{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3012596789","doi":null,"title":"Communicating uncertainty : the role of communication format in maximising understanding and maintaining credibility","display_name":"Communicating uncertainty : the role of communication format in maximising understanding and maintaining credibility","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-02-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3012596789","mag":"3012596789"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:eprints.ucl.ac.uk.OAI2:10091008","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091008/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400024","display_name":"UCL Discovery (University College London)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I45129253","host_organization_name":"University College London","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I45129253"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Doctoral thesis, UCL (University College London).","raw_type":"Thesis"},"volume":null,"type":"dissertation","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5020315066","display_name":"Sarah C. Jenkins","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8400-9691","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8400-9691"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Sarah C. Jenkins","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8400-9691","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5020315066"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11573","display_name":"Risk Perception and Management","score":0.8906000256538391,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11573","display_name":"Risk Perception and Management","score":0.8906000256538391,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.02019999921321869,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11121","display_name":"Public Relations and Crisis Communication","score":0.016699999570846558,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty-communication","display_name":"uncertainty communication","score":0.9359999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/communication-formats","display_name":"communication formats","score":0.9440000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/verbal-probability-expressions","display_name":"verbal probability expressions","score":0.9010000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/perceived-credibility","display_name":"perceived credibility","score":0.5879999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/directionality","display_name":"directionality","score":0.4320000112056732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/natural-hazards","display_name":"natural hazards","score":0.597000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interpretation-of-probability","display_name":"probability interpretation","score":0.3409999907016754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-communication","display_name":"risk communication","score":0.4059999883174896}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780224610","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1530061","display_name":"Credibility","level":2,"score":0.8209995627403259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C148220186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7111912","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","level":2,"score":0.632902979850769},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779662365","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5416694","display_name":"Event (particle physics)","level":2,"score":0.5742891430854797},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4738721549510956},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204323151","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q905424","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","level":2,"score":0.46325501799583435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.4379134178161621},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49261128","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132455","display_name":"Hazard","level":2,"score":0.4176919758319855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.3963818848133087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.32725536823272705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.28054189682006836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.14328178763389587},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.13257640600204468},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146978453","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3798668","display_name":"Aerospace engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178790620","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11351","display_name":"Organic chemistry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:eprints.ucl.ac.uk.OAI2:10091008","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091008/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400024","display_name":"UCL Discovery (University College London)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I45129253","host_organization_name":"University College London","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I45129253"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Doctoral thesis, UCL (University College London).","raw_type":"Thesis"},{"id":"mag:3012596789","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091008/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306508231","display_name":"Doctoral thesis, UCL (University College London).","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Doctoral thesis, UCL (University College