{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2911160331","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","title":"Bus arrival time prediction algorithm based on Markov chain","display_name":"Bus arrival time prediction algorithm based on Markov chain","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2911160331","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","mag":"2911160331"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","pdf_url":"https://transcience.ru/index.php/MPRTC/article/download/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37/257","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210231300","display_name":"Modern Problems of Russian Transport Complex","issn_l":"2222-9396","issn":["2222-9396"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["erih-plus"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I142239120","host_organization_name":"Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Modern Problems of Russian Transport Complex","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://transcience.ru/index.php/MPRTC/article/download/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37/257","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103078604","display_name":"Yuan Tian","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7174-8898","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7174-8898"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yuan Tian","raw_affiliation_strings":["\u0425\u0430\u0440\u0431\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u0425\u0430\u0440\u0431\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032413279","display_name":"\u0420\u0430\u0445\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0433\u0443\u043b\u043e\u0432 \u0410\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0440 \u041d\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0435\u0432\u0438\u0447","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7862-4743","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7862-4743","https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1168-6725"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142239120","display_name":"Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/01ntwgd63","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Aleksandr Rakhmangulov","raw_affiliation_strings":["\u041c\u0430\u0433\u043d\u0438\u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0438\u043c. \u0413.\u0418. \u041d\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0432\u0430"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7862-4743","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u041c\u0430\u0433\u043d\u0438\u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0438\u043c. \u0413.\u0418. \u041d\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0432\u0430","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5006732163","display_name":"Dmitri Muravev","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1188-2072","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1188-2072"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142239120","display_name":"Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/01ntwgd63","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dmitri Muravev","raw_affiliation_strings":["Sc (Tech.) , Professor Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University , Russia","\u0428\u0430\u043d\u0445\u0430\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u0430"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sc (Tech.) , Professor Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University , Russia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u0428\u0430\u043d\u0445\u0430\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u0430","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5007367084","display_name":"Siqing Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2594-1531","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2594-1531","https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4396-4766"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Siqing Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["\u0425\u0430\u0440\u0431\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u0425\u0430\u0440\u0431\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"8","issue":"2","first_page":"29","last_page":"37"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.861299991607666,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.861299991607666,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11344","display_name":"Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques","score":0.12549999356269836,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13601","display_name":"Urban Transport Systems Analysis","score":0.003000000026077032,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2205","display_name":"Civil and Structural Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bus-arrival-time-prediction","display_name":"bus arrival time prediction","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-chains","display_name":"Markov chains","score":0.9049999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bus-travel-time","display_name":"bus travel time","score":0.7639999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-transport-service-quality","display_name":"public transport service quality","score":0.8479999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spatio-temporal-features","display_name":"spatio-temporal features","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/passenger-waiting-time","display_name":"passenger waiting time","score":0.8230000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tourism-planning","display_name":"tourism planning","score":0.8119999766349792}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539828613","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178512","display_name":"Public transport","level":2,"score":0.8363831639289856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6786134243011475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98763669","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov chain","level":2,"score":0.6581413745880127},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3017552255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4135208","display_name":"Arrival time","level":2,"score":0.6573002338409424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C5119721","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q220501","display_name":"Quality of