{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2886833779","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","title":"Certainty Is Primarily Determined by Past Performance During Concept Learning","display_name":"Certainty Is Primarily Determined by Past Performance During Concept Learning","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-08-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2886833779","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","mag":"2886833779"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/opmi_a_00017","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","pdf_url":"https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2488191322","display_name":"Open Mind","issn_l":"2470-2986","issn":["2470-2986"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-20","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Open Mind","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5074829490","display_name":"Louis Mart\u00ed","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7625-0052","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7625-0052"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I5388228","display_name":"University of Rochester","ror":"https://ror.org/022kthw22","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Louis Mart\u00ed","raw_affiliation_strings":["Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","Psychology, University of California, Berkeley"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Psychology, University of California, Berkeley","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011499563","display_name":"Francis Mollica","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1008-5397","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1008-5397"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I5388228","display_name":"University of Rochester","ror":"https://ror.org/022kthw22","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Francis Mollica","raw_affiliation_strings":["Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087201837","display_name":"Steven T. Piantadosi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5499-4168","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5499-4168"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I5388228","display_name":"University of Rochester","ror":"https://ror.org/022kthw22","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Steven Piantadosi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","Psychology, University of California, Berkeley"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Psychology, University of California, Berkeley","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085832456","display_name":"Celeste Kidd","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3167-1216","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3167-1216"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I5388228","display_name":"University of Rochester","ror":"https://ror.org/022kthw22","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Celeste Kidd","raw_affiliation_strings":["Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","Psychology, University of California, Berkeley"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Brain and Cognitive Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I5388228"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Psychology, University of California, Berkeley","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5074829490"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I5388228","https://openalex.org/I95457486"],"apc_list":{"value":950,"currency":"USD","value_usd":950},"apc_paid":{"value":950,"currency":"USD","value_usd":950},"fwci":1.9648,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":14,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.86893957,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"2","issue":"2","first_page":"47","last_page":"60"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12694","display_name":"Categorization, perception, and language","score":0.5181000232696533,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12694","display_name":"Categorization, perception, and language","score":0.5181000232696533,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.10350000113248825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10918","display_name":"Memory Processes and Influences","score":0.093299999833107,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2805","display_name":"Cognitive Neuroscience"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/28","display_name":"Neuroscience"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/subjective-certainty","display_name":"subjective certainty","score":0.8019999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/confidence-judgments","display_name":"confidence judgments","score":0.7279999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/concept-learning","display_name":"concept learning","score":0.9670000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/learning-curve","display_name":"learning curve","score":0.546999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/past-performance","display_name":"past performance","score":0.5669999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/metacognition","display_name":"metacognition","score":0.6710000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-inference","display_name":"Bayesian inference","score":0.5759999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/individual-differences","display_name":"individual differences","score":0.6269999742507935}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C7493553","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1520777","display_name":"Certainty","level":2,"score":0.9678083658218384},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.5964953303337097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180747234","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23373","display_name":"Cognitive psychology","level":1,"score":0.45735353231430054},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3858740031719208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.3413114547729492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.30629763007164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.17788547277450562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1162/opmi_a_00017","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","pdf_url":"https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2488191322","display_name":"Open Mind","issn_l":"2470-2986","issn":["2470-2986"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-20","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Open Mind","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.ed.ac.uk:openaire/d308958d-bd9f-4534-bf7f-50ca0be8829e","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.research.ed.ac.uk/en/publications/d308958d-bd9f-4534-bf7f-50ca0be8829e","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400321","display_name":"Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I98677209","host_organization_name":"University of Edinburgh","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98677209"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Mart\u00ed, L, Mollica, F, Piantadosi, S & Kidd, C 2018, 'Certainty Is Primarily Determined by Past Performance During Concept Learning', Open Mind, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 47-60. https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:126a1f06a50040baacd9fc001d9f891a","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/126a1f06a50040baacd9fc001d9f891a","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Open Mind, Vol 2, Iss 2, Pp 47-60 (2018)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/opmi_a_00017","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","pdf_url":"https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/opmi_a_00017","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2488191322","display_name":"Open Mind","issn_l":"2470-2986","issn":["2470-2986"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-20","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Open Mind","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/4","score":0.4156000018119812,"display_name":"Quality education"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6016239102","display_name":"NRT-DESE:  Graduate Training in Data-Enabled Research into Human Behavior and its Cognitive and Neural Mechanisms","funder_award_id":"1449828","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320309327","display_name":"Google","ror":"https://ror.org/00njsd438"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322261","display_name":"Jacobs Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/03tj32a09"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2886833779.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2886833779.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":23,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1469805572","https://openalex.org/W1980160354","https://openalex.org/W1994742647","https://openalex.org/W1998419723","https://openalex.org/W2037223198","https://openalex.org/W2037340617","https://openalex.org/W2043608504","https://openalex.org/W2051999196","https://openalex.org/W2078492619","https://openalex.org/W2092120039","https://openalex.org/W2099564435","https://openalex.org/W2101518352","https://openalex.org/W2105745673","https://openalex.org/W2120841525","https://openalex.org/W2121968566","https://openalex.org/W2141845152","https://openalex.org/W2142336306","https://openalex.org/W2146006411","https://openalex.org/W2147276820","https://openalex.org/W2164558494","https://openalex.org/W2345995343","https://openalex.org/W2580299352","https://openalex.org/W2949873036"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2785501901","https://openalex.org/W2912398195","https://openalex.org/W7053041997","https://openalex.org/W580437509","https://openalex.org/W7098804531","https://openalex.org/W4404271588","https://openalex.org/W3174789799","https://openalex.org/W2035776376","https://openalex.org/W624326651","https://openalex.org/W2006574387"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Prior":[0],"research":[1],"has":[2],"yielded":[3],"mixed":[4],"findings":[5],"on":[6],"whether":[7],"learners\u2019":[8],"certainty":[9,30,41,58,88],"reflects":[10],"veridical":[11],"probabilities":[12],"from":[13,19,98,122],"observed":[14,113],"evidence.":[15],"We":[16],"compared":[17],"predictions":[18],"an":[20],"idealized":[21,118],"model":[22],"of":[23,29,45,57,68],"learning":[24,80,85,100],"to":[25,38,59],"humans\u2019":[26],"subjective":[27,40,66],"reports":[28,67],"during":[31],"a":[32,99],"Boolean":[33],"concept-learning":[34],"task":[35],"in":[36],"order":[37],"examine":[39],"over":[42],"the":[43,83,123],"course":[44],"abstract,":[46],"logical":[47],"concept":[48],"learning.":[49],"Our":[50],"analysis":[51],"evaluated":[52],"theoretically":[53],"motivated":[54],"potential":[55],"predictors":[56],"determine":[60],"how":[61,110],"well":[62,111],"each":[63],"predicted":[64],"participants\u2019":[65,104],"certainty.":[69],"Regression":[70],"analyses":[71],"that":[72,78],"controlled":[73],"for":[74],"individual":[75],"differences":[76],"demonstrated":[77],"despite":[79],"curves":[81],"tracking":[82],"ideal":[84],"models,":[86],"reported":[87],"was":[89,106],"best":[90],"explained":[91],"by":[92,109,117],"performance":[93],"rather":[94],"than":[95],"measures":[96],"derived":[97],"model.":[101],"In":[102],"particular,":[103],"confidence":[105],"driven":[107],"primarily":[108],"they":[112,125],"themselves":[114],"doing,":[115],"not":[116],"statistical":[119],"inferences":[120],"made":[121],"data":[124],"observed.":[126]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2018-08-22T00:00:00"}
