{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3094145604","doi":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","title":"Evas\u00e3o ou perman\u00eancia? Modelos preditivos para a gest\u00e3o do Ensino Superior","display_name":"Evas\u00e3o ou perman\u00eancia? Modelos preditivos para a gest\u00e3o do Ensino Superior","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-10-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3094145604","doi":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","mag":"3094145604"},"language":"pt","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.14507/epaa.28.5387","doi":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","pdf_url":"https://epaa.asu.edu/ojs/article/download/5387/2521","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S137104927","display_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives","issn_l":"1068-2341","issn":["1068-2341"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","latindex","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310316012","host_organization_name":"Arizona State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310316012"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Arizona State University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://epaa.asu.edu/ojs/article/download/5387/2521","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080711946","display_name":"Fernanda Cristina da Silva","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9059-0689","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9059-0689","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9830-5878"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4104125","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina","ror":"https://ror.org/041akq887","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fernanda Cristina da Silva","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9059-0689","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003763025","display_name":"Thiago Luiz de Oliveira Cabral","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2999-3512","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2999-3512"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4104125","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina","ror":"https://ror.org/041akq887","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Thiago Luiz de Oliveira Cabral","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2999-3512","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5010799913","display_name":"Andressa Sasaki Vasques Pacheco","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7403-5148","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7403-5148"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4104125","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina","ror":"https://ror.org/041akq887","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andressa Sasaki Vasques Pacheco","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7403-5148","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4104125"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.1301,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":16,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.84246699,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"28","issue":null,"first_page":"149","last_page":"149"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14241","display_name":"Evasion and Academic Success Factors","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14241","display_name":"Evasion and Academic Success Factors","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11122","display_name":"Online Learning and Analytics","score":0.003800000064074993,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1706","display_name":"Computer Science Applications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10267","display_name":"Higher Education Research Studies","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3304","display_name":"Education"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/school-dropout","display_name":"school dropout","score":0.9139999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/student-retention","display_name":"student retention","score":0.8769999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-model","display_name":"prediction model","score":0.6520000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/university-administration","display_name":"university administration","score":0.890999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/distance-education","display_name":"distance education","score":0.824999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/undergraduate-programs","display_name":"undergraduate programs","score":0.6679999828338623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/binary-logistic-regression","display_name":"binary logistic regression","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/early-identification-of-at-risk-students","display_name":"early identification of at-risk students","score":0.8610000014305115}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15708023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q80083","display_name":"Humanities","level":1,"score":0.49070870876312256},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.3378048837184906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.3371449410915375}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.14507/epaa.28.5387","doi":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","pdf_url":"https://epaa.asu.edu/ojs/article/download/5387/2521","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S137104927","display_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives","issn_l":"1068-2341","issn":["1068-2341"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","latindex","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310316012","host_organization_name":"Arizona State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310316012"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Arizona State University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:b3c92c71130c4c328503f4eeb7d4efbd","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/b3c92c71130c4c328503f4eeb7d4efbd","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives, Vol 28, Iss 0 (2020)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.14507/epaa.28.5387","doi":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.14507/epaa.28.5387","pdf_url":"https://epaa.asu.edu/ojs/article/download/5387/2521","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S137104927","display_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives","issn_l":"1068-2341","issn":["1068-2341"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","latindex","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310316012","host_organization_name":"Arizona State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310316012"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Arizona State University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Education Policy Analysis Archives","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Quality education","score":0.8278999924659729,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/4"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[{"display_name":"Observational Study","id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3094145604.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3094145604.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1551555854","https://openalex.org/W1978378030","https://openalex.org/W2059795579","https://openalex.org/W2162897826","https://openalex.org/W2317866228","https://openalex.org/W2324237824","https://openalex.org/W2548653736","https://openalex.org/W2566824368","https://openalex.org/W2620808491","https://openalex.org/W2748395884","https://openalex.org/W2795449882","https://openalex.org/W2801480875","https://openalex.org/W2809765577","https://openalex.org/W2900772138","https://openalex.org/W4233378303"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7020897335","https://openalex.org/W2941745551","https://openalex.org/W4301186459","https://openalex.org/W4393259363","https://openalex.org/W3205010780","https://openalex.org/W4388200466","https://openalex.org/W4406315116","https://openalex.org/W4413428169","https://openalex.org/W4200582036","https://openalex.org/W7164925506"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Esta":[0],"pesquisa":[1],"tem":[2],"como":[3,79,176],"objetivo":[4],"propor":[5],"modelos":[6,93,133,143],"estat\u00edsticos":[7,94],"preditivos":[8,95,144],"para":[9,67,103,139,152],"a":[10,35,48,98,153,168,171],"gest\u00e3o":[11,146,158],"da":[12,53,76,109,116,147,162,179],"evas\u00e3o":[13,148,169],"em":[14,30,87,123,184],"cursos":[15,32],"gradua\u00e7\u00e3o":[16,34],"de":[17,20,33,37,45,59,142,155,186],"uma":[18,38,80],"Institui\u00e7\u00e3o":[19],"Ensino":[21],"Superior":[22],"brasileira.":[23,41],"Para":[24],"isso,":[25],"realizamos":[26],"um":[27],"estudo":[28],"aplicado":[29],"quatro":[31],"dist\u00e2ncia":[36],"Universidade":[39,54],"p\u00fablica":[40],"Levantamos":[42],"os":[43,92,104],"dados":[44],"2.991":[46],"alunos":[47,105,183],"partir":[49],"dos":[50,111,118,173,182],"sistemas":[51],"institucionais":[52],"e":[55,157,170],"utilizamos":[56],"o":[57,137,140],"m\u00e9todo":[58],"Regress\u00e3o":[60],"Log\u00edstica":[61],"Bin\u00e1ria.":[62],"Ao":[63],"final,":[64],"conclu\u00edmos":[65],"que,":[66],"diferentes":[68,88],"cursos,":[69],"vari\u00e1veis":[70,165],"distintas":[71],"podem":[72],"influenciar":[73],"no":[74],"fen\u00f4meno":[75],"evas\u00e3o,":[77],"bem":[78,175],"mesma":[81],"vari\u00e1vel":[82],"pode":[83],"gerar":[84],"efeitos":[85],"distintos":[86],"realidades.":[89],"Al\u00e9m":[90],"disso,":[91],"desenvolvidos":[96],"permitiram":[97],"infer\u00eancia":[99],"\u201cevas\u00e3o\u201d":[100],"ou":[101],"\u201cperman\u00eancia\u201d":[102],"ativos":[106],"na":[107,145],"\u00e9poca":[108],"coleta":[110],"dados.":[112],"Em":[113],"apura\u00e7\u00e3o":[114],"parcial":[115],"acur\u00e1cia":[117],"modelos,":[119],"identificamos":[120],"que":[121,127,166],"nove":[122],"cada":[124],"10":[125],"evas\u00f5es":[126],"ocorreram":[128],"foram":[129],"identificadas":[130],"previamente":[131],"pelos":[132],"desenvolvidos.":[134],"Isso":[135],"evidencia":[136],"potencial":[138],"uso":[141],"estudantil,":[149],"dando-se":[150],"base":[151],"revis\u00e3o":[154],"pol\u00edticas":[156],"educacionais":[159],"por":[160,177],"meio":[161,178],"identifica\u00e7\u00e3o":[163,180],"das":[164],"influenciam":[167],"perman\u00eancia":[172],"estudantes,":[174],"precoce":[181],"risco":[185],"evas\u00e3o.":[187]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2020-10-29T00:00:00"}