service","level":2,"score":0.5334060192108154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C140781008","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1221081","display_name":"Service quality","level":3,"score":0.5299295783042908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2985733770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1233007","display_name":"Travel time","level":2,"score":0.516825258731842},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780378061","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25351891","display_name":"Service (business)","level":2,"score":0.5070686340332031},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79403827","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3988","display_name":"Real-time computing","level":1,"score":0.49148857593536377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779888511","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q244156","display_name":"Traffic congestion","level":2,"score":0.4878104031085968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22212356","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775325","display_name":"Transport engineering","level":1,"score":0.48531192541122437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.4486352801322937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779697334","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2878855","display_name":"Bus rapid transit","level":3,"score":0.4379117786884308},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778022998","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q651136","display_name":"Transit (satellite)","level":3,"score":0.4157427251338959},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.3433862328529358},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31258907","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1301371","display_name":"Computer network","level":1,"score":0.236032634973526},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1756545901298523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.12686669826507568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","pdf_url":"https://transcience.ru/index.php/MPRTC/article/download/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37/257","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210231300","display_name":"Modern Problems of Russian Transport Complex","issn_l":"2222-9396","issn":["2222-9396"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["erih-plus"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I142239120","host_organization_name":"Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Modern Problems of Russian Transport Complex","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"mag:2952615181","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/algoritm-prognozirovaniya-momentov-vremeni-pribytiya-gorodskih-passazhirskih-avtobusov-na-osnove-markovskih-tsepey/pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306540256","display_name":"\u0421\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043b\u0435\u043c\u044b \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0430 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"\u0421\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043b\u0435\u043c\u044b \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0430 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18503/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37","pdf_url":"https://transcience.ru/index.php/MPRTC/article/download/2222-9396-2018-8-2-29-37/257","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210231300","display_name":"Modern Problems of Russian Transport Complex","issn_l":"2222-9396","issn":["2222-9396"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["erih-plus"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I142239120","host_organization_name":"Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142239120"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Modern Problems of Russian Transport Complex","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","score":0.761900007724762,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"},{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":0.5378999710083008,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2911160331.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2911160331.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1998798635","https://openalex.org/W2009527558","https://openalex.org/W2026184121","https://openalex.org/W2039559615","https://openalex.org/W2106110155","https://openalex.org/W2126766519"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2952615181","https://openalex.org/W2373753338","https://openalex.org/W3127453947","https://openalex.org/W286027274","https://openalex.org/W2594443195","https://openalex.org/W2390190242","https://openalex.org/W2028793820","https://openalex.org/W4316663121","https://openalex.org/W2499346381","https://openalex.org/W650099466"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Developing":[0],"public":[1,25,50,82],"transport":[2,51],"is":[3,35,70,135,155,160],"an":[4],"effective":[5],"way":[6],"to":[7,22,76,124,162],"solve":[8],"traffic":[9],"congestion":[10],"and":[11,37,46,128,157],"improve":[12,114],"travel":[13,23,80,92,108,126],"efficiency.":[14],"Improving":[15],"bus":[16,32,57,62,67,91,107,119,144],"service":[17,52],"quality":[18,48,116],"can":[19,113],"attract":[20],"passengers":[21,43],"by":[24,81,137],"transport.":[26],"In":[27],"the":[28,31,38,47,65,88,97,102,106,115,118,122,130,138,152,158],"past,":[29],"as":[30],"arrival":[33,68],"time":[34,69,93],"unknown,":[36],"buses":[39],"often":[40,71],"arrive":[41],"inaccurate,":[42],"feel":[44],"anxious":[45],"of":[49,90,105,117,142],"declined.":[53],"Even":[54],"though":[55],"some":[56],"stations":[58],"equipped":[59],"with":[60],"electronic":[61],"stop":[63],"boards,":[64],"predicted":[66],"inaccurate.":[72],"Therefore,":[73],"in":[74,146],"order":[75],"convenient":[77],"for":[78],"people":[79],"transit,":[83],"this":[84],"paper":[85],"puts":[86],"forward":[87],"method":[89,112],"prediction":[94,111,153],"based":[95],"on":[96],"Markov":[98],"chain":[99],"which":[100],"considers":[101],"spatial-temporal":[103],"characteristics":[104],"time.":[109,132],"The":[110,133,148],"service,":[120],"help":[121],"travelers":[123],"make":[125],"planning":[127],"reduce":[129],"waiting":[131],"algorithm":[134,159],"verified":[136],"actual":[139],"operation":[140],"data":[141],"No.114":[143],"line":[145],"Harbin.":[147],"results":[149],"show":[150],"that":[151],"error":[154],"small,":[156],"easy":[161],"implement.":[163]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-05T12:25:35.769452","created_date":"2019-01-25T00:00:00"}
