{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2911564008","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1440-1703.1017","title":"A phenology model for tropical species that flower multiple times each year","display_name":"A phenology model for tropical species that flower multiple times each year","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2911564008","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1440-1703.1017","mag":"2911564008"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/1440-1703.1017","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1440-1703.1017","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1440-1703.1017","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S56956558","display_name":"Ecological Research","issn_l":"0912-3814","issn":["0912-3814","1440-1703"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072020402","display_name":"Stuart Joseph Wright","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4260-5676","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4260-5676"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I128212801","display_name":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/035jbxr46","country_code":"PA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103187081","https://openalex.org/I128212801"]}],"countries":["PA"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"S. Joseph Wright","raw_affiliation_strings":["Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I128212801"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112711187","display_name":"Osvaldo Calder\u00f3n","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I128212801","display_name":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/035jbxr46","country_code":"PA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103187081","https://openalex.org/I128212801"]}],"countries":["PA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Osvaldo Calder\u00f3n","raw_affiliation_strings":["Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I128212801"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001266193","display_name":"Helene C. Muller\u2010Landau","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3526-9021","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3526-9021"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I128212801","display_name":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/035jbxr46","country_code":"PA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103187081","https://openalex.org/I128212801"]}],"countries":["PA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Helene C. Muller\u2010Landau","raw_affiliation_strings":["Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I128212801"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5072020402"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I128212801"],"apc_list":{"value":3000,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3000},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.5528,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":27,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.88072722,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"34","issue":"1","first_page":"20","last_page":"29"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12618","display_name":"Botany and Plant Ecology Studies","score":0.47920000553131104,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1110","display_name":"Plant Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12618","display_name":"Botany and Plant Ecology Studies","score":0.47920000553131104,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1110","display_name":"Plant Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10266","display_name":"Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics","score":0.16349999606609344,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10005","display_name":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","score":0.12039999663829803,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/phenological-models","display_name":"phenological models","score":0.7250000238418579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-forest-plants","display_name":"tropical forest plants","score":0.5979999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flowering-probability","display_name":"flowering probability","score":0.7609999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dry-season-rainfall","display_name":"dry season rainfall","score":0.7450000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-phenology-relationships","display_name":"climate-phenology relationships","score":0.5080000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/barro-colorado-island","display_name":"Barro Colorado Island","score":0.8199999928474426}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C51417038","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q272737","display_name":"Phenology","level":2,"score":0.7759201526641846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108216600","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q511668","display_name":"Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests","level":2,"score":0.520202100276947},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C14168384","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16305538","display_name":"Subtropics","level":2,"score":0.4806157946586609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50660011","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42530","display_name":"Tropics","level":2,"score":0.48055437207221985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81461190","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q167466","display_name":"Temperate