{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3045476535","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","title":"A Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Prediction Model to Inform County-Level COVID-19 Risk in the United States","display_name":"A Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Prediction Model to Inform County-Level COVID-19 Risk in the United States","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-07-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3045476535","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","mag":"3045476535"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","pdf_url":"https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qqg19a0r/download/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306511929","display_name":"Harvard Data Science Review","issn_l":"2644-2353","issn":["2644-2353","2688-8513"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Harvard Data Science Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qqg19a0r/download/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018749493","display_name":"Yiwang Zhou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8023-205X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8023-205X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1313298211","display_name":"St. Jude Children's Research Hospital","ror":"https://ror.org/02r3e0967","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1313298211","https://openalex.org/I2802152183"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yiwang Zhou","raw_affiliation_strings":["Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, St. Jude Children\u2019s Research Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee, United States of America","Department of Biostatistics, St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee, United States of America,","Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8023-205X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, St. Jude Children\u2019s Research Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1313298211","https://openalex.org/I27837315"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics, St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee, United States of America,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1313298211"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100356433","display_name":"Lili Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4276-3930","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4276-3930"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1344073410","display_name":"Howard Hughes Medical Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/006w34k90","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1344073410"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lili Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America; Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Department of Molecular Cellular and Developmental Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Department of Molecular Cellular and Developmental Biology,","University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4276-3930","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America; Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Department of Molecular Cellular and Developmental Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1344073410","https://openalex.org/I27837315"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Department of Molecular Cellular and Developmental Biology,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1344073410"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052445416","display_name":"Leyao Zhang","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Leyao Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100607275","display_name":"Lan Shi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8251-7788","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8251-7788"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200719446","display_name":"Vanderbilt University","ror":"https://ror.org/02vm5rt34","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I901861585","display_name":"Vanderbilt University Medical Center","ror":"https://ror.org/05dq2gs74","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210162197","https://openalex.org/I901861585"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lan Shi","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America","Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America,","School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,","Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200719446","https://openalex.org/I27837315","https://openalex.org/I901861585"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200719446","https://openalex.org/I901861585"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103915812","display_name":"Kangping Yang","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kangping Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100722076","display_name":"Jie He","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8263-5055","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8263-5055"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jie He","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013663881","display_name":"Bangyao Zhao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2482-391X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2482-391X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhao Bangyao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011942496","display_name":"William Overton","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"William Overton","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005901312","display_name":"Soumik Purkayastha","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3619-2804","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3619-2804"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Soumik Purkayastha","raw_affiliation_strings":["Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027524625","display_name":"Peter X.\u2010K. Song","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7881-7182","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7881-7182"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Peter Song","raw_affiliation_strings":["Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Song Lab, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.3792,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":42,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.88024703,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":92,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":"Special Issue 1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11819","display_name":"Data-Driven Disease Surveillance","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/covid-19","display_name":"COVID-19 pandemic","score":0.9739999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spatiotemporal-prediction","display_name":"spatiotemporal prediction","score":0.8539999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cellular-automata","display_name":"cellular automata","score":0.8149999976158142},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-risk-prediction","display_name":"epidemic risk prediction","score":0.6399999856948853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/health-information-systems","display_name":"health information systems","score":0.6830000281333923}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.824550211429596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3006700255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81068910","display_name":"2019-20 coronavirus outbreak","level":3,"score":0.5883554220199585},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107130276","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q133805","display_name":"Epidemiology","level":2,"score":0.5570181012153625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3007834351","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82069695","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","level":5,"score":0.549975574016571},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186744025","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7574064","display_name":"Spatial epidemiology","level":3,"score":0.4737059772014618},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4250684082508087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.34273675084114075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.20053747296333313},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.19414880871772766},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.1102127730846405},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.09503018856048584},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.06990298628807068},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","pdf_url":"https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qqg19a0r/download/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306511929","display_name":"Harvard Data Science Review","issn_l":"2644-2353","issn":["2644-2353","2688-8513"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Harvard Data Science Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:4c74386a8f1a44b0811fa99609eaee27","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/4c74386a8f1a44b0811fa99609eaee27","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Harvard Data Science Review (2020)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.79e1f45e","pdf_url":"https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qqg19a0r/download/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306511929","display_name":"Harvard Data Science Review","issn_l":"2644-2353","issn":["2644-2353","2688-8513"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Harvard Data Science Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.8560000061988831}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6381532932","display_name":"Incremental Regression Analysis of Streaming Data: Estimating Function Theory and Applications","funder_award_id":"1811734","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3045476535.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3045476535.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1965004987","https://openalex.org/W1965307536","https://openalex.org/W1986432842","https://openalex.org/W1989802147","https://openalex.org/W2032287394","https://openalex.org/W2049256850","https://openalex.org/W2063536213","https://openalex.org/W2108704847","https://openalex.org/W2118067965","https://openalex.org/W2118928025","https://openalex.org/W2137101945","https://openalex.org/W2148301044","https://openalex.org/W2148534890","https://openalex.org/W2165786774","https://openalex.org/W2612506596","https://openalex.org/W3023774094","https://openalex.org/W3049042071","https://openalex.org/W4205440662","https://openalex.org/W4398541809","https://openalex.org/W7039666156"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3160549103","https://openalex.org/W3023175791","https://openalex.org/W3198758104","https://openalex.org/W3044743335","https://openalex.org/W3120267327","https://openalex.org/W3212726973","https://openalex.org/W3203823395","https://openalex.org/W4293709623","https://openalex.org/W3184919176","https://openalex.org/W3029879300"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"As":[0],"the":[1,7,29,64,67,75,84,94,100,105,114,120],"COVID-19":[2,30,69,142],"pandemic":[3],"continues":[4],"worsening":[5],"in":[6,32,74],"United":[8,77],"States,":[9,78],"it":[10],"is":[11,131],"of":[12,28,66,113],"critical":[13],"importance":[14],"to":[15,87,93,109],"develop":[16],"a":[17,36,43,49,88],"health":[18],"information":[19],"system":[20],"that":[21,41],"provides":[22],"timely":[23],"risk":[24,81,85,97,108,129],"evaluation":[25],"and":[26,83,111,119,138],"prediction":[27,98],"infection":[31],"communities.":[33],"We":[34],"propose":[35],"spatiotemporal":[37],"epidemiological":[38],"forecast":[39,82],"model":[40,54,103],"combines":[42],"spatial":[44],"cellular":[45],"automata":[46],"(CA)":[47],"with":[48],"temporal":[50,96],"extended":[51],"susceptible-antibody-infectious-removed":[52],"(eSAIR)":[53],"under":[55],"time-varying":[56],"state-specific":[57],"control":[58],"measures.":[59],"This":[60],"new":[61],"toolbox":[62],"enables":[63],"projection":[65,130],"county-level":[68,107],"prevalence":[70],"over":[71],"3109":[72],"counties":[73],"continental":[76],"including":[79],"t-day-ahead":[80],"related":[86],"travel":[89],"route.":[90],"In":[91],"comparison":[92],"existing":[95],"models,":[99],"proposed":[101],"CA-eSAIR":[102],"informs":[104],"projected":[106],"governments":[110],"residents":[112],"local":[115],"coronavirus":[116],"spread":[117],"patterns":[118],"associated":[121],"personal":[122],"risks":[123],"at":[124],"specific":[125],"geolocations.":[126],"Such":[127],"high-resolution":[128],"useful":[132],"for":[133,141],"decision-making":[134],"on":[135],"business":[136],"reopening":[137],"resource":[139],"allocation":[140],"tests.":[143]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":17},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2020-07-29T00:00:00"}