London).","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":106,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W92685995","https://openalex.org/W300849578","https://openalex.org/W1522182530","https://openalex.org/W1543004133","https://openalex.org/W1545849833","https://openalex.org/W1571785228","https://openalex.org/W1585053707","https://openalex.org/W1751491702","https://openalex.org/W1873611654","https://openalex.org/W1895366050","https://openalex.org/W1950669244","https://openalex.org/W1963933342","https://openalex.org/W1964865158","https://openalex.org/W1969787028","https://openalex.org/W1970622491","https://openalex.org/W1975544472","https://openalex.org/W1982625670","https://openalex.org/W1983039791","https://openalex.org/W1986010002","https://openalex.org/W1991704765","https://openalex.org/W1993288603","https://openalex.org/W1993739003","https://openalex.org/W1998506601","https://openalex.org/W2002306964","https://openalex.org/W2004776030","https://openalex.org/W2005081301","https://openalex.org/W2006173561","https://openalex.org/W2006192923","https://openalex.org/W2006487427","https://openalex.org/W2021932705","https://openalex.org/W2021950825","https://openalex.org/W2026814497","https://openalex.org/W2027757106","https://openalex.org/W2031158475","https://openalex.org/W2031663812","https://openalex.org/W2033228057","https://openalex.org/W2034381308","https://openalex.org/W2035196177","https://openalex.org/W2035863530","https://openalex.org/W2036958846","https://openalex.org/W2044456452","https://openalex.org/W2045519570","https://openalex.org/W2045679003","https://openalex.org/W2046535896","https://openalex.org/W2046809321","https://openalex.org/W2047849332","https://openalex.org/W2055571263","https://openalex.org/W2058658979","https://openalex.org/W2058837212","https://openalex.org/W2058873813","https://openalex.org/W2064554575","https://openalex.org/W2070999343","https://openalex.org/W2081174908","https://openalex.org/W2082209672","https://openalex.org/W2087484885","https://openalex.org/W2092925257","https://openalex.org/W2094122445","https://openalex.org/W2095148732","https://openalex.org/W2100026878","https://openalex.org/W2101279749","https://openalex.org/W2108456679","https://openalex.org/W2108717558","https://openalex.org/W2110859357","https://openalex.org/W2111335380","https://openalex.org/W2112035579","https://openalex.org/W2120061261","https://openalex.org/W2121649812","https://openalex.org/W2122567200","https://openalex.org/W2122611921","https://openalex.org/W2125507946","https://openalex.org/W2125634133","https://openalex.org/W2128560009","https://openalex.org/W2128892457","https://openalex.org/W2129581329","https://openalex.org/W2130773688","https://openalex.org/W2132538298","https://openalex.org/W2135795051","https://openalex.org/W2136946208","https://openalex.org/W2138411769","https://openalex.org/W2139876235","https://openalex.org/W2142604507","https://openalex.org/W2144548372","https://openalex.org/W2147480862","https://openalex.org/W2147587913","https://openalex.org/W2151563199","https://openalex.org/W2154990482","https://openalex.org/W2157392583","https://openalex.org/W2174945115","https://openalex.org/W2261134809","https://openalex.org/W2266028063","https://openalex.org/W2269465300","https://openalex.org/W2283352985","https://openalex.org/W2305899342","https://openalex.org/W2322353617","https://openalex.org/W2343293453","https://openalex.org/W2497462157","https://openalex.org/W2592174853","https://openalex.org/W2606430940","https://openalex.org/W2620461055","https://openalex.org/W2735657831","https://openalex.org/W2743793120","https://openalex.org/W2774458861","https://openalex.org/W2909145596","https://openalex.org/W2940373590","https://openalex.org/W2943845219","https://openalex.org/W4294343482"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2792445025","https://openalex.org/W7020793483","https://openalex.org/W2785500203","https://openalex.org/W2803230576","https://openalex.org/W4223529721","https://openalex.org/W7044124284","https://openalex.org/W2786945950","https://openalex.org/W3005052274","https://openalex.org/W2940373590","https://openalex.org/W4308841881"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"thesis":[1],"investigates":[2],"the":[3,9,16,69,81,84,95,103,164,197,229,239,244,248,282,288],"effect":[4,210],"of":[5,11,18,83,86,211,247,284,290],"communication":[6],"format":[7,133,176,212],"on":[8,251,286],"understanding":[10,289],"uncertainty":[12,291],"communications":[13,129,255,292],"and":[14,44,50,61,117,185,258,271,293],"considers":[15],"implications":[17,151],"these":[19,225],"findings":[20,280],"for":[21,152],"a":[22,87,100,109,131,153,170,174,192,202],"communicator\u2019s":[23,154],"perceived":[24,155,181,267,295],"credibility.":[25,297],"The":[26],"research":[27],"compares":[28],"five":[29],"formats:":[30],"verbal":[31,175],"probability":[32,82,166,199],"expressions":[33,38,52],"(VPEs;":[34],"e.g.,":[35,57,64],"\u2018unlikely\u2019);":[36],"numerical":[37,116,193],"\u2013":[39],"point":[40],"(e.g.,":[41,47],"\u201820%":[42,65],"likelihood\u2019)":[43],"range":[45],"estimates":[46],"\u201810\u201330%":[48],"likelihood\u2019);":[49],"mixed":[51,118],"in":[53,177,196],"two":[54],"orders":[55],"(verbal-numerical,":[56],"\u2018unlikely":[58],"[20%":[59],"likelihood]\u2019":[60],"numerical-verbal":[62],"format,":[63],"likelihood":[66],"[unlikely]\u2019).":[67],"Using":[68],"\u2018which-outcome\u2019":[70],"methodology,":[71],"we":[72,120,168,262],"observe":[73],"that":[74,90,122,264],"when":[75],"participants":[76],"are":[77,125,266],"asked":[78],"to":[79,108,115,128,142,235,243],"estimate":[80],"outcome":[85,240],"natural":[88],"hazard":[89],"is":[91,138,180,213],"described":[92],"as":[93,140,182,268],"\u2018unlikely\u2019,":[94],"majority":[96],"indicate":[97],"outcomes":[98],"with":[99],"value":[101,105],"exceeding":[102],"maximum":[104],"shown,":[106],"equivalent":[107],"0%":[110,123],"probability.":[111],"Extending":[112],"this":[113],"work":[114],"formats,":[119],"find":[121,169,263],"interpretations":[124],"also":[126],"given":[127,274],"using":[130],"verbal-numerical":[132],"(Chapter":[134,217,277],"2).":[135],"If":[136],"\u2018unlikely\u2019":[137,159,233],"interpreted":[139],"referring":[141],"events":[143],"which":[144],"will":[145],"never":[146],"occur,":[147],"there":[148],"could":[149],"be":[150],"credibility":[156],"should":[157],"an":[158,209],"event":[160,204],"actually":[161],"occur.":[162],"In":[163],"low":[165],"domain,":[167],"communicator":[171,296],"who":[172,190],"uses":[173,191],"their":[178],"prediction":[179,249],"less":[183,186,269,272],"credible":[184,270],"correct":[187,273],"than":[188],"one":[189],"format.":[194],"However,":[195],"high":[198],"domain":[200],"(where":[201],"\u2018likely\u2019":[203],"does":[205],"not":[206,214],"occur)":[207],"such":[208],"consistently":[215],"observed":[216],"3).":[218],"We":[219],"suggest":[220],"\u2018directionality\u2013outcome":[221],"congruence\u2019":[222],"can":[223],"explain":[224],"findings.":[226],"For":[227],"example,":[228],"negatively":[230,259],"directional":[231,260],"term":[232],"led":[234],"harsher":[236],"ratings":[237],"because":[238],"was":[241],"counter":[242],"original":[245],"focus":[246],"(i.e.,":[250],"its":[252],"non-occurrence).":[253],"Comparing":[254],"featuring":[256],"positively":[257],"VPEs,":[261],"communicators":[265],"directionality\u2013outcome":[275],"incongruence":[276],"4).":[278],"Our":[279],"demonstrate":[281],"influence":[283],"pragmatics":[285],"(a)":[287],"(b)":[294]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2020-03-27T00:00:00"}
