{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3095628657","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","title":"Meteorological droughts are projected to worsen in Central America\u2019s dry corridor throughout the 21st century","display_name":"Meteorological droughts are projected to worsen in Central America\u2019s dry corridor throughout the 21st century","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-10-29","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3095628657","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","mag":"3095628657"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S139338987","display_name":"Environmental Research Letters","issn_l":"1748-9326","issn":["1748-9326"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-3","ki-jl-1","norway-2","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research Letters","raw_type":"journal-article"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W3095628657"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064850813","display_name":"Nicholas J. Depsky","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9441-9042","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9441-9042"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Nicholas Depsky","raw_affiliation_strings":["Energy & Resources Group, University of California, Berkeley, 310 Barrows Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720-3050, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9441-9042","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Energy & Resources Group, University of California, Berkeley, 310 Barrows Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720-3050, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076881313","display_name":"Diego Pons","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8615-7951","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8615-7951"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I152304114","display_name":"Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory","ror":"https://ror.org/02e2tgs60","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I152304114","https://openalex.org/I78577930"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Diego Pons","raw_affiliation_strings":["International Research Institute for Climate and Society, The Earth Institute \u2013 Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, 61 Route 9W, Monell Building. Office 202., Palisades, NY 10964-1000, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"International Research Institute for Climate and Society, The Earth Institute \u2013 Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, 61 Route 9W, Monell Building. Office 202., Palisades, NY 10964-1000, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I152304114","https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5064850813"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"],"apc_list":{"value":3045,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3045},"apc_paid":{"value":3045,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3045},"fwci":1.4619,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":43,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82106697,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"1","first_page":"014001","last_page":"014001"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11186","display_name":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11186","display_name":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorological-drought","display_name":"meteorological drought","score":0.9890000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/drought-projections","display_name":"drought projections","score":0.7590000033378601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rainfall-decline","display_name":"rainfall decline","score":0.5690000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/drought-frequency","display_name":"drought frequency","score":0.6079999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/drought-duration","display_name":"drought duration","score":0.8460000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/drought-severity","display_name":"drought severity","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/standardized-precipitation-index","display_name":"Standardized Precipitation Index","score":0.8180000185966492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cmip5-models","display_name":"CMIP5 climate models","score":0.6549999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change-adaptation","display_name":"climate change adaptation","score":0.7300000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/smallholder-farming","display_name":"smallholder farming","score":0.7059999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-rainfall-variability","display_name":"seasonal rainfall variability","score":0.46700000762939453}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.7094749808311462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107054158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25257","display_name":"Precipitation","level":2,"score":0.6738895177841187},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.6224839687347412},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.5526481866836548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13558536","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q785116","display_name":"Cropping","level":3,"score":0.4969959557056427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778760939","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7314241","display_name":"Representative Concentration Pathways","level":4,"score":0.4911174476146698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.4593522846698761},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.42750853300094604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168754636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620920","display_name":"Climate model","level":3,"score":0.40394270420074463},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100970517","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52107","display_name":"Physical geography","level":1,"score":0.3750211298465729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3574290871620178},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.21119016408920288},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.148470938205719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S139338987","display_name":"Environmental