{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3082564372","doi":null,"title":"Estimation de la situation du SRAS-CoV-2 en France","display_name":"Estimation de la situation du SRAS-CoV-2 en France","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3082564372","mag":"3082564372"},"language":"fr","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-02924403v1","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hal.science/hal-02924403","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"2020","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/other"},"volume":null,"type":"other","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://hal.science/hal-02924403","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086547092","display_name":"Henrik Salje","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3626-4254","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3626-4254"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Salje, Henrik","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086979832","display_name":"C\u00e9cile Tran Kiem","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0563-8428","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0563-8428"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tran Kiem, C\u00e9cile","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070246006","display_name":"No\u00e9mie Lefrancq","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5991-6169","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5991-6169"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lefrancq, No\u00e9mie","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044267945","display_name":"No\u00e9mie Courtejoie","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9703-7851","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9703-7851"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Courtejoie, No\u00e9mie","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centre de Recherche du DREES"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centre de Recherche du DREES","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5091768984","display_name":"Paolo Bosetti","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7078-7118","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7078-7118"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bosetti, Paolo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5089452031","display_name":"Juliette Paireau","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5143-6256","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5143-6256"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Paireau, Juliette","raw_affiliation_strings":["Direction des maladies infectieuses - Infectious Diseases Division [Saint-Maurice]","Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Direction des maladies infectieuses - Infectious Diseases Division [Saint-Maurice]","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5107344887","display_name":"A. Andronico","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3542-7245","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3542-7245"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andronico, Alessio","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005620957","display_name":"Nathana\u00ebl Hoz\u00e9","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3977-8966","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3977-8966"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hoz\u00e9, Nathana\u00ebl","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042779202","display_name":"Jehanne Richet","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5242-4281","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5242-4281"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Richet, Jehanne","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centre de Recherche du DREES"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centre de Recherche du DREES","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005145549","display_name":"Claire-Lise Dubost","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dubost, Claire-Lise","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centre de Recherche du DREES"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centre de Recherche du DREES","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076987411","display_name":"Yann Le Strat","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-4200","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-4200"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210130152","display_name":"Institut de Psychiatrie et Neurosciences de Paris","ror":"https://ror.org/02g40zn06","country_code":"FR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488","https://openalex.org/I204730241","https://openalex.org/I4210130152","https://openalex.org/I4210160774"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Le Strat, Yann","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institut de psychiatrie et neurosciences de Paris"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institut de psychiatrie et neurosciences de Paris","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210130152"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039648333","display_name":"Justin Lessler","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9741-8109","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9741-8109"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lessler, Justin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Epidemiology [Baltimore]"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Epidemiology [Baltimore]","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035165297","display_name":"Daniel L\u00e9vy-Bruhl","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-0932","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-0932"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210092716","display_name":"Sant\u00e9 Publique France","ror":"https://ror.org/00dfw9p58","country_code":"FR","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210092716"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Levy-Bruhl, Daniel","raw_affiliation_strings":["Sant\u00e9 publique France - French National Public Health Agency [Saint-Maurice, France]"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sant\u00e9 publique France - French National Public Health Agency [Saint-Maurice, France]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210092716"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055055641","display_name":"Arnaud L Fontanet","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5239-6110","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5239-6110"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I124158823","display_name":"Conservatoire National des Arts et