{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3043817995","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13544","title":"Probabilistic Analysis of Domino Effects by Using a Matrix\u2010Based Simulation Approach","display_name":"Probabilistic Analysis of Domino Effects by Using a Matrix\u2010Based Simulation Approach","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-07-15","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3043817995","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13544","mag":"3043817995","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32671878"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/risa.13544","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13544","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13544","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S161248890","display_name":"Risk Analysis","issn_l":"0272-4332","issn":["0272-4332","1539-6924"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Risk Analysis","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101544207","display_name":"Jianfeng Zhou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5093-773X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5093-773X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I139024713","display_name":"Guangdong University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04azbjn80","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139024713"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jianfeng Zhou","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Electromechanical Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5093-773X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Electromechanical Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139024713"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5041543612","display_name":"Genserik Reniers","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9592-1811","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9592-1811"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I149213910","display_name":"University of Antwerp","ror":"https://ror.org/008x57b05","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I149213910"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I98358874","display_name":"Delft University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02e2c7k09","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I99464096","display_name":"KU Leuven","ror":"https://ror.org/05f950310","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I99464096"]}],"countries":["BE","NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Genserik Reniers","raw_affiliation_strings":["CEDON, KULeuven, Brussels, Belgium","Faculty of Applied Economics, Antwerp Research Group on Safety and Security (ARGoSS), Universiteit Antwerpen, Antwerp, Belgium","Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Safety and Security Science Group (S3G), TU Delft, Delft, The Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CEDON, KULeuven, Brussels, Belgium","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I99464096"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Applied Economics, Antwerp Research Group on Safety and Security (ARGoSS), Universiteit Antwerpen, Antwerp, Belgium","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I149213910"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Safety and Security Science Group (S3G), TU Delft, Delft, The Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98358874"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5101544207"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139024713"],"apc_list":{"value":3600,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3600},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.9114,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.770184,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"40","issue":"10","first_page":"1913","last_page":"1927"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11807","display_name":"Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2205","display_name":"Civil and Structural Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12086","display_name":"Structural Integrity and Reliability Analysis","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2210","display_name":"Mechanical Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/domino-effect","display_name":"domino effect","score":0.9010000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/major-hazard-installations","display_name":"major hazard installations","score":0.9049999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-accidents","display_name":"industrial accidents","score":0.8740000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/accident-propagation","display_name":"accident propagation","score":0.9390000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-risk-assessment","display_name":"probabilistic risk assessment","score":0.5649999976158142}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155223936","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682875","display_name":"Domino effect","level":2,"score":0.9513063430786133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776416436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3751781","display_name":"Domino","level":3,"score":0.8601894378662109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49261128","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132455","display_name":"Hazard","level":2,"score":0.5727596282958984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780598303","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q65921492","display_name":"Flexibility (engineering)","level":2,"score":0.5583145022392273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.5434716939926147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5163458585739136},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.4803955852985382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106487976","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q685816","display_name":"Matrix (chemical analysis)","level":2,"score":0.4381124973297119},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.4179002642631531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.3475189507007599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.22700929641723633},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1582801640033722},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.12600493431091309},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159985019","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q181790","display_name":"Composite material","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192562407","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228736","display_name":"Materials science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185544564","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81197","display_name":"Nuclear physics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161790260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82264","display_name":"Catalysis","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178790620","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11351","display_name":"Organic chemistry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/risa.13544","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13544","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13544","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S161248890","display_name":"Risk Analysis","issn_l":"0272-4332","issn":["0272-4332","1539-6924"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Risk Analysis","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:32671878","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32671878","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis","raw_type":"Journal Article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.5899999737739563}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":35,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W100710627","https://openalex.org/W168977963","https://openalex.org/W169623910","https://openalex.org/W328755955","https://openalex.org/W1940286691","https://openalex.org/W1966893154","https://openalex.org/W1967750998","https://openalex.org/W1974075885","https://openalex.org/W1974533806","https://openalex.org/W1994886377","https://openalex.org/W1996319168","https://openalex.org/W2010045666","https://openalex.org/W2010349742","https://openalex.org/W2013367462","https://openalex.org/W2014718531","https://openalex.org/W2024938644","https://openalex.org/W2032363209","https://openalex.org/W2038027235","https://openalex.org/W2042306465","https://openalex.org/W2048161825","https://openalex.org/W2060027500","https://openalex.org/W2065273743","https://openalex.org/W2068769370","https://openalex.org/W2078305180","https://openalex.org/W2086054438","https://openalex.org/W2087160026","https://openalex.org/W2139741551","https://openalex.org/W2141536144","https://openalex.org/W2235874291","https://openalex.org/W2287600707","https://openalex.org/W2577518654","https://openalex.org/W2596770751","https://openalex.org/W2607123621","https://openalex.org/W2789293735","https://openalex.org/W2789347474"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4400388053","https://openalex.org/W2789347474","https://openalex.org/W2076027625","https://openalex.org/W2355841947","https://openalex.org/W3124072730","https://openalex.org/W4387844122","https://openalex.org/W4296934875","https://openalex.org/W2068769370","https://openalex.org/W2383431396","https://openalex.org/W68889664"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Major":[0],"industrial":[1,19],"accidents":[2,12,20,64,89,140],"occurring":[3],"at":[4,22],"so-called":[5],"major":[6],"hazard":[7,29],"installations":[8,30],"may":[9,26,38,68],"cause":[10],"domino":[11,53,62,88,101,160],"which":[13],"are":[14],"among":[15],"the":[16,58,84,112],"most":[17],"destructive":[18],"existing":[21],"present.":[23],"As":[24],"there":[25],"be":[27,108],"many":[28],"in":[31,49,162],"an":[32,124],"area,":[33],"a":[34,61,74,95,133,163],"primary":[35],"accident":[36,128,142],"scenario":[37],"potentially":[39],"propagate":[40],"from":[41],"one":[42],"installation":[43],"to":[44,110,158],"another,":[45],"and":[46,141,148],"correlations":[47],"exist":[48],"probability":[50,137],"calculations":[51],"of":[52,60,65,71,87,115,139,150],"effects.":[54],"In":[55,92],"addition,":[56],"during":[57],"propagation":[59,129],"effect,":[63,76],"diverse":[66],"types":[67],"occur,":[69],"some":[70],"them":[72],"having":[73],"synergistic":[75],"while":[77,155],"others":[78],"do":[79],"not.":[80],"These":[81],"characteristics":[82],"make":[83],"analytical":[85],"formulation":[86],"very":[90],"complex.":[91],"this":[93,122,151],"work,":[94],"simple":[96],"matrix-based":[97],"modeling":[98],"approach":[99,126,152],"for":[100,127,136],"effect":[102],"analysis":[103,125],"is":[104,144,153],"proposed.":[105],"Matrices":[106],"can":[107],"used":[109],"represent":[111],"mutual":[113],"influences":[114],"different":[116],"escalation":[117],"vectors":[118],"between":[119],"installations.":[120],"On":[121],"basis,":[123],"as":[130,132],"well":[131],"simulation-based":[134],"algorithm":[135],"calculation":[138],"levels":[143],"provided.":[145],"The":[146],"applicability":[147],"flexibility":[149],"discussed":[154],"applying":[156],"it":[157],"estimate":[159],"probabilities":[161],"case":[164],"study.":[165]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2020-07-23T00:00:00"}