climate","level":2,"score":0.47816070914268494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4572271406650543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C52130261","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39825","display_name":"Census","level":3,"score":0.4466424882411957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.43727266788482666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4329833388328552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100537666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q893477","display_name":"Boreal","level":2,"score":0.42500829696655273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9777977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q146575","display_name":"Dry season","level":2,"score":0.4224355220794678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C92494378","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q845725","display_name":"Temperate rainforest","level":3,"score":0.4122255742549896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.39314791560173035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.22414502501487732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.11589619517326355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/1440-1703.1017","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1440-1703.1017","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1440-1703.1017","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S56956558","display_name":"Ecological Research","issn_l":"0912-3814","issn":["0912-3814","1440-1703"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Research","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306083","display_name":"Smithsonian Institution","ror":"https://ror.org/01pp8nd67"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332808","display_name":"Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/035jbxr46"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":34,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W599449902","https://openalex.org/W1964487731","https://openalex.org/W1986728768","https://openalex.org/W2005146844","https://openalex.org/W2008332956","https://openalex.org/W2030288186","https://openalex.org/W2037754648","https://openalex.org/W2040918258","https://openalex.org/W2041395671","https://openalex.org/W2046851328","https://openalex.org/W2073847902","https://openalex.org/W2084206917","https://openalex.org/W2126559941","https://openalex.org/W2166079210","https://openalex.org/W2167858849","https://openalex.org/W2177098778","https://openalex.org/W2180967415","https://openalex.org/W2271450344","https://openalex.org/W2293359720","https://openalex.org/W2315459369","https://openalex.org/W2318940174","https://openalex.org/W2319382276","https://openalex.org/W2324245851","https://openalex.org/W2333908816","https://openalex.org/W2560091342","https://openalex.org/W2582743722","https://openalex.org/W2611891293","https://openalex.org/W2736001429","https://openalex.org/W2739964856","https://openalex.org/W2806030034","https://openalex.org/W2806710355","https://openalex.org/W2807546740","https://openalex.org/W2915576121","https://openalex.org/W4388252783"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2148542520","https://openalex.org/W7214792760","https://openalex.org/W2735772974","https://openalex.org/W70073760","https://openalex.org/W2891380513","https://openalex.org/W2921379395","https://openalex.org/W2082335946","https://openalex.org/W4407929305","https://openalex.org/W7196945346","https://openalex.org/W2046851328"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Phenology":[1],"models":[2,20],"developed":[3],"for":[4,16,105,164],"temperate":[5],"and":[6,101,109],"boreal":[7],"plants":[8],"predict":[9,53],"a":[10,47,66,127],"single,":[11],"population\u2010level":[12],"first":[13],"flowering":[14,35,59,72,84,103],"date":[15],"each":[17,28],"year.":[18],"These":[19],"cannot":[21],"accommodate":[22],"species":[23,123],"that":[24,121],"flower":[25,124],"multiple":[26,57],"times":[27],"year":[29],"in":[30],"humid":[31,166],"tropical":[32,71,167],"forests":[33],"nor":[34],"data":[36],"with":[37,149],"census\u2010interval":[38],"rather":[39],"than":[40],"daily":[41,99],"temporal":[42],"resolution.":[43],"Here,":[44],"we":[45],"present":[46],"new":[48,157],"model":[49,94,137,145,158],"framework":[50,159],"able":[51],"to":[52],"the":[54,156],"timing":[55],"of":[56,98,141],"annual":[58],"events":[60,76],"from":[61,113],"census":[62,79],"data.":[63],"We":[64,91],"extend":[65],"recent":[67],"model,":[68],"which":[69],"predicted":[70,83],"probabilities":[73,85],"as":[74],"discrete":[75],"occurring":[77],"on":[78],"dates,":[80],"by":[81],"integrating":[82],"over":[86],"all":[87],"dates":[88],"between":[89],"censuses.":[90],"evaluate":[92],"our":[93],"against":[95],"29":[96],"years":[97],"climate":[100],"weekly":[102],"records":[104],"Hybanthus":[106],"prunifolius":[107],"(Violaceae)":[108],"Handroanthus":[110],"guayacan":[111],"(Bignoniaceae)":[112],"Barro":[114],"Colorado":[115],"Island,":[116],"Panama.":[117],"Previous":[118],"experiments":[119],"demonstrate":[120],"both":[122],"shortly":[125],"after":[126],"heavy,":[128],"dry\u2010season":[129],"rain":[130],"interrupts":[131],"an":[132],"extended":[133],"dry":[134],"period.":[135],"Our":[136],"captures":[138],"this":[139],"sequence":[140],"rainfall":[142],"events.":[143],"Best\u2010fit":[144],"parameters":[146],"are":[147],"consistent":[148],"previous":[150],"experimental":[151],"results.":[152],"This":[153],"match":[154],"suggests":[155],"will":[160],"provide":[161],"novel":[162],"insights":[163],"other":[165],"forest":[168],"species.":[169]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2019-02-21T00:00:00"}