{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2977933150","doi":null,"title":"Testing human use of probability in a visuo-motor conjunction task.","display_name":"Testing human use of probability in a visuo-motor conjunction task.","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2977933150","mag":"2977933150"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org:ark:/13030/qt40f5c4vc","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/40f5c4vc","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, vol 41, iss 0","raw_type":"article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110504394","display_name":"Laurence T. Maloney","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7854-3901","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7854-3901"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Laurence T. Maloney","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100390261","display_name":"Jin-Soo Kim","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2708-8458","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2708-8458"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jin-Soo Kim","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2708-8458","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073762436","display_name":"Keiji Ota","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3982-7534","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3982-7534"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Keiji Ota","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3982-7534","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.11988672,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"3523","last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9199000000953674,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9199000000953674,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10982","display_name":"Motor Control and Adaptation","score":0.040800001472234726,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2805","display_name":"Cognitive Neuroscience"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/28","display_name":"Neuroscience"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10427","display_name":"Visual perception and processing mechanisms","score":0.019200000911951065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2805","display_name":"Cognitive Neuroscience"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/28","display_name":"Neuroscience"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-judgment","display_name":"probability judgment","score":0.7730000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conjunction-fallacy","display_name":"conjunction fallacy","score":0.7450000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/binomial-sampling","display_name":"binomial sampling","score":0.8999999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/visuomotor-task","display_name":"visuomotor task","score":0.6859999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/target-size","display_name":"target size","score":0.6710000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/numerosity","display_name":"numerosity","score":0.5929999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-making-under-uncertainty","display_name":"decision making under uncertainty","score":0.6430000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ideal-observer","display_name":"ideal observer","score":0.6159999966621399}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C59656382","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q191536","display_name":"Conjunction (astronomy)","level":2,"score":0.9019087553024292},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780451532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759676","display_name":"Task (project management)","level":2,"score":0.5581487417221069},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4625610113143921},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99508421","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2678675","display_name":"Physical medicine and rehabilitation","level":1,"score":0.34620749950408936},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.3346964716911316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180747234","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23373","display_name":"Cognitive psychology","level":1,"score":0.3219546675682068},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.13719013333320618},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.10341426730155945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.03850275278091431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org:ark:/13030/qt40f5c4vc","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/40f5c4vc","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, vol 41, iss 0","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"mag:2977933150","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://dblp.uni-trier.de/db/conf/cogsci/cogsci2019.html#MaloneyKO19","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S78735424","display_name":"Cognitive Science","issn_l":"0364-0213","issn":["0364-0213","1551-6709"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Cognitive Science","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2009200627","https://openalex.org/W1576271013","https://openalex.org/W2786720859","https://openalex.org/W3141128893","https://openalex.org/W2563905063","https://openalex.org/W2564083020","https://openalex.org/W2093787645","https://openalex.org/W2018366641","https://openalex.org/W3135713845","https://openalex.org/W1985343069"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"People":[0],"overestimate":[1],"the":[2,62,72,83,91,94,111],"conjunctive":[3,13,84],"probability":[4,112],"of":[5,32,35,57,93,113,116,129],"independent":[6],"events":[7],"(Bar":[8],"Hillel,":[9],"1973).":[10],"We":[11,105],"examined":[12],"per-formance":[14],"in":[15,135],"a":[16,51],"task":[17],"involving":[18],"motor":[19],"uncertainty":[20,36],"and":[21,55,82,90],"binomial":[22],"sampling.":[23],"Human":[24],"probabilistic":[25],"judgment":[26],"is":[27],"typically":[28],"near-optimal":[29],"with":[30],"either":[31],"these":[33],"sources":[34],"alone.":[37],"Four":[38],"subjects":[39],"attempted":[40],"to":[41,46,109,119],"earn":[42],"rewards":[43],"by":[44],"reaching":[45],"circulartargets.":[47],"They":[48],"chose":[49,79],"between":[50,80],"single":[52,63],"smaller":[53],"target":[54,64],"one":[56,70],"N":[58,73,89,134],"larger":[59,74],"targets.":[60,95],"Hitting":[61],"always":[65],"earned":[66],"areward":[67],"but":[68],"only":[69],"on":[71],"targets":[75,115],"was":[76],"rewarded:":[77],"they":[78],"P[Smaller]":[81,103],"probability(1/N)*P[Larger]":[85],"as":[86],"we":[87],"varied":[88],"sizes":[92,118],"The":[96],"ideal":[97],"observer":[98],"should":[99],"be":[100],"indifferent":[101],"when":[102],"=(1/N)*P[Larger].":[104],"also":[106],"asked":[107],"observers":[108,131],"estimate":[110],"hitting":[114],"different":[117],"verify":[120],"that":[121],"theycould":[122],"do":[123],"so":[124],"accurately.":[125],"Remarkably,":[126],"three":[127],"out":[128],"four":[130],"ignored":[132],"numerosity":[133],"their":[136],"preferences.":[137]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2019-10-10T00:00:00"}