Research Letters","issn_l":"1748-9326","issn":["1748-9326"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-3","ki-jl-1","norway-2","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research Letters","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:45d893c05bcf40c295ca6f85fbf965b7","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/45d893c05bcf40c295ca6f85fbf965b7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research Letters, Vol 16, Iss 1, p 014001 (2020)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abc5e2/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S139338987","display_name":"Environmental Research Letters","issn_l":"1748-9326","issn":["1748-9326"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-3","ki-jl-1","norway-2","oarl","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Environmental Research Letters","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":1.0}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324328","display_name":"Universidad del Valle","ror":"https://ror.org/00jb9vg53"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338292","display_name":"Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/02jbv0t02"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3095628657.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3095628657.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":55,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W46954000","https://openalex.org/W1964511729","https://openalex.org/W1969909220","https://openalex.org/W1977699466","https://openalex.org/W1980846233","https://openalex.org/W1982473981","https://openalex.org/W1986618331","https://openalex.org/W1993100009","https://openalex.org/W1993276711","https://openalex.org/W1996155356","https://openalex.org/W2001660782","https://openalex.org/W2005738319","https://openalex.org/W2014990487","https://openalex.org/W2021745814","https://openalex.org/W2024966118","https://openalex.org/W2044987862","https://openalex.org/W2047474193","https://openalex.org/W2054653365","https://openalex.org/W2055695879","https://openalex.org/W2066122301","https://openalex.org/W2066849867","https://openalex.org/W2070620956","https://openalex.org/W2075685626","https://openalex.org/W2077968790","https://openalex.org/W2082735581","https://openalex.org/W2104157175","https://openalex.org/W2108564811","https://openalex.org/W2119358950","https://openalex.org/W2120496201","https://openalex.org/W2131052750","https://openalex.org/W2131086800","https://openalex.org/W2143082107","https://openalex.org/W2153179024","https://openalex.org/W2157203064","https://openalex.org/W2163145639","https://openalex.org/W2171984413","https://openalex.org/W2176946569","https://openalex.org/W2288146475","https://openalex.org/W2318680928","https://openalex.org/W2323834113","https://openalex.org/W2556713226","https://openalex.org/W2565043832","https://openalex.org/W2620638836","https://openalex.org/W2766101456","https://openalex.org/W2766279969","https://openalex.org/W2800886004","https://openalex.org/W2801383014","https://openalex.org/W2912604275","https://openalex.org/W2981373504","https://openalex.org/W2989683659","https://openalex.org/W3016397873","https://openalex.org/W3070087388","https://openalex.org/W4236805004","https://openalex.org/W4311548699","https://openalex.org/W6601940374"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2912604275","https://openalex.org/W2620638836","https://openalex.org/W2981373504","https://openalex.org/W3008195767","https://openalex.org/W2901592411","https://openalex.org/W1993100009","https://openalex.org/W2583165007","https://openalex.org/W2650106362","https://openalex.org/W3212043254"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Understanding":[1],"past":[2],"and":[3,18,29,50,64,140,167,196,212],"projected":[4,118,132,152],"drought":[5,31,71,121,182,197],"patterns":[6,32],"across":[7],"Central":[8],"America\u2019s":[9],"\u2018Dry":[10],"Corridor\u2019":[11],"(CADC)":[12],"is":[13],"crucial":[14],"for":[15,77,180],"adaptation":[16,217],"planning":[17],"impact":[19,204],"mitigation,":[20],"especially":[21],"in":[22,33,70,92,98,142,162,209,216],"small-scale":[23],"agricultural":[24],"communities.":[25],"We":[26],"analyzed":[27],"historical":[28,85,114],"predicted":[30],"the":[34,99,210],"CADC":[35,100,211],"by":[36,108,135,138,144,146,155,170],"calculating":[37],"Standardized":[38],"Precipitation":[39],"Index":[40],"(SPI)":[41],"values":[42],"from":[43],"local":[44],"rain":[45],"gauge":[46],"records,":[47],"reanalysis":[48],"data":[49],"a":[51,90,113],"20-member":[52],"ensemble":[53],"of":[54,96,206],"bias-corrected,":[55],"downscaled":[56],"CMIP-5":[57],"GCMs":[58],"at":[59],"both":[60],"seasonal":[61],"(3":[62],"month)":[63,67],"annual":[65,94],"(12":[66],"scales.":[68],"Trends":[69],"frequency,":[72],"duration,":[73],"intensity":[74],"were":[75,174],"assessed":[76],"three,":[78],"30":[79],"year":[80],"future":[81],"periods":[82],"compared":[83],"to":[84,103,112,120,133,153,168,193],"values.":[86],"Our":[87],"results":[88,173],"suggest":[89],"decrease":[91],"mean":[93],"rainfall":[95,194],"8%\u201314%":[97],"under":[101,123,157,164],"moderate":[102,158],"high":[104,165],"emissions":[105,166],"scenarios,":[106],"respectively,":[107],"end-of-century":[109],"(2071\u20132100)":[110],"relative":[111],"baseline":[115],"(1950\u20132005).":[116],"However,":[117],"changes":[119,192],"characteristics":[122],"these":[124,201],"scenarios":[125],"are":[126,151],"more":[127,178],"pronounced,":[128],"with":[129],"seasonal-scale":[130],"droughts":[131,150],"lengthen":[134,154],"12%\u201330%,":[136],"intensify":[137,169],"17%\u201342%":[139],"increase":[141],"frequency":[143],"21%\u201324%":[145],"end-of-century.":[147],"Annual-scale,":[148],"longer-term":[149],"68%":[156],"emissions,":[159],"potentially":[160],"triple":[161],"length":[163],"27%\u201374%.":[171],"These":[172],"similar":[175],"yet":[176],"slightly":[177],"pronounced":[179],"some":[181],"metrics":[183],"when":[184],"just":[185],"considering":[186],"rainy/cropping":[187],"season":[188],"months":[189],"(May\u2013Oct).":[190],"End-of-century":[191],"reliability":[195],"occurrence":[198],"such":[199],"as":[200],"would":[202],"severely":[203],"millions":[205],"vulnerable":[207],"inhabitants":[208],"should":[213],"be":[214],"considered":[215],"policymaking":[218],"efforts.":[219]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-14T11:04:58.165337","created_date":"2020-11-09T00:00:00"}
