{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2969490309","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","title":"Forecasted Size of Measles Outbreaks Associated With Vaccination Exemptions for Schoolchildren","display_name":"Forecasted Size of Measles Outbreaks Associated With Vaccination Exemptions for Schoolchildren","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-08-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2969490309","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","mag":"2969490309","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31433482","pmcid":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/6707017"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","pdf_url":"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/articlepdf/2748595/sinclair_2019_oi_190383.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210217848","display_name":"JAMA Network Open","issn_l":"2574-3805","issn":["2574-3805"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-1","oarl","poland-20","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320259","host_organization_name":"American Medical Association","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320259"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Medical Association"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"JAMA Network Open","raw_type":"journal-article"},"parent_works":[],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W2969490309"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","datacite","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/articlepdf/2748595/sinclair_2019_oi_190383.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064947833","display_name":"David R. Sinclair","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3468-7475","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3468-7475"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"David R. Sinclair","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5066154658","display_name":"John J. Grefenstette","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6180-5177","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6180-5177"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"John J. Grefenstette","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050711186","display_name":"Mary G. Krauland","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1548-6221","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1548-6221"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mary G. Krauland","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"David D. Galloway","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David D. Galloway","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039320558","display_name":"Robert J. Frankeny","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert J. Frankeny","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051947686","display_name":"Clayton Travis","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1302094580","display_name":"American Academy of Pediatrics","ror":"https://ror.org/0512xad50","country_code":"US","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1302094580"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Clayton Travis","raw_affiliation_strings":["Texas Pediatric Society, the Texas Chapter of the American Academy of Pediatrics, Austin"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Texas Pediatric Society, the Texas Chapter of the American Academy of Pediatrics, Austin","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1302094580"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112420205","display_name":"Donald S. Burke","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5704-8094","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5704-8094"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Donald S. Burke","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043740961","display_name":"Mark S. Roberts","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8277-0425","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8277-0425"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mark S. Roberts","raw_affiliation_strings":["Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5064947833"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"],"apc_list":{"value":3000,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3000},"apc_paid":{"value":3000,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3000},"fwci":6.0347,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":52,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9716209,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"2","issue":"8","first_page":"e199768","last_page":"e199768"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11135","display_name":"Virology and Viral Diseases","score":0.6201000213623047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11135","display_name":"Virology and Viral Diseases","score":0.6201000213623047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10833","display_name":"Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy","score":0.20739999413490295,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3306","display_name":"Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.11460000276565552,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2604","display_name":"Applied Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/measles","display_name":"measles","score":0.7580000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vaccine-exemptions","display_name":"vaccine exemptions","score":0.7649999856948853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/measles-transmission","display_name":"measles transmission","score":0.6869999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/unvaccinated-children","display_name":"unvaccinated children","score":0.7850000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/measles-elimination","display_name":"measles elimination","score":0.3619999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vaccine-refusal","display_name":"vaccine refusal","score":0.40799999237060547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agent-based-modeling","display_name":"agent-based modeling","score":0.5860000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/texas","display_name":"Texas","score":0.4339999854564667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/herd-immunity","display_name":"herd immunity","score":0.5130000114440918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/school-based-vaccination-programs","display_name":"school-based vaccination programs","score":0.3160000145435333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vaccination-coverage-decline","display_name":"vaccination coverage decline","score":0.3440000116825104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outbreak-forecasting","display_name":"outbreak forecasting","score":0.5},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/metropolitan-areas","display_name":"metropolitan areas","score":0.48500001430511475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/austin","display_name":"Austin","score":0.48100000619888306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dallas-texas","display_name":"Dallas","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/houston","display_name":"Houston","score":0.5889999866485596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/san-antonio-texas","display_name":"San Antonio, Texas","score":0.8510000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/el-paso-texas","display_name":"El Paso","score":0.7149999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/corpus-christi","display_name":"Corpus Christi","score":0.6019999980926514}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776438120","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q79793","display_name":"Measles","level":3,"score":0.8073425889015198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22070199","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192995","display_name":"Vaccination","level":2,"score":0.7742458581924438},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.7255756855010986},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158739034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1907114","display_name":"Metropolitan area","level":2,"score":0.7242298126220703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.569468080997467},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.5246734023094177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.5033838152885437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.3721989691257477},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.19144633412361145},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000073887","descriptor_name":"Vaccination Coverage","qualifier_ui":"Q000331","qualifier_name":"legislation & jurisprudence","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000073887","descriptor_name":"Vaccination Coverage","qualifier_ui":"Q000639","qualifier_name":"trends","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D000293","descriptor_name":"Adolescent","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002648","descriptor_name":"Child","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002675","descriptor_name":"Child, Preschool","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008457","descriptor_name":"Measles","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008457","descriptor_name":"Measles","qualifier_ui":"Q000517","qualifier_name":"prevention & control","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008457","descriptor_name":"Measles","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008458","descriptor_name":"Measles Vaccine","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012574","descriptor_name":"Schools","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013781","descriptor_name":"Texas","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014504","descriptor_name":"Urban Health","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":6,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","pdf_url":"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/articlepdf/2748595/sinclair_2019_oi_190383.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210217848","display_name":"JAMA Network Open","issn_l":"2574-3805","issn":["2574-3805"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-1","oarl","poland-20","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320259","host_organization_name":"American Medical Association","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320259"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Medical Association"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"JAMA Network Open","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:europepmc.org:5686471","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/6707017","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400806","display_name":"Europe PMC (PubMed Central)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1303153112","host_organization_name":"European Bioinformatics Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1303153112"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmid:31433482","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31433482","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"JAMA network open","raw_type":"Journal Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:6707017","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6707017/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"JAMA Netw Open","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"doi:10.25405/ncl.34544364","doi":"https://doi.org/10.25405/ncl.34544364","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.25405/ncl.34544364","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402485","display_name":"Newcastle University ePrints (Newcastle Univesity)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I84884186","host_organization_name":"Newcastle University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I84884186"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"JournalArticle"},{"id":"doi:10.25405/ncl.34544364.v1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.25405/ncl.34544364.v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.25405/ncl.34544364.v1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402485","display_name":"Newcastle University ePrints (Newcastle Univesity)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I84884186","host_organization_name":"Newcastle University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I84884186"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"JournalArticle"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768","pdf_url":"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/articlepdf/2748595/sinclair_2019_oi_190383.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210217848","display_name":"JAMA Network Open","issn_l":"2574-3805","issn":["2574-3805"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-1","oarl","poland-20","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320259","host_organization_name":"American Medical Association","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320259"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["American Medical Association"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"JAMA Network Open","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.9391000270843506}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6015717554","display_name":"Computational Models of Infectious Disease Threats","funder_award_id":"U54GM088491","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332161","display_name":"National Institutes of Health","ror":"https://ror.org/01cwqze88"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04q48ey07"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2969490309.