{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3094533642","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","title":"Comparative Study on Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Approaches for the Self-Starting Forecasting","display_name":"Comparative Study on Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Approaches for the Self-Starting Forecasting","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-10-20","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3094533642","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","mag":"3094533642"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/app10207351","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/20/7351/pdf?version=1603502962","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210205812","display_name":"Applied Sciences","issn_l":"2076-3417","issn":["2076-3417"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/20/7351/pdf?version=1603502962","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003836402","display_name":"Jaehong Yu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2921-7233","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2921-7233","https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1323-508X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I146429904","display_name":"Incheon National University","ror":"https://ror.org/02xf7p935","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I146429904"]}],"countries":["KR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jaehong Yu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Incheon National University, Incheon 22012, Korea"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Incheon National University, Incheon 22012, Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146429904"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058258354","display_name":"Seoung Bum Kim","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2205-8516","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2205-8516"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197347611","display_name":"Korea University","ror":"https://ror.org/047dqcg40","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"]}],"countries":["KR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Seoung Bum Kim","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 04620, Korea"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2205-8516","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 04620, Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Jinli Bai","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197347611","display_name":"Korea University","ror":"https://ror.org/047dqcg40","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"]}],"countries":["KR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jinli Bai","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 04620, Korea"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 04620, Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5024995454","display_name":"Sung Won Han","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0040-3542","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0040-3542"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197347611","display_name":"Korea University","ror":"https://ror.org/047dqcg40","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"]}],"countries":["KR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Sung Won Han","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 04620, Korea"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 04620, Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5024995454"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197347611"],"apc_list":{"value":1800,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1901},"apc_paid":{"value":1800,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1901},"fwci":2.2263,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":36,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.88757161,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"10","issue":"20","first_page":"7351","last_page":"7351"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12205","display_name":"Time Series Analysis and Forecasting","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exponentially-weighted-moving-average","display_name":"exponential moving average","score":0.9929999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/base-model","display_name":"base model","score":0.6579999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/small-sample-forecasting","display_name":"small sample prediction","score":0.5339999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-updating","display_name":"model updating","score":0.5609999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecasting-method-comparison","display_name":"forecasting method comparison","score":0.5630000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.6819999814033508}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75235859","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q582659","display_name":"Exponential growth","level":2,"score":0.5959246158599854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175706884","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130194","display_name":"Moving average","level":2,"score":0.5797842741012573},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5526430010795593},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.5265070796012878},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42058472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810214","display_name":"Base (topology)","level":2,"score":0.5101390480995178},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.39606112241744995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3162861466407776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3077239990234375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/app10207351","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/20/7351/pdf?version=1603502962","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210205812","display_name":"Applied Sciences","issn_l":"2076-3417","issn":["2076-3417"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:6d02994c1084468a8c5a279e5dfb65e4","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/6d02994c1084468a8c5a279e5dfb65e4","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Applied Sciences, Vol 10, Iss 20, p 7351 (2020)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/app10207351","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/app10207351","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/20/7351/pdf?version=1603502962","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210205812","display_name":"Applied Sciences","issn_l":"2076-3417","issn":["2076-3417"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1879426595","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"P0008691","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322064","funder_display_name":"Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322064","display_name":"Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/015w1qa96"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3094533642.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3094533642.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":31,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W55320940","https://openalex.org/W1540369740","https://openalex.org/W1603549427","https://openalex.org/W1970663230","https://openalex.org/W1974347568","https://openalex.org/W1988300964","https://openalex.org/W1991600429","https://openalex.org/W1994428102","https://openalex.org/W2003626215","https://openalex.org/W2019459021","https://openalex.org/W2026478788","https://openalex.org/W2036183396","https://openalex.org/W2047459549","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2085866051","https://openalex.org/W2092514861","https://openalex.org/W2101420345","https://openalex.org/W2141589598","https://openalex.org/W2156636680","https://openalex.org/W2158226667","https://openalex.org/W2167036165","https://openalex.org/W2169384417","https://openalex.org/W2181548309","https://openalex.org/W2554979051","https://openalex.org/W2774334526","https://openalex.org/W2919115771","https://openalex.org/W2980812848","https://openalex.org/W2994949492","https://openalex.org/W3033899148","https://openalex.org/W3048910487","https://openalex.org/W3062027613"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1966596615","https://openalex.org/W2332166217","https://openalex.org/W2076431569","https://openalex.org/W2523403277","https://openalex.org/W2034017506","https://openalex.org/W1574117681","https://openalex.org/W7019697055","https://openalex.org/W2029636274","https://openalex.org/W7132866523","https://openalex.org/W2077506162"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Recently,":[0],"a":[1,111],"number":[2],"of":[3,11,22,58,66,94,110],"data":[4],"analysists":[5],"have":[6],"suffered":[7],"from":[8],"an":[9],"insufficiency":[10,21,57],"historical":[12,23,59],"observations":[13,42],"in":[14],"many":[15],"real":[16,128],"situations.":[17],"To":[18],"address":[19],"the":[20,37,56,64,77,87,108,137,150],"observations,":[24],"self-starting":[25,32,78,112,151],"forecasting":[26,33,79,91,113,152],"process":[27,34,114],"can":[28,135],"be":[29],"used.":[30],"A":[31],"continuously":[35],"updates":[36],"base":[38,74],"models":[39,75],"as":[40,73,98,100],"new":[41],"are":[43,86],"newly":[44],"recorded,":[45],"and":[46,127],"it":[47],"helps":[48],"to":[49],"cope":[50],"with":[51],"inaccurate":[52],"prediction":[53],"caused":[54],"by":[55],"observations.":[60],"This":[61],"study":[62],"compared":[63,107],"properties":[65],"several":[67],"exponentially":[68,118,142],"weighted":[69,82,119,143],"moving":[70,83,120,144],"average":[71,84,121,145],"methods":[72,85,122],"for":[76,139,149],"process.":[80,153],"Exponentially":[81],"most":[88],"widely":[89],"used":[90],"techniques":[92],"because":[93],"their":[95],"superior":[96],"performance":[97,109],"well":[99],"computational":[101],"efficiency.":[102],"In":[103],"this":[104,132],"study,":[105,133],"we":[106,134],"using":[115],"different":[116],"existing":[117],"under":[123],"various":[124],"simulation":[125],"scenarios":[126],"case":[129],"datasets.":[130],"Through":[131],"provide":[136],"guideline":[138],"determining":[140],"which":[141],"method":[146],"works":[147],"best":[148]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":6}],"updated_date":"2026-10-28T10:33:24.094632","created_date":"2020-10-29T00:00:00"}