculty_scholarship-2468","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","pdf_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401049","display_name":"eYLS (Yale Law School)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I32971472","host_organization_name":"Yale University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I32971472"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Faculty Scholarship","raw_type":"text"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025536947","display_name":"Ethan Cohen\u2010Cole","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I46510805","display_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of Boston","ror":"https://ror.org/01djrhs97","country_code":"US","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1317239608","https://openalex.org/I46510805"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ethan Cohen\u2010Cole","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Reserve Bank of Boston"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Boston","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I46510805"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057886841","display_name":"Steven N. Durlauf","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8699-7056","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8699-7056"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1304256225","display_name":"University of Wisconsin System","ror":"https://ror.org/03ydkyb10","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1304256225"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Steven N. Durlauf","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Wisconsin"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8699-7056","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Wisconsin","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1304256225"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5091780644","display_name":"Jeffrey A. Fagan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1483-5554","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1483-5554"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jeffrey Fagan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Columbia University School Of Law"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1483-5554","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Columbia University School Of Law","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090183461","display_name":"Daniel S. Nagin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0075-1851","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0075-1851"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Daniel S. Nagin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Carnegie Mellon University"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0075-1851","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Carnegie Mellon University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.0831,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93095443,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11762","display_name":"Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems","score":0.8345000147819519,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11762","display_name":"Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems","score":0.8345000147819519,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13076","display_name":"Torture, Ethics, and Law","score":0.03750000149011612,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10318","display_name":"Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis","score":0.031099999323487282,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/death-penalty","display_name":"death penalty","score":0.9789999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/deterrent-effect","display_name":"deterrent effect","score":0.8370000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-uncertainty","display_name":"model uncertainty","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/state-level-heterogeneity","display_name":"state-level heterogeneity","score":0.5389999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistical-inference","display_name":"statistical inference","score":0.4309999942779541}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780982575","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q332142","display_name":"Deterrence (psychology)","level":2,"score":0.8703529834747314},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779295839","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3544090","display_name":"Punishment (psychology)","level":2,"score":0.7442445158958435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2994226254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8454","display_name":"Capital punishment","level":2,"score":0.6745966672897339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6279672384262085},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118084267","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26110","display_name":"Positive economics","level":1,"score":0.5494170188903809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778272461","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190752","display_name":"Supreme court","level":2,"score":0.4980897903442383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83646750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193893","display_name":"Capital (architecture)","level":2,"score":0.449179083108902},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.41667959094047546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C190253527","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q295354","display_name":"Law and economics","level":1,"score":0.3559771180152893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73484699","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161733","display_name":"Criminology","level":1,"score":0.3263062536716461},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.22065472602844238},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.19402456283569336},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.15475332736968994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.15086668729782104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95457728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q309","display_name":"History","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarship.law.columbia.edu:faculty_scholarship-2468","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","pdf_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401049","display_name":"eYLS (Yale Law School)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I32971472","host_organization_name":"Yale University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I32971472"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Faculty Scholarship","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:fip:fedbqu:qau07-3","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.bostonfed.org/bankinfo/qau/wp/2007/qau0703.htm","pdf_url":"http://www.bostonfed.org/bankinfo/qau/wp/2007/qau0703.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.131.8960","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.131.8960","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.stat.wisc.edu/~burgette/durlauf.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.369.458","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.369.458","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.bos.frb.org/bankinfo/qau/wp/2007/qau0703.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"mag:3125827728","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/fipfedbqu/qau07-3.htm","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarship.law.columbia.edu:faculty_scholarship-2468","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","pdf_url":"https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/1467","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401049","display_name":"eYLS (Yale Law School)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I32971472","host_organization_name":"Yale University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I32971472"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Faculty Scholarship","raw_type":"text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8999999761581421,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306098","display_name":"U.S. Department of Justice","ror":"https://ror.org/02916qm60"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3125827728.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3125827728.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2042933235","https://openalex.org/W2051744852","https://openalex.org/W7095416566","https://openalex.org/W1999094790","https://openalex.org/W2167488128","https://openalex.org/W2469425126","https://openalex.org/W1995780356","https://openalex.org/W194586603","https://openalex.org/W2317597000","https://openalex.org/W2061709251"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"reintroduction":[1],"of":[2,37,63,71,98,106,138],"capital":[3,38],"punishment":[4,39],"in":[5,20,22,34,109,131],"1976":[6],"that":[7,60,95,136],"ended":[8],"the":[9,17,35,61,72,85,96,104,124,132],"four":[10],"year":[11],"moratorium":[12],"on":[13],"executions":[14],"created":[15],"by":[16,83,90],"Supreme":[18],"Court":[19],"1972":[21],"Furman":[23],"v.":[24],"Georgia":[25],"has":[26,57],"permitted":[27],"researchers":[28],"to":[29,40,50,122],"employ":[30],"state":[31],"level":[32],"heterogeneity":[33],"use":[36,62],"study":[41],"deterrent":[42,73,99,139],"effects.":[43],"However,":[44],"no":[45],"scholarly":[46],"consensus":[47],"exists":[48],"as":[49],"their":[51],"magnitude.":[52],"A":[53],"key":[54],"reason":[55],"this":[56],"occurred":[58],"is":[59,88],"alternative":[64],"models":[65,78],"across":[66,77],"studies":[67,130],"produces":[68],"differing":[69],"estimates":[70],"effect.":[74],"Because":[75],"differences":[76],"are":[79],"not":[80,143],"well":[81],"motivated":[82],"theory,":[84],"deterrence":[86,133],"literature":[87],"plagued":[89],"model":[91,107,117],"uncertainty.":[92],"We":[93,112],"argue":[94],"analysis":[97],"effects":[100,140],"should":[101],"explicitly":[102],"recognize":[103],"presence":[105],"uncertainty":[108,118],"drawing":[110],"inferences.":[111],"describe":[113],"methods":[114],"for":[115],"addressing":[116],"and":[119],"apply":[120],"them":[121],"understand":[123],"disparate":[125],"findings":[126],"between":[127],"two":[128],"major":[129],"literature,":[134],"finding":[135],"evidence":[137],"appears,":[141],"while":[142],"nonexistent,":[144],"weak.":[145]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-09-22T06:50:58.402377","created_date":"2021-02-01T00:00:00"}