{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3034517469","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s1019331620020069","title":"Prospects for Economic Growth in Russia","display_name":"Prospects for Economic Growth in Russia","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-03-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3034517469","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s1019331620020069","mag":"3034517469"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1134/s1019331620020069","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s1019331620020069","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s1019331620020069","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S104503141","display_name":"Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences","issn_l":"1019-3316","issn":["1019-3316","1555-6492"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["dongbi-c","jufo-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320267","host_organization_name":"Pleiades Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320267","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Pleiades Publishing","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026132026","display_name":"B. N. Porfiriev","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8515-3257","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8515-3257"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1313323035","display_name":"Russian Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/05qrfxd25","country_code":"RU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210107616","display_name":"Institute of Economic Forecasting","ror":"https://ror.org/01p8wcy85","country_code":"RU","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035","https://openalex.org/I4210107616","https://openalex.org/I4210120228"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"B. N. Porfiriev","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035","https://openalex.org/I4210107616"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5026132026"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035","https://openalex.org/I4210107616"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":5.4492,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":12,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95459737,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"90","issue":"2","first_page":"158","last_page":"164"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12667","display_name":"Economic and Technological Developments in Russia","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3303","display_name":"Development"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12667","display_name":"Economic and Technological Developments in Russia","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3303","display_name":"Development"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.0010999999940395355,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13186","display_name":"Russia and Soviet political economy","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-growth","display_name":"economic growth","score":0.7480000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/russian-economy","display_name":"Russian economy","score":0.9620000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gdp-growth-forecasting","display_name":"GDP growth forecasting","score":0.7990000247955322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/durable-goods-demand","display_name":"durable goods demand","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fixed-asset-investment","display_name":"fixed asset investment","score":0.8949999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-capital","display_name":"human capital","score":0.8859999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/labor-productivity","display_name":"labor productivity","score":0.6370000243186951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/r-d-investment","display_name":"R&D investment","score":0.7739999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technological-upgrading","display_name":"technological upgrading","score":0.8880000114440918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-policy","display_name":"economic policy","score":0.6449999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socioeconomic-risk","display_name":"socioeconomic risk","score":0.5979999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/science-and-economic-development","display_name":"science and economic development","score":0.3160000145435333}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C30472729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q955421","display_name":"Fixed asset","level":3,"score":0.5519704222679138},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.5459775328636169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2994475961","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q461731","display_name":"Russian economy","level":2,"score":0.5220163464546204},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.500098705291748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.493472695350647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4791678488254547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776943663","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q165687","display_name":"Human capital","level":2,"score":0.4387480914592743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83646750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193893","display_name":"Capital (architecture)","level":2,"score":0.4228185713291168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161741011","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1408229","display_name":"Finished good","level":3,"score":0.416520357131958},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3845157325267792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105639569","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q582577","display_name":"Economic policy","level":1,"score":0.35700473189353943},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175605778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3299701","display_name":"Natural resource economics","level":1,"score":0.34086114168167114},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50522688","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189833","display_name":"Economic growth","level":1,"score":0.29927515983581543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74363100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273005","display_name":"Economic system","level":1,"score":0.2696329355239868},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.21325841546058655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95457728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q309","display_name":"History","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1134/s1019331620020069","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s1019331620020069","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s1019331620020069","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S104503141","display_name":"Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences","issn_l":"1019-3316","issn":["1019-3316","1555-6492"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["dongbi-c","jufo-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320267","host_organization_name":"Pleiades Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320267","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Pleiades Publishing","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.833299994468689,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.7300000190734863,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":3,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2942346081","https://openalex.org/W2946264140","https://openalex.org/W2995644430"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2034468266","https://openalex.org/W7166575686","https://openalex.org/W3031581260","https://openalex.org/W4389324659","https://openalex.org/W4405740828","https://openalex.org/W4385245713","https://openalex.org/W2807636865","https://openalex.org/W4220967672","https://openalex.org/W4409199163","https://openalex.org/W2074048272"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"The":[1,20,39,129,142],"dynamics":[2,115],"of":[3,6,16,22,37,42,71,94,99,102,111,120,136,145],"the":[4,7,13,45,66,80,97,100,118,124],"development":[5,138],"Russian":[8],"economy":[9],"from":[10],"2013":[11],"to":[12,53,113],"first":[14],"half":[15],"2019":[17],"is":[18,28,88,160],"considered.":[19],"potential":[21],"future":[23],"economic":[24,121,155],"growth":[25,35,43,122],"until":[26],"2024":[27],"estimated":[29],"by":[30,85],"an":[31,148],"average":[32],"annual":[33],"GDP":[34],"rate":[36],"4%.":[38],"main":[40],"drivers":[41],"are":[44,92,139],"population\u2019s":[46],"demand":[47],"for":[48,78,150],"durable":[49],"goods,":[50],"postponed":[51],"due":[52],"lower":[54],"incomes,":[55],"as":[56,58,147,157],"well":[57],"investments":[59],"in":[60,123],"fixed":[61],"assets":[62],"and":[63,69,105,108,116,126,131,134,153],"human":[64],"capital,":[65],"current":[67],"level":[68],"share":[70],"which":[72],"do":[73],"not":[74],"meet":[75],"Russia\u2019s":[76],"requirements":[77],"joining":[79],"world\u2019s":[81],"top":[82],"five":[83],"countries":[84],"2024.":[86],"It":[87],"noted":[89],"that":[90],"there":[91],"reserves":[93],"capacities,":[95],"increasing":[96],"intensity":[98],"use":[101],"labor":[103],"resources,":[104],"financing":[106],"R&D":[107],"technological":[109],"upgrades":[110],"production":[112],"accelerate":[114],"improve":[117],"quality":[119],"medium":[125],"long":[127],"term.":[128],"internal":[130],"external":[132],"constraints":[133],"risks":[135],"socioeconomic":[137],"discussed":[140],"briefly.":[141],"key":[143],"role":[144],"science":[146],"instrument":[149],"risk":[151],"reduction":[152],"effective":[154],"policy":[156],"a":[158],"whole":[159],"emphasized.":[161]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-07-31T08:31:51.225901","created_date":"2020-06-19T00:00:00"}