{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2913148083","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","title":"Mind the tail, or risk to fail","display_name":"Mind the tail, or risk to fail","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-02-27","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2913148083","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","mag":"2913148083"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S93284759","display_name":"Journal of Business Research","issn_l":"0148-2963","issn":["0148-2963","1873-7978"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Business Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/id/eprint/38181/1/Mind_the_tail_or_risk_to_fail.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5045636543","display_name":"Jairaj Gupta","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2380-8593","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2380-8593"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I79619799","display_name":"University of Birmingham","ror":"https://ror.org/03angcq70","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79619799"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jairaj Gupta","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Finance, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TY, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Finance, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TY, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I79619799"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060247645","display_name":"Sajid Mukhtar Chaudhry","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8769-8920","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8769-8920"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","display_name":"Aston University","ror":"https://ror.org/05j0ve876","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sajid Chaudhry","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Finance, Aston University, Birmingham B4 7ER, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Finance, Aston University, Birmingham B4 7ER, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5045636543"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I79619799"],"apc_list":{"value":2100,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2100},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":5.7307,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":25,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95251904,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"99","issue":null,"first_page":"167","last_page":"185"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11653","display_name":"Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction","score":0.6015999913215637,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11653","display_name":"Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction","score":0.6015999913215637,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12509","display_name":"Corporate Insolvency and Governance","score":0.28049999475479126,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10019","display_name":"Corporate Finance and Governance","score":0.03229999914765358,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tail-risk","display_name":"tail risk","score":0.9729999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-distress","display_name":"financial distress","score":0.8130000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value-at-risk","display_name":"value at risk","score":0.7379999756813049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-value-at-risk","display_name":"conditional value at risk","score":0.9200000166893005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stock-returns","display_name":"stock returns","score":0.6629999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bankruptcy","display_name":"bankruptcy","score":0.5049999952316284}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C504631918","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q152074","display_name":"Bankruptcy","level":2,"score":0.8474560976028442},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984760201","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1785212","display_name":"Financial distress","level":2,"score":0.6934952139854431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163428354","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1047513","display_name":"Cash flow","level":2,"score":0.6408634781837463},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199728807","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2578557","display_name":"Equity (law)","level":2,"score":0.6182327270507812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781426361","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5326940","display_name":"Earnings","level":2,"score":0.6092928647994995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120527767","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3196867","display_name":"Debt","level":2,"score":0.5317871570587158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.5041826963424683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4723083972930908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.423012912273407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.3909285366535187},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.33451664447784424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.2803463637828827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73283319","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1416617","display_name":"Financial system","level":1,"score":0.2546390891075134},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S93284759","display_name":"Journal of Business Research","issn_l":"0148-2963","issn":["0148-2963","1873-7978"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Business Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:publications.aston.ac.uk:38181","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/view/author/6d96d18f8bf22d0bac9ac83471697fb2.html>","pdf_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/id/eprint/38181/1/Mind_the_tail_or_risk_to_fail.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400483","display_name":"Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","host_organization_name":"Aston University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"mag:3125879634","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/id/eprint/37664/1/SSRN_id2847422.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400483","display_name":"Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","host_organization_name":"Aston University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University)","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:99:y:2019:i:c:p:167-185","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148296319301274","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.atira.dk:openaire_cris_publications/9414b676-8660-47da-a31d-67968d3061da","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.birmingham.ac.uk/en/publications/9414b676-8660-47da-a31d-67968d3061da","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402634","display_name":"University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I79619799","host_organization_name":"University of Birmingham","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79619799"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Gupta, J & Chaudhry, S 2019, 'Mind the tail, or risk to fail', Journal of Business Research, vol. 99, pp. 167-185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.02.037","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:publications.aston.ac.uk:38181","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/view/author/6d96d18f8bf22d0bac9ac83471697fb2.html>","pdf_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/id/eprint/38181/1/Mind_the_tail_or_risk_to_fail.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400483","display_name":"Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","host_organization_name":"Aston University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.4000000059604645,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2913148083.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2913148083.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":60,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W153354287","https://openalex.org/W276006551","https://openalex.org/W1532011672","https://openalex.org/W1562628026","https://openalex.org/W1595743797","https://openalex.org/W1602473279","https://openalex.org/W1852458464","https://openalex.org/W1966158196","https://openalex.org/W1970227236","https://openalex.org/W1971146953","https://openalex.org/W1980314087","https://openalex.org/W1991567646","https://openalex.org/W1991614114","https://openalex.org/W2000578291","https://openalex.org/W2008301397","https://openalex.org/W2012562345","https://openalex.org/W2019291268","https://openalex.org/W2038697562","https://openalex.org/W2048801439","https://openalex.org/W2056058019","https://openalex.org/W2059805900","https://openalex.org/W2083233882","https://openalex.org/W2097017827","https://openalex.org/W2101491743","https://openalex.org/W2105700709","https://openalex.org/W2113929764","https://openalex.org/W2117057914","https://openalex.org/W2124532504","https://openalex.org/W2152278349","https://openalex.org/W2161625377","https://openalex.org/W2164300676","https://openalex.org/W2187965655","https://openalex.org/W2232707789","https://openalex.org/W2318156506","https://openalex.org/W2522246765","https://openalex.org/W2598416999","https://openalex.org/W2626475703","https://openalex.org/W2952218158","https://openalex.org/W3121306919","https://openalex.org/W3121544997","https://openalex.org/W3121955125","https://openalex.org/W3122285298","https://openalex.org/W3122465838","https://openalex.org/W3122632517","https://openalex.org/W3122639747","https://openalex.org/W3122641096","https://openalex.org/W3122962631","https://openalex.org/W3123008345","https://openalex.org/W3123201237","https://openalex.org/W3123249034","https://openalex.org/W3123399361","https://openalex.org/W3123651056","https://openalex.org/W3124531146","https://openalex.org/W3124937548","https://openalex.org/W3125101120","https://openalex.org/W3125168868","https://openalex.org/W3125275455","https://openalex.org/W3125465136","https://openalex.org/W3125500648","https://openalex.org/W3126009762"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2528702059","https://openalex.org/W3164180365","https://openalex.org/W4385233750","https://openalex.org/W4320477569","https://openalex.org/W2183872682","https://openalex.org/W3123443645","https://openalex.org/W1543809772","https://openalex.org/W1585779100","https://openalex.org/W4406915238","https://openalex.org/W2547264518"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2019-02-21T00:00:00"}