{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3009178679","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","title":"Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability","display_name":"Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3009178679","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","mag":"3009178679"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3556506","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018691917","display_name":"Lucrezia Reichlin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0576-3747","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0576-3747"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I132053463","display_name":"Universit\u00e9 Libre de Bruxelles","ror":"https://ror.org/01r9htc13","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I132053463"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I153515283","display_name":"European Central Bank","ror":"https://ror.org/00ajckn66","country_code":"DE","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1320481043","https://openalex.org/I153515283"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210140326","display_name":"Centre for Economic Policy Research","ror":"https://ror.org/04jzmdh37","country_code":"GB","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210140326"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I61544103","display_name":"London Business School","ror":"https://ror.org/001c2sn75","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124357947","https://openalex.org/I61544103"]}],"countries":["BE","DE","GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Lucrezia Reichlin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), London, United Kingdom","European Central Bank (ECB), Sonnemannstrasse 22, Frankfurt am Main, 60314, Germany","London Business School, Sussex Place, Regent's Park, London, London NW1 4SA, United Kingdom","Universit\u00e9 Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES), Ave. Franklin D Roosevelt, 50 - C.P. 114, Brussels, B-1050, Belgium","London Business School"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), London, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210140326"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"European Central Bank (ECB), Sonnemannstrasse 22, Frankfurt am Main, 60314, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I153515283"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"London Business School, Sussex Place, Regent's Park, London, London NW1 4SA, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I61544103"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universit\u00e9 Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES), Ave. Franklin D Roosevelt, 50 - C.P. 114, Brussels, B-1050, Belgium","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I132053463"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"London Business School","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I61544103"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063187438","display_name":"G. Ricco","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9111-1133","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9111-1133"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205092303","display_name":"Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris","ror":"https://ror.org/05fe7ax82","country_code":"FR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205092303"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39555362","display_name":"University of Warwick","ror":"https://ror.org/01a77tt86","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39555362"]}],"countries":["FR","GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Giovanni Ricco","raw_affiliation_strings":["SciencesPo - OFCE, 69 Quai d'Orsay, Paris 75004, France","University of Warwick - Department of Economics, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom","Observatoire fran\u00e7ais des conjonctures \u00e9conomiques (Sciences Po)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"SciencesPo - OFCE, 69 Quai d'Orsay, Paris 75004, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205092303"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Warwick - Department of Economics, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39555362"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Observatoire fran\u00e7ais des conjonctures \u00e9conomiques (Sciences Po)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205092303"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5007859940","display_name":"Thomas Hasenzagl","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Thomas Hasenzagl","raw_affiliation_strings":["Now-Casting Economics, 58 Marylebone High Street, London, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Now-Casting Economics, 58 Marylebone High Street, London, United Kingdom","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":4,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5018691917"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I132053463","https://openalex.org/I153515283","https://openalex.org/I4210140326","https://openalex.org/I61544103"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":40,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.3359000086784363,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.3359000086784363,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10503","display_name":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","score":0.2712000012397766,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10127","display_name":"Banking stability, regulation, efficiency","score":0.14710000157356262,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-situation","display_name":"financial conditions","score":0.8180000185966492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-risk","display_name":"macroeconomic risk","score":0.8199999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/credit-spreads","display_name":"credit spreads","score":0.7609999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile-regression","display_name":"quantile regression","score":0.6940000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/semi-structural-model","display_name":"semi-structural model","score":0.9570000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business-cycles","display_name":"business cycles","score":0.5920000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/2008-recession","display_name":"2008 recession","score":0.8709999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-stability","display_name":"financial stability","score":0.3970000147819519}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95713431","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q631425","display_name":"Vulnerability (computing)","level":2,"score":0.6947152614593506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.4552816152572632},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.3998349905014038},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.36857128143310547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.13178828358650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.10675132274627686}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":10,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3556506","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:lbsresearch.london.edu:1389","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://lbsresearch.london.edu/view/lbs_authors/0a7f1a10cfb28a7b03d78b2ec35ee6cd.html>,","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400580","display_name":"London Business School Research Online (London Business School)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I61544103","host_organization_name":"London Business School","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I61544103"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Monograph"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:fce:doctra:2006","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/pdf/dtravail/OFCEWP2020-06.pdf","pdf_url":"https://www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/pdf/dtravail/OFCEWP2020-06.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4nn4ojjkth8qe9ci5b0hpu7ala","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/4nn4ojjkth8qe9ci5b0hpu7ala/resources/2020-reichlin-financial-variables-as-predictors-of-real-growth-vulnerability.pdf","pdf_url":"https://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/4nn4ojjkth8qe9ci5b0hpu7ala/resources/2020-reichlin-financial-variables-as-predictors-of-real-growth-vulnerability.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:zbw:bubdps:052020","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/214829/1/169219531X.pdf","pdf_url":"https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/214829/1/169219531X.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032069042","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.bundesbank.de/resource/blob/827682/3deb1560a27f63fe08d2f60628eb7636/mL/2020-03-05-dkp-05-data.pdf","pdf_url":"https://www.bundesbank.de/resource/blob/827682/3deb1560a27f63fe08d2f60628eb7636/mL/2020-03-05-dkp-05-data.pdf","source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-03403077v1","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03403077","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"2020","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03403077","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03403077/document","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:econstor.eu:10419/214829","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10419/214829","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401696","display_name":"Econstor (Econstor)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"doc-type:workingPaper"},{"id":"pmh:oai:spire.sciencespo.fr:2441/4nn4ojjkth8qe9ci5b0hpu7ala","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/4nn4ojjkth8qe9ci5b0hpu7ala","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400285","display_name":"SPIRE (Sciences Po)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205092303","host_organization_name":"Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205092303"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3556506","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556506","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.48510000109672546,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7113329916","https://openalex.org/W3038255025","https://openalex.org/W4214554978","https://openalex.org/W2887614454","https://openalex.org/W7113690104","https://openalex.org/W3121181914","https://openalex.org/W3121976874","https://openalex.org/W3119398145","https://openalex.org/W7112017740","https://openalex.org/W4387058279"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}