{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2993830955","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","title":"Disaggregated Short-Term Inflation Forecast (STIF) for Monetary Policy Decision in Sierra Leone","display_name":"Disaggregated Short-Term Inflation Forecast (STIF) for Monetary Policy Decision in Sierra Leone","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2993830955","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","mag":"2993830955"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","pdf_url":"https://armgpublishing.sumdu.edu.ua/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/4-2.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210202026","display_name":"Financial Markets Institutions and Risks","issn_l":"2521-1242","issn":["2521-1242","2521-1250"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310322296","host_organization_name":"ARMG Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310322296","https://openalex.org/P4310322434"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["ARMG Publishing","Sumy State University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://armgpublishing.sumdu.edu.ua/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/4-2.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043586898","display_name":"Emerson Abraham Jackson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2802-6152","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2802-6152"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"E.A. Jackson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Model Building and Analysis Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2802-6152","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Model Building and Analysis Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053680523","display_name":"Edmund Chijeh Eric Tamuke","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-6541","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-6541"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"E. Tamuke","raw_affiliation_strings":["Model Building and Analysis Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","Research Economist, Model Building and Analysis Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Model Building and Analysis Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Economist, Model Building and Analysis Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080845039","display_name":"Mohamed N. Jabbie","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9082-6524","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9082-6524"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. Jabbie","raw_affiliation_strings":["Balance of Payment Analysis & External Relations Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","Research Economist, Balance of Payment Analysis & External Relations Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Balance of Payment Analysis & External Relations Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Economist, Balance of Payment Analysis & External Relations Section, Bank of Sierra Leone, Sierra Leone, West Africa","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.8536,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91915444,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"3","issue":"4","first_page":"32","last_page":"48"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9916999936103821,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9916999936103821,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.007300000172108412,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11059","display_name":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","score":0.0005000000237487257,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/consumer-price-index","display_name":"consumer price index","score":0.8130000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monetary-policy","display_name":"monetary policy","score":0.7940000295639038},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fan-charts","display_name":"fan charts","score":0.6549999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-risk","display_name":"inflation risk","score":0.5839999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/price-transmission","display_name":"price transmission","score":0.5249999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sierra-leone","display_name":"Sierra Leone","score":0.734000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-uncertainty","display_name":"inflation uncertainty","score":0.32600000500679016}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018567284","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1044","display_name":"Sierra leone","level":2,"score":0.7632973790168762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6507920026779175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126285488","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178476","display_name":"Monetary policy","level":2,"score":0.6236884593963623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200941418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273508","display_name":"Inflation (cosmology)","level":2,"score":0.5959753394126892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.5220032334327698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91602232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q756115","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","level":2,"score":0.4587988257408142},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.43548861145973206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.35931915044784546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100001284","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2248246","display_name":"Public economics","level":1,"score":0.3234999179840088},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.309226393699646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47768531","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1127188","display_name":"Development economics","level":1,"score":0.16164925694465637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.08009979128837585},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33332235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18362","display_name":"Theoretical physics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":7,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","pdf_url":"https://armgpublishing.sumdu.edu.ua/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/4-2.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210202026","display_name":"Financial Markets Institutions and Risks","issn_l":"2521-1242","issn":["2521-1242","2521-1250"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310322296","host_organization_name":"ARMG Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310322296","https://openalex.org/P4310322434"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["ARMG Publishing","Sumy State University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.3466172","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3466172","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3466172","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai::96735","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/96735/1/MPRA_paper_96735.pdf","pdf_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/96735/1/MPRA_paper_96735.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400553","display_name":"Munich Personal RePEc Archive (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I8204097","host_organization_name":"Ludwig-Maximilians-Universit\u00e4t M\u00fcnchen","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I8204097"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"MPRA Paper"},{"id":"pmh:oai:essuir.sumdu.edu.ua:123456789/76803","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/76803","pdf_url":"https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/bitstream/123456789/76803/1/Jackson_Disaggregated_Short_Term.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400377","display_name":"Electronic Sumy State University Institutional Repository (Sumy State University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I25822123","host_organization_name":"Sumy State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I25822123"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:blg:reveco:v:71:y:2019:i:3:p:31-53","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://economice.ulbsibiu.ro/revista.economica/archive/71303jackson&tamuke&jabbie.pdf","pdf_url":"http://economice.ulbsibiu.ro/revista.economica/archive/71303jackson&tamuke&jabbie.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:pra:mprapa:96735","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/96735/1/MPRA_paper_96735.pdf","pdf_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/96735/1/MPRA_paper_96735.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"mag:3122066423","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/pramprapa/96735.htm","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21272/fmir.3(4).32-48.2019","pdf_url":"https://armgpublishing.sumdu.edu.ua/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/4-2.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210202026","display_name":"Financial Markets Institutions and Risks","issn_l":"2521-1242","issn":["2521-1242","2521-1250"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["doaj","erih-plus","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310322296","host_organization_name":"ARMG Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310322296","https://openalex.org/P4310322434"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["ARMG Publishing","Sumy State University"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2993830955.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2993830955.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":33,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W48990046","https://openalex.org/W1514565673","https://openalex.org/W1538415063","https://openalex.org/W1578521775","https://openalex.org/W1581415152","https://openalex.org/W1594179482","https://openalex.org/W1605024120","https://openalex.org/W1941995754","https://openalex.org/W2023363243","https://openalex.org/W2024011340","https://openalex.org/W2164626947","https://openalex.org/W2253744545","https://openalex.org/W2275413729","https://openalex.org/W2286786698","https://openalex.org/W2470241654","https://openalex.org/W2485635153","https://openalex.org/W2573258508","https://openalex.org/W2797271265","https://openalex.org/W2898160013","https://openalex.org/W2929618345","https://openalex.org/W2949242762","https://openalex.org/W2956138081","https://openalex.org/W2972489328","https://openalex.org/W3003732775","https://openalex.org/W3006354532","https://openalex.org/W3123305371","https://openalex.org/W3124657257","https://openalex.org/W3174808968","https://openalex.org/W4229539396","https://openalex.org/W4233117719","https://openalex.org/W4312386617","https://openalex.org/W6602012858","https://openalex.org/W6677096361"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3127757991","https://openalex.org/W4411535486","https://openalex.org/W7117640513","https://openalex.org/W3010765735","https://openalex.org/W2079161403","https://openalex.org/W1837660174","https://openalex.org/W3045663881","https://openalex.org/W3122059935","https://openalex.org/W3006354532","https://openalex.org/W4401513315"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"this":[1,62,84,157],"paper,":[2],"the":[3,41,49,79,94,108,152,163,195,209,220,230,235,252],"researchers":[4],"have":[5,179],"developed":[6],"a":[7,75],"short":[8],"term":[9],"inflation":[10,22],"forecasting":[11],"(STIF)":[12],"model":[13,30,165],"using":[14],"Box-Jenkins":[15],"time":[16],"series":[17],"approach":[18],"(ARIMA)":[19],"for":[20,36,67],"analysing":[21],"and":[23,116,120],"associated":[24],"risks":[25,90],"in":[26,58,74,151,166,224,251],"Sierra":[27,59,111,132],"Leone.":[28],"The":[29,81,154,198],"is":[31,86,186,201],"aided":[32],"with":[33,139,226],"fan":[34],"charts":[35],"all":[37],"thirteen":[38],"components,":[39,96],"including":[40],"Headline":[42],"CPI":[43,221],"as":[44],"communication":[45],"tools":[46],"to":[47,70,77,91,202,245],"inform":[48],"general":[50],"public":[51],"about":[52],"uncertainties":[53],"that":[54,124,234],"surround":[55],"price":[56,213,249],"dynamics":[57,250],"Leone":[60,112,133],"\u2013":[61,223],"then":[63],"make":[64],"it":[65],"possible":[66],"policy":[68,105,168,174],"makers":[69,106],"utilise":[71],"expert":[72],"judgments":[73],"bid":[76],"stabilize":[78],"economy.":[80,254],"uniqueness":[82,161],"of":[83,89,93,101,110,131,143,156,162,183,219,237],"paper":[85],"its":[87],"interpretation":[88],"each":[92],"disaggregated":[95,164],"while":[97,207],"also":[98,180,232],"improving":[99],"credibility":[100],"decisions":[102],"taken":[103],"by":[104],"at":[107,149,208],"Bank":[109],"[BSL].":[113],"Empirically,":[114],"Food":[115],"Non-Alcoholic":[117],"Beverages,":[118],"Housing":[119],"Health":[121],"components":[122],"indicate":[123],"shock":[125],"arising":[126],"from":[127,194,229],"within":[128],"or":[129],"outside":[130],"can":[134],"significantly":[135],"impact":[136],"headline":[137],"CPI,":[138],"immediate":[140],"pass-through":[141],"effect":[142],"high":[144],"prices":[145],"on":[146,188,248],"consumers\u2019":[147],"spending,":[148],"least":[150],"short-run.":[153],"outcome":[155,228],"empirical":[158,217],"research":[159],"shows":[160,192,233],"tailoring":[167],"makers\u2019":[169],"attention":[170],"towards":[171],"targeting":[172],"sector-specific":[173],"interventions.":[175],"Fan":[176],"Charts":[177],"produced":[178],"highlighted":[181],"degree":[182],"risks,":[184],"which":[185,191],"based":[187],"confidence":[189],"bands,":[190],"deviation":[193],"baseline":[196],"forecast.":[197],"ultimate":[199],"goal":[200],"improve":[203],"sectoral":[204],"productive":[205],"capacity,":[206],"same":[210],"time,":[211],"monitoring":[212],"volatility":[214],"spill-over":[215],"through":[216],"disaggregation":[218],"basket":[222],"association":[225],"this,":[227],"study":[231],"use":[236],"multivariate":[238],"models":[239],"like":[240],"VAR":[241],"would":[242],"be":[243],"welcome":[244],"monitor":[246],"events":[247],"national":[253]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2019-12-13T00:00:00"}
