{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2904095872","doi":null,"title":"Una aplicaci\u00f3n del modelo de Azbel para proyectar mortalidad","display_name":"Una aplicaci\u00f3n del modelo de Azbel para proyectar mortalidad","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-07-13","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2904095872","mag":"2904095872"},"language":"es","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2904095872","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/ReSAE/article/view/18571","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070188222","display_name":"Mar\u00eda Alejandra Metelli","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I24354313","display_name":"Universidad de Buenos Aires","ror":"https://ror.org/0081fs513","country_code":"AR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I24354313"]}],"countries":["AR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mar\u00eda Alejandra Metelli","raw_affiliation_strings":["FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS ECONOMICAS UBA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS ECONOMICAS UBA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24354313"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013513087","display_name":"Mar\u00eda Teresa Casparri","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mar\u00eda Teresa Casparri","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5106748925","display_name":"Mar\u00eda Carolina Artuso","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-9133","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-9133"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Carolina Artuso","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-9133","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"14","issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14374","display_name":"Statistical Methods in Epidemiology","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10968","display_name":"Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mortality-projections","display_name":"mortality projections","score":0.875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/life-tables","display_name":"life tables","score":0.8809999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/force-of-mortality","display_name":"force of mortality","score":0.8230000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.621999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/united-states-mortality","display_name":"United States mortality","score":0.8569999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sex-differences-in-mortality","display_name":"sex differences in mortality","score":0.5609999895095825}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15708023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q80083","display_name":"Humanities","level":1,"score":0.7509762048721313},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.5281714797019958}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2904095872","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/ReSAE/article/view/18571","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.504800021648407,"display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4386013550","https://openalex.org/W2740950230","https://openalex.org/W2610069456","https://openalex.org/W4253195603","https://openalex.org/W2407526321","https://openalex.org/W3096907120","https://openalex.org/W3094010321","https://openalex.org/W6945187597","https://openalex.org/W7133562139","https://openalex.org/W2904352477"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"En":[0],"diversas":[1],"circunstancias":[2],"los":[3,162,235,241],"actuarios":[4],"y":[5,136,158,204,226,244,284],"otros":[6],"profesionales":[7],"se":[8,120],"encuentran":[9],"con":[10,113,175],"la":[11,19,24,67,106,142,144,180,183,221,227,232,246],"necesidad":[12],"de":[13,21,58,60,97,101,109,115,155,178,182,185,192,197,208,220,224,234,240,248,250,255,258,271,281,290,299],"conocer,":[14],"no":[15],"solo":[16],"cual":[17,168],"es":[18,73,293],"fuerza":[20],"mortalidad":[22,59,110,181,225,272,300],"a":[23,78,141],"que":[25,66,119,286],"esta":[26],"sometida":[27],"una":[28,159,196,213],"poblacion":[29,184],"determinada":[30],"en":[31,46,53,70],"un":[32],"momento":[33],"dado":[34],"del":[35,83],"tiempo,":[36,251],"sino":[37],"tambien":[38],"conocer":[39,259],"su":[40],"evolucion":[41],"futura.":[42],"Por":[43,172,277],"dicho":[44,264,275],"motivo,":[45],"el":[47,54,124,176,206,217,287],"presente":[48],"trabajo":[49],"nos":[50],"propusimos":[51],"proyectar":[52],"tiempo":[55],"las":[56,116,198,269,297],"tablas":[57,96,117,199,270,292,298],"Argentina":[61],"para":[62,137,237,274,302],"ambos":[63],"sexos.":[64],"Dado":[65],"informacion\u00a0":[68],"disponible":[69,112],"nuestro":[71],"pais":[72],"escasa,":[74],"fue":[75,131],"necesario":[76],"recurrir":[77],"fuentes":[79],"externas.":[80],"Desde":[81],"principios":[82],"siglo":[84],"XX,":[85],"ano":[86,125],"tras":[87],"ano,":[88],"muchos":[89],"paises":[90],"han":[91,121],"venido":[92],"construyendo":[93],"sus":[94,260],"propias":[95],"mortalidad.":[98],"Haciendo":[99],"uso":[100,154,280],"dicha":[102,282],"informacion,":[103],"buscamos":[104],"vincular":[105],"ultima":[107],"tabla":[108],"local":[111],"alguna":[114],"norteamericanas":[118],"publicado":[122],"desde":[123],"1933":[126],"al":[127,153,190],"presente.":[128],"El":[129],"objetivo":[130,177],"encontrar":[132],"entre":[133,216],"todas":[134],"ellas":[135],"cada":[138,195,238],"sexo,":[139,203],"una\u00a0":[140],"cual,":[143],"nuestra":[145],"podria":[146,169],"ser":[147,170],"equivalente.":[148],"Para":[149,194],"ello,":[150],"hemos":[151,164,188,211,266],"recurrido":[152],"tests":[156],"estadisticos,":[157],"vez":[160,230],"completados":[161],"mismos":[163],"podido":[165,267],"decidir":[166],"por":[167,202],"reemplazada.":[171],"otro":[173],"lado,":[174],"analizar":[179],"Estados":[186],"Unidos,":[187],"utilizado":[189],"modelo":[191],"Azbel.":[193],"mencionadas":[200],"discriminadas":[201],"mediante":[205,245],"metodo":[207],"minimos":[209],"cuadrados,":[210],"realizado":[212],"regresion":[214],"lineal":[215],"logaritmo":[218],"natural":[219],"tasa":[222],"anual":[223],"edad.\u00a0":[228],"Una":[229],"obtenida":[231],"estimacion":[233],"parametros":[236],"uno":[239],"anos":[242],"involucrados,":[243],"utilizacion":[247],"series":[249],"estos":[252],"fueron":[253],"proyectados":[254],"manera":[256],"tal":[257],"valores":[261],"futuros.":[262],"Completado":[263],"proceso,":[265],"construir":[268],"venideras":[273],"pais.":[276],"ultimo,":[278],"haciendo":[279],"prediccion,":[283],"suponiendo":[285],"desarrollo":[288],"temporal":[289],"ambas":[291],"similar,":[294],"logramos":[295],"obtener":[296],"futuras":[301],"Argentina.":[303]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-13T10:08:12.033832","created_date":"2018-12-22T00:00:00"}