{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3007052498","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","title":"Extension of the Elo rating system to margin of victory","display_name":"Extension of the Elo rating system to margin of victory","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-02-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3007052498","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","mag":"3007052498"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39841227","display_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","issn_l":"0169-2070","issn":["0169-2070","1872-8200"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5037297478","display_name":"Stephanie Ann Kovalchik","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9652-564X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9652-564X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Stephanie Kovalchik","raw_affiliation_strings":["Zelus Analytics, Austin, TX, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Zelus Analytics, Austin, TX, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5037297478"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"],"apc_list":{"value":1200,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1200},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":7.4368,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":66,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.97207153,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":98,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"36","issue":"4","first_page":"1329","last_page":"1341"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0003000000142492354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10157","display_name":"Sports Performance and Training","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2732","display_name":"Orthopedics and Sports Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/elo-rating","display_name":"Elo rating","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/margin-of-victory","display_name":"margin of victory","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/men-s-tennis","display_name":"men's tennis","score":0.640999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/multiplicative-model","display_name":"multiplicative model","score":0.906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/logistic-model","display_name":"logistic model","score":0.9789999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rating-bias","display_name":"rating bias","score":0.5099999904632568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-calibration","display_name":"model calibration","score":0.5099999904632568}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C774472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6760393","display_name":"Margin (machine learning)","level":2,"score":0.7112811207771301},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127576917","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q624630","display_name":"Competitor analysis","level":2,"score":0.6137069463729858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988118254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16881889","display_name":"Rating system","level":2,"score":0.5790126919746399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5574905276298523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778029271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5421931","display_name":"Extension (predicate logic)","level":2,"score":0.5423451662063599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177264268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1514741","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","level":2,"score":0.4965696930885315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196083921","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915758","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","level":2,"score":0.4943978786468506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42747912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1048447","display_name":"Multiplicative function","level":2,"score":0.4747505486011505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779220109","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q50000","display_name":"Victory","level":3,"score":0.44905024766921997},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45357846","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2001982","display_name":"Notation","level":2,"score":0.44359737634658813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.436212956905365},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.38902777433395386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3743441104888916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3062129020690918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.15314269065856934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.1517634391784668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121955636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4116214","display_name":"Accounting","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134560507","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q753291","display_name":"Environmental economics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94375191","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11205","display_name":"Arithmetic","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.006","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39841227","display_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","issn_l":"0169-2070","issn":["0169-2070","1872-8200"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:4:p:1329-1341","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207020300157","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":32,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W89219332","https://openalex.org/W145389352","https://openalex.org/W1587022413","https://openalex.org/W1597864774","https://openalex.org/W1603864621","https://openalex.org/W1767217354","https://openalex.org/W1964501428","https://openalex.org/W1978838390","https://openalex.org/W2004691942","https://openalex.org/W2028508599","https://openalex.org/W2057231701","https://openalex.org/W2063948020","https://openalex.org/W2074152770","https://openalex.org/W2074184241","https://openalex.org/W2081606141","https://openalex.org/W2083813456","https://openalex.org/W2087836112","https://openalex.org/W2088165332","https://openalex.org/W2112428422","https://openalex.org/W2118068355","https://openalex.org/W2156318148","https://openalex.org/W2162185655","https://openalex.org/W2163069059","https://openalex.org/W2254152374","https://openalex.org/W2336677943","https://openalex.org/W2474802146","https://openalex.org/W2565423517","https://openalex.org/W2582743722","https://openalex.org/W2770488587","https://openalex.org/W2782357904","https://openalex.org/W3197833346","https://openalex.org/W4242187988"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3094362486","https://openalex.org/W3120489186","https://openalex.org/W4211060274","https://openalex.org/W3211957373","https://openalex.org/W4414889880","https://openalex.org/W2785504886","https://openalex.org/W4382515092","https://openalex.org/W4402369906","https://openalex.org/W7062703166","https://openalex.org/W7214790237"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":7}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2020-03-06T00:00:00"}