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2969490309.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":50,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W194395423","https://openalex.org/W1271672204","https://openalex.org/W1995395876","https://openalex.org/W2005685379","https://openalex.org/W2012151421","https://openalex.org/W2030378217","https://openalex.org/W2037962449","https://openalex.org/W2044276367","https://openalex.org/W2064000216","https://openalex.org/W2065069831","https://openalex.org/W2070320826","https://openalex.org/W2093517417","https://openalex.org/W2101234009","https://openalex.org/W2110114082","https://openalex.org/W2116891078","https://openalex.org/W2119157824","https://openalex.org/W2126181736","https://openalex.org/W2128911553","https://openalex.org/W2141438518","https://openalex.org/W2148029848","https://openalex.org/W2150704630","https://openalex.org/W2156537900","https://openalex.org/W2166066943","https://openalex.org/W2172051652","https://openalex.org/W2199055122","https://openalex.org/W2255683901","https://openalex.org/W2313301965","https://openalex.org/W2342249984","https://openalex.org/W2528482200","https://openalex.org/W2532835839","https://openalex.org/W2614015614","https://openalex.org/W2739313217","https://openalex.org/W2739789502","https://openalex.org/W2758307987","https://openalex.org/W2763759393","https://openalex.org/W2775190422","https://openalex.org/W2783826223","https://openalex.org/W2795682996","https://openalex.org/W2800857641","https://openalex.org/W2899955648","https://openalex.org/W2942382171","https://openalex.org/W2944328395","https://openalex.org/W2948984005","https://openalex.org/W3158987270","https://openalex.org/W4240338930","https://openalex.org/W4292675206","https://openalex.org/W4298214646","https://openalex.org/W6607913814","https://openalex.org/W6628392459","https://openalex.org/W6692372233"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3082672556","https://openalex.org/W7162878859","https://openalex.org/W4414345870","https://openalex.org/W4413935572","https://openalex.org/W7160994811","https://openalex.org/W4200386544","https://openalex.org/W4413273841","https://openalex.org/W2912229752","https://openalex.org/W3008627366"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Importance:":[0],"Vaccine":[1],"exemptions,":[2],"which":[3,230],"allow":[4,376],"unvaccinated":[5,24],"children":[6,25],"to":[7,86,112,176,227,238,272,316,375],"attend":[8],"school,":[9],"have":[10],"increased":[11],"by":[12,174],"a":[13,73,113,305,314,341,347,400],"factor":[14],"of":[15,23,29,36,45,53,76,106,119,136,141,160,192,199,215,244,247,303,331,334,350,390,405],"28":[16],"since":[17,277],"2003":[18],"in":[19,49,90,98,150,163,178,195,217,235,256,263,281,284,287,292,299,308,319,337,354,367,387,402],"Texas.":[20],"Geographic":[21],"clustering":[22],"facilitates":[26],"the":[27,33,43,80,91,99,102,134,139,158,212,241,245,265,273,300,325,388,403],"spread":[28],"measles":[30,46,88,120,258,278,378,407],"introductions,":[31],"but":[32,346],"potential":[34,301,320],"size":[35,302],"outbreaks":[37,234,249,276],"is":[38,231],"unclear.":[39],"Objective:":[40],"To":[41,156],"forecast":[42],"range":[44],"outbreak":[47,193,321],"sizes":[48,194],"each":[50,107,130,151,196],"metropolitan":[51,153,197,219,269,326],"area":[52,198],"Texas":[54,92,152,200,236,369],"at":[55,201],"2018":[56,103,202,209,293],"and":[57,65,101,125,133,188,203,267,359],"future":[58],"reduced":[59,173,204],"school":[60,109],"vaccination":[61,104,164,171,205,210,285,309,365],"rates.":[62,206],"Design,":[63],"Setting,":[64],"Participants:":[66],"An":[67],"agent-based":[68],"decision":[69],"analytical":[70],"model":[71],"using":[72],"synthetic":[74],"population":[75,131],"Texas,":[77],"derived":[78],"from":[79,225],"2010":[81],"US":[82,275],"Census,":[83],"was":[84,110,144,221,279,311],"used":[85],"simulate":[87],"transmission":[89],"population.":[93],"Real":[94],"schools":[95,179,288,370],"were":[96,121,127,168,294],"represented":[97],"simulations,":[100],"rate":[105,310],"real":[108],"applied":[111],"simulated":[114,148],"hypothetical":[115],"equivalent.":[116],"Single":[117],"cases":[118,216,262,335],"introduced,":[122],"daily":[123],"activities":[124],"interactions":[126],"modeled":[128],"for":[129,146,339],"member,":[132],"number":[135,214],"infections":[137],"over":[138],"course":[140],"9":[142],"months":[143],"counted":[145],"1000":[147],"runs":[149],"area.":[154,327],"Interventions:":[155],"determine":[157],"outcomes":[159],"further":[161],"decreases":[162,381],"coverage,":[165],"additional":[166],"simulations":[167],"performed":[169],"with":[170,180,233,254,289,296,313,384,399],"rates":[172,286,366],"1%":[175],"10%":[177],"populations":[181,291],"that":[182,364],"are":[183,371,382],"currently":[184,372],"undervaccinated.":[185],"Main":[186],"Outcomes":[187],"Measures:":[189],"Expected":[190],"distributions":[191],"Results:":[207],"At":[208],"rates,":[211],"median":[213],"large":[218,377,391,406],"areas":[220],"typically":[222],"small,":[223],"ranging":[224],"1":[226,255],"3":[228],"cases,":[229],"consistent":[232],"2006":[237],"2017.":[239],"However,":[240],"upper":[242],"limit":[243],"distribution":[246],"plausible":[248],"(the":[250],"95th":[251],"percentile,":[252],"associated":[253,295,312,383,398],"20":[257],"introductions)":[259],"exceeded":[260],"400":[261],"both":[264],"Austin":[266],"Dallas":[268],"areas,":[270],"similar":[271],"largest":[274],"eliminated":[280],"2000.":[282],"Decreases":[283],"undervaccinated":[290],"exponential":[297],"increases":[298,386],"outbreaks:":[304],"5%":[306],"decrease":[307,401],"40%":[315],"4000%":[317],"increase":[318],"size,":[322],"depending":[323],"on":[324],"A":[328],"mean":[329,348],"(SD)":[330,349],"64%":[332],"(11%)":[333,352],"occurred":[336,353],"students":[338],"whom":[340],"vaccine":[342,394],"had":[343],"been":[344],"refused,":[345],"36%":[351],"others":[355],"(ie,":[356],"bystanders).":[357],"Conclusions":[358],"Relevance:":[360],"This":[361],"study":[362],"suggests":[363],"some":[368],"low":[373],"enough":[374],"outbreaks.":[379,392,408],"Further":[380],"dramatic":[385],"probability":[389],"Limiting":[393],"exemptions":[395],"could":[396],"be":[397],"risk":[404]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-14T11:04:58.165337","created_date":"2019-08-29T00:00:00"}