M\u00e9tiers","ror":"https://ror.org/0175hh227","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124158823","https://openalex.org/I4210134562"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fontanet, Arnaud","raw_affiliation_strings":["Conservatoire National des Arts et M\u00e9tiers [CNAM]","Epid\u00e9miologie des Maladies Emergentes - Emerging Diseases Epidemiology"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Conservatoire National des Arts et M\u00e9tiers [CNAM]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I124158823"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Epid\u00e9miologie des Maladies Emergentes - Emerging Diseases Epidemiology","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061270982","display_name":"Lulla Opatowski","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8348-700X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8348-700X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Opatowski, Lulla","raw_affiliation_strings":["Epid\u00e9miologie et mod\u00e9lisation de la r\u00e9sistance aux antimicrobiens - Epidemiology and modelling of bacterial escape to antimicrobials"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Epid\u00e9miologie et mod\u00e9lisation de la r\u00e9sistance aux antimicrobiens - Epidemiology and modelling of bacterial escape to antimicrobials","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5000035181","display_name":"Pierre\u2010Yves Bo\u00eblle","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5367-8232","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5367-8232"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210133907","display_name":"Institut Pierre Louis d\u2018\u00c9pid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique","ror":"https://ror.org/02qqh1125","country_code":"FR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488","https://openalex.org/I39804081","https://openalex.org/I4210133907"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Boelle, Pierre-Yves","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008514010","display_name":"Simon Cauchemez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9186-4549","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9186-4549"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cauchemez, Simon","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mod\u00e9lisation math\u00e9matique des maladies infectieuses - Mathematical modelling of Infectious Diseases","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9901999831199646,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9901999831199646,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10118","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","score":0.007400000002235174,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11754","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sars-cov-2","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/covid-19","display_name":"COVID-19 pandemic","score":0.9470000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/france","display_name":"France","score":0.46399998664855957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-modeling","display_name":"epidemic modeling","score":0.42100000381469727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infectious-disease-transmission","display_name":"infectious disease transmission","score":0.43799999356269836}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.38241371512413025}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-02924403v1","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hal.science/hal-02924403","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"2020","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/other"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-02924403v1","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hal.science/hal-02924403","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"2020","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/other"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.9922999739646912,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3025090814","https://openalex.org/W3195638498","https://openalex.org/W3154248949","https://openalex.org/W4289225534","https://openalex.org/W3081351333","https://openalex.org/W7037662019","https://openalex.org/W4392646645","https://openalex.org/W3080996823","https://openalex.org/W4406282722","https://openalex.org/W4287668642"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"[ATTENTION":[0],":":[1],"LA":[2],"TRADUCTION":[3],"DE":[4],"L'ARTICLE":[5],"N'A":[6],"PAS":[7],"\u00c9T\u00c9":[8],"RELUE":[9],"PAR":[10],"LES":[11],"AUTEURS].":[12],"La":[13],"France":[14],"a":[15,126],"\u00e9t\u00e9":[16,173],"fortement":[17],"affect\u00e9e":[18],"par":[19],"la":[20,59,128,166,177,195],"pand\u00e9mie":[21],"du":[22,53,197],"syndrome":[23],"respiratoire":[24],"aigu":[25],"s\u00e9v\u00e8re":[26],"coronavirus":[27],"2":[28],"(SRAS-CoV-2)":[29],"et":[30,47,55,71,118],"est":[31],"entr\u00e9e":[32],"en":[33,115],"confinement":[34,54,125],"le":[35,138],"17":[36],"mars":[37],"2020.":[38],"\u00c0":[39,103],"l'aide":[40],"de":[41,48,58,78,86,91,119,130,135,155,165,176,190],"mod\u00e8les":[42],"appliqu\u00e9s":[43],"aux":[44],"donn\u00e9es":[45],"hospitali\u00e8res":[46],"d\u00e9c\u00e8s,":[49],"nous":[50,150],"estimons":[51],"l'impact":[52],"l'immunit\u00e9":[56],"actuelle":[57],"population":[60,167,178],".":[61],"Nous":[62],"constatons":[63],"que":[64,121,152],"2,9%":[65],"des":[66,73],"personnes":[67,74,156],"infect\u00e9es":[68,75],"sont":[69,109,192],"hospitalis\u00e9es":[70],"0,5%":[72],"d\u00e9c\u00e8dent":[76],"(intervalle":[77],"confiance":[79],"\u00e0":[80,83,94,132,143,160,170,194],"95%:":[81],"0,3":[82],"0,9%),":[84],"allant":[85],"0,001%":[87],"chez":[88,96],"les":[89,97,105,107,122,145,188],"moins":[90],"20":[92],"ans":[93,99],"8,3%":[95],"80":[98],"ou":[100],"plus":[101,110],"\u00e2g\u00e9s.":[102],"tous":[104],"\u00e2ges,":[106],"hommes":[108],"susceptibles":[111],"d'\u00eatre":[112],"hospitalis\u00e9s,":[113],"d'entrer":[114],"soins":[116],"intensifs":[117],"mourir":[120],"femmes.":[123],"Le":[124],"r\u00e9duit":[127],"reproductivit\u00e9":[129],"2,90":[131],"0,67":[133],"(r\u00e9duction":[134],"77%).":[136],"D'ici":[137],"11":[139],"mai":[140],"2020,":[141],"date":[142],"laquelle":[144],"interventions":[146],"devraient":[147],"\u00eatre":[148],"assouplies,":[149],"pr\u00e9voyons":[151],"3,5":[153],"millions":[154,159],"(fourchette:":[157,168],"2,1":[158],"6,0":[161],"millions),":[162],"soit":[163],"5,3%":[164],"3,3":[169],"9,3%),":[171],"auront":[172],"infect\u00e9es.":[174],"L'immunit\u00e9":[175],"semble":[179],"insuffisante":[180],"pour":[181],"\u00e9viter":[182],"une":[183],"deuxi\u00e8me":[184],"vague":[185],"si":[186],"toutes":[187],"mesures":[189],"contr\u00f4le":[191],"rel\u00e2ch\u00e9es":[193],"fin":[196],"confinement.":[198]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-26T11:51:55.731654","created_date":"2020-09-08T00:00:00